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法国世界报

巴西仍然是华盛顿在拉丁美洲最后的重大心头大患。但还能维持多久?'Brazil remains the last significant thorn in Washington's side in Latin America. But for how much longer?'

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2026年10月4日,巴西利亚选举期间一个投票站外。ERALDO PERES / 美联社照片/ERALDO PERESOutside a polling station during the elections in Brasilia, on October 4, 2026. ERALDO PERES / AP PHOTO/ERALDO PERES

美洲各国的节奏并不合拍。美国正在琢磨11月3日的中期选举中民主党会掀起多大的浪潮,而在南美大陆,左翼政府正一个接一个地被横扫下台。

he timing is out of sync across the Americas. The United States is wondering how strong the Democratic wave will be in the midterm elections on November 3, while in the southern part of the continent, left-wing governments are being swept away one after another.

10月4日星期日巴西总统选举首轮投票的结果,以及被称为“热带特朗普”的雅伊尔·博索纳罗的儿子之一弗拉维奥·博索纳罗取得的领先优势,白宫必定对此表示欢迎。这种庆祝的时刻在那里已经变得罕见。

The results of the first round of Brazil's presidential election on Sunday, October 4, and the lead taken by Flavio Bolsonaro, one of the sons of Jair Bolsonaro, the latter dubbed the "Trump of the Tropics," must have been welcomed at the White House. Such occasions for celebration have become rare there.

最初的模式现在有望看到为其“西半球”(即美洲)主义实施扫清重大障碍。几个月来,智利、秘鲁、玻利维亚和哥伦比亚都步阿根廷的后尘向右转,不同程度地接受了特朗普主义的主题和方法。继1月通过罢免尼古拉斯·马杜罗使委内瑞拉屈服——这使得华盛顿宣称控制了世界主要石油储量的很大一部分之后——巴西仍然是华盛顿在拉丁美洲最后的重大心头大患。但还能维持多久?

The original model could now hope to see a major barrier lifted to implementing his doctrine for the "Western Hemisphere," meaning the Americas. Over the months, Chile, Peru, Bolivia, and Colombia have all shifted to the right, following Argentina's lead, by embracing the themes and methods of Trumpism to varying degrees. After bringing Venezuela to heel in January with the removal of Nicolas Maduro – which allowed Washington to claim control of a significant portion of the world's leading oil reserves – Brazil remains the last significant thorn in Washington's side. But for how much longer?