
《今日秀》联合主持人桑尼·霍斯汀在星期四预测,选民将在十一月把德克萨斯翻蓝,这将是大约30年来首次出现此情形,节目小组讨论了民主党候选人詹姆斯·塔拉里科与共和党人肯·帕克斯顿之间的美国参议院激烈竞争。
"The View" co-host Sunny Hostin predicted Thursday that voters will flip Texas blue in November for the first time in about 30 years as the panel discussed the tight race between Democratic candidate James Talarico and Republican Ken Paxton for the U.S. Senate. "I think we will.
“我觉得会的。我真的觉得德克萨斯会变蓝,”霍斯汀说。“在九月份,不止一家,而是八家民调机构显示塔拉里科以51比45领先。这非常重要,因为民主党人已经30年未能赢得全州性职位。同一民调还显示,他在女性选民中以56比40领先帕克斯顿。在18至29岁选民中以66比22领先,在西班牙裔选民中以62比30领先。我们说的是德克萨斯。他会赢得这场比赛。”
I think we will see Texas go blue, actually. I really do," Hostin remarked. "In September, not only one, but eight pollsters had Talarico ahead 51 to 45 percent. That is so significant given that a Democrat hasn't won statewide office in 30 years. That same poll showed that he is leading Paxton among women 56 percent to 40 percent.
联合主持人艾莉莎·法拉·格里芬认为,塔拉里科在孤星州的优势是对唐纳德·特朗普总统政府的公投。
Among voters aged 18 to 29, 66 percent to 22 percent, and among Hispanics, 62 percent to 30 percent. We're talking about Texas.
“我的意思是,德克萨斯成为竞争焦点说明了当前人们对现任领导层的极度不满,”她说。“民主党人在德克萨斯30多年未赢得全州性选举。我仍然认为这可能会向帕克斯顿或塔拉里科任一方向发展,但这是一场完美的风暴,是总统自己制造的混乱。”德克萨斯选民对孤星州是否会转蓝有很多话要说格里芬同意该州可能会翻蓝,并称塔拉里科是个好候选人。她认为约翰·科尼恩参议员本该是比帕克斯顿更好的共和党候选人,后者曾得到特朗普的支持并在共和党初选中获胜。
He's going to win this race." Co-host Alyssa Farah Griffin argued that Talarico's edge in the Lone Star State was a referendum on President Donald Trump's administration. "I mean the fact that Texas is in play speaks to the moment right now that people are so frustrated with the current leadership," she said. "A Democrat hasn't won statewide in Texas in over 30 years. I still think it could go either direction for Paxton or Talarico, but this is kind of a perfect storm, and it's a mess of the president's own making." TEXAS VOTERS HAVE PLENTY TO SAY ABOUT WHETHER LONE STAR STATE COULD TURN BLUE Griffin agreed the state might flip blue, calling Talarico a good candidate.
福克斯新闻在十月发布的民调显示,塔拉里科在可能投票的德克萨斯选民中拥有8分的净正面个人评分(52%赞成 vs. 44%反对),而帕克斯顿则落后18分(40%赞成 vs. 58%反对)。共和党人对帕克斯顿持负面看法的比例是民主党人对塔拉里科的六倍(32% vs. 5%)。福克斯新闻民意调查:共和党内部分歧影响得克萨斯州参议院竞选潜在得克萨斯州选民对参议院控制权存在分歧:49%的选民希望民主党掌控参议院,而50%的选民则支持共和党掌控参议院。
She argued that Sen. John Cornyn would've been a better Republican candidate over Paxton, who was endorsed by Trump and came out on top in the GOP primary. A Fox News poll released in October found Talarico enjoying a net positive personal rating of 8 points among likely Texas voters (52% favorable vs. 44% unfavorable), compared to Paxton, who is underwater by 18 points (40% vs. 58%). Republicans are six times more likely to view Paxton unfavorably (32%) than Democrats do Talarico (5%). FOX NEWS POLL: GOP DIVISIONS SHAPE TEXAS SENATE RACE Likely Texas voters are split on control of the Senate: 49% prefer a Democratic Senate while 50% favor a Republican upper chamber.
在自认是共和党的选民中,有8%的人希望民主党执政,而选择支持共和党的民主党人仅占1%。
Eight percent of self-identified Republicans prefer the Democrats in power versus 1% of Democrats crossing over to pick the GOP.
所有这些数据使得塔拉里科在潜在选民中的民意调查结果以51%比49%的微弱2个百分点优势领先帕克斯顿。不过,这一对决结果仍在抽样误差范围内。民主党认为“蓝色浪潮”正在形成,但有三股力量可能阻止其到来联合主持人乌比·戈德堡和安娜·纳瓦罗对民主党候选人的积极民意调查结果表示怀疑。纳瓦罗说:“2016年让我感到恐惧。”
All this gives Talarico a slim 2-point edge over Paxton (51-49%) in the poll among likely voters. These matchup results are within the margin of sampling error. DEMOCRATS THINK A BLUE WAVE IS BUILDING. HERE ARE 3 FORCES THAT COULD STOP IT Co-hosts Whoopi Goldberg and Ana Navarro cast some doubt on the positive polling for the Democratic candidate, as Navarro said, "2016 left me scared." "I have hope. People should have hope, but hope alone won't win an election.

“我抱有希望,人们也应该抱有希望,但仅凭希望无法赢得选举。人们必须将希望转化为选票。我不认为他们可以通过依赖民意调查、坐享其成和自满来达成目标。如果他们想要看到改变,任何人都不能这样做。”
People got to turn hope into vote. And I don't think they, you know, relying on polls and just kind of sitting back and getting complacent is something that nobody can afford to do if they want to see change," Navarro said.
帕克斯顿的竞选团队尚未立即回应福克斯新闻数字频道的置评请求。认识那些可能打破共和党对这一共和党传统堡垒数十年统治的选民特朗普于周三在得克萨斯州圣安东尼奥与帕克斯顿一同进行竞选活动。
Paxton's campaign did not immediately return Fox News Digital's request for comment. MEET THE VOTERS WHO COULD BREAK THE GOP’S DECADESLONG GRIP ON A REPUBLICAN STRONGHOLD Trump campaigned with Paxton in San Antonio, Texas, on Wednesday.
两人均指出塔拉里科未出席该活动的竞选活动。参议院候选人的竞选团队回应了这一批评,解释称塔拉里科感染了流感,预计本周末将重返竞选活动。“任何认真对待苏尼·霍斯廷和艾丽莎·法拉·格里芬政治言论的人,其智商可能低到足以成为《观点》节目的客座主持人,”共和党全国委员会发言人扎克·克拉夫特在一份关于两位联合主持人言论的声明中告诉福克斯新闻数字频道。
The pair both pointed to Talarico's absence from campaigning at the event. The Senate candidate's campaign responded to the criticism, explaining Talarico has been sick with the flu and is expected to return to the campaign trail this weekend. CLICK HERE FOR MORE COVERAGE OF MEDIA AND CULTURE "Anyone taking seriously what Sunny Hostin and Alyssa Farah Griffin say about politics likely has a low enough IQ to qualify as a guest host on ‘The View,’" RNC spokesman Zach Kraft told Fox News Digital in a statement about the co-hosts' remarks.
