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金价因美元走软和收益率下降而上涨;美联储前景备受关注Gold rises on softer dollar, easing yields; Fed outlook in focus

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10月9日——周五,美元走势疲软且美国国债收益率有所回落,这提升了黄金的吸引力,推动金价稳步上涨。与此同时,市场参与者仍在权衡持续存在的通胀担忧以及美联储的利率走向。

Oct 9 - Gold firmed on Friday as a softer US dollar and easing Treasury yields boosted bullion's appeal, while market players weighed lingering inflation concerns and the outlook for Federal Reserve interest rates.

截至格林尼治时间01时37分,现货黄金价格上涨0.9%,至每盎司4,169.32美元;此前周三金价曾触及两个月来的低点。美国黄金期货价格也上涨0.9%,报每盎司4,194.40美元。

Spot gold rose 0.9% to $4,169.32 per ounce by 0137 GMT after hitting a two-month low on Wednesday. US gold futures gained 0.9% to $4,194.40.

美元涨势暂时放缓,使得以美元计价的黄金对其他货币持有者来说更加便宜;与此同时,作为市场基准的10年期美国国债收益率连续第二个交易日出现下滑。

The dollar rally took a breather, making greenback-priced bullion more affordable for holders of other currencies, while the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield slipped for a second straight session.

“未来可能出现的加息举措仍会给金价带来下行压力,尤其是在中东供应中断风险加剧导致油价上涨的背景下,通胀忧虑依然高涨。不过,各国央行持续的购金需求有望限制金价的跌幅,”Critical Metals公司首席执行官托尼·塞奇说道。

"Possible tightening later on could keep gold at risk, especially as inflation fears remain high amid a rise in oil prices following increased Middle East supply disruption risks. However, ongoing central bank demand may limit losses," said Tony Sage, CEO of Critical Metals.

“展望未来,交易员们将密切关注即将公布的经济数据,这些数据可能为货币政策走向提供线索,并影响美联储10月会议前的市场情绪。”上个月,美联储全体委员一致投票决定将政策利率上调0.25个百分点。

"Looking ahead, traders will watch upcoming economic data that could provide further monetary policy clues and influence sentiment ahead of the Federal Reserve’s October meeting." Last month, the US central bank voted unanimously to raise the policy rate by a quarter of a percentage point.

圣路易斯联邦储备银行行长阿尔贝托·穆萨莱姆表示,为将通胀率拉回2%的目标水平,美联储有必要再次加息;不过他并未透露本月晚些时候的会议上决策者们应采取何种行动。

St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem said the US central bank will need to hike rates again to bring inflation back to its 2% target, although he declined to say what policymakers should do at their meeting later this month.

根据芝加哥商品交易所的FedWatch工具显示,目前市场预计10月加息的可能性为18%,12月加息的概率则高达82%。

Traders are pricing in an 18% chance of a rate hike in October and an 82% probability of an increase in December, according to CME's FedWatch tool.

传统上,黄金被视为对冲通胀的工具;然而,利率上升会降低这种无收益资产对投资者的吸引力。

Gold is traditionally seen as a hedge against inflation, but higher interest rates diminish the appeal of the non-yielding asset.

美国总统唐纳德·特朗普称,在11月美国中期选举之前,美国不会对伊朗发动攻击。他还表示,美伊双方正在就结束这场已持续半年的战争展开“富有成效”的对话。

President Donald Trump said the US will not launch an attack on Iran before November's US midterm congressional elections, asserting that the two countries are having "productive" talks about ending the six-month-old war.

现货白银价格上涨1.1%,至每盎司60.00美元;铂金价格上涨2.2%,至每盎司1,670.15美元;钯金价格也上涨2.1%,至每盎司1,146.98美元。不过,这三种金属本周均有望出现周度跌幅。补充评论及最新价格信息

Spot silver rose 1.1% to $60.00, platinum gained 2.2% to $1,670.15 and palladium climbed 2.1% to $1,146.98. But all three metals were on track for weekly losses.