作者：Sukanya Mitra 10月12日 - 周一，金价因美元走软和油价下跌而上涨，因为投资者正等待本周的关键美国通胀数据，以寻找美联储下一步政策举措的线索。
Oct 12 - Gold rose on Monday, supported by a softer dollar and lower oil prices, as investors awaited key US inflation data this week for clues on the Federal Reserve's next policy move.
现货金在格林威治时间0432分上涨0.1%，至每盎司4,198.19美元，此前当天早些时候曾触及自10月2日以来的最高水平。12月交割的美国黄金期货上涨0.1%，至4,221.80美元。"由于特朗普据称在俄乌之间达成能源停火协议导致油价走软，加上美元更为平稳，为金价在本周初向上提供了机遇，" KCM Trade首席市场分析师Tim Waterer表示。"
Spot gold was up 0.1% at $4,198.19 per ounce, by 0432 GMT, after hitting its highest since October 2 earlier in the day. US gold futures for December delivery gained 0.1% to $4,221.80. "Softer oil prices on the back of Trump’s reported energy ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine, combined with a more subdued dollar, have given gold a window of opportunity to the upside to start the week," said Tim Waterer, chief market analyst at KCM Trade.
随着油价回落，市场对通胀和利率的即时担忧有所缓解，这从收益率角度有助于提升金价。" 美国总统唐纳德·特朗普周日惊喜宣布，俄乌之间的能源停火协议"立即生效"，但乌克兰总统弗拉基米尔·泽连斯基表示，他仍在等待看到该协议的细节。油价因预期俄罗斯供应增加而下跌。[O/R] 美元走势平淡，使得以美元计价的黄金对持有其他货币的买家更具吸引力。
[USD/] 尽管黄金通常被视为对冲通胀的工具，但较高的利率往往会削弱这种无收益金属的吸引力。
"As oil eases, it takes some of the immediate inflation and interest rate anxiety out of the market, which helps gold from a yield perspective." US President Donald Trump made a surprise announcement of an energy ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine on Sunday that he said was "effective immediately", but Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy said he was still waiting to see details of the deal. Oil prices fell on expectations of more Russian supplies. [O/R] The US dollar was muted, making greenback-priced bullion more affordable for buyers holding other currencies. [USD/] While gold is typically seen as a hedge against inflation, higher interest rates tend to diminish the non-yielding metal's appeal.
市场目前正等待周三发布的美国消费者价格指数（CPI）报告，随后是周四的生产者价格指数（PPI）和零售销售数据。
Markets are now awaiting the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report on Wednesday, followed by the Producer Price Index (PPI) and retail sales data on Thursday.
根据CME的FedWatch工具，交易员认为10月加息的概率为17%，而到12月加息的概率为86%。
Traders see a 17% chance of a rate hike in October and an 86% probability of an increase by December, according to CME’s FedWatch tool.
与此同时，由于中东冲突导致生活成本上升，美国消费者情绪在早期10月进一步下降，家庭对经济的看法变得更加悲观。
Meanwhile, US consumer sentiment slumped further in early October as the rising cost of living because of the Middle East conflict soured households' views of the economy.
在其他金属方面，现货银上涨0.4%，至每盎司61.02美元；铂金上涨0.8%，至1,701.40美元；钯金上涨0.8%，至1,156.81美元。
Among other metals, spot silver rose 0.4% to $61.02 per ounce, platinum gained 0.8% to $1,701.40 and palladium climbed 0.8% to $1,156.81.