文迪·韦尔斯报道:金价在经历自6月以来最大单周跌幅后小幅反弹,交易员权衡美国就业市场放缓和债券收益率上升对美联储利率路径的影响。金价交投于每盎司4150美元附近,上周下跌3.4%。
Gold edged up after its biggest weekly drop since June, as traders weighed the impact of a slowdown in the US jobs market and higher bond yields on the Federal Reserve’s path for interest rates. Bullion was trading near $4,150 an ounce, after losing 3.4% last week.
根据周五公布的数据,美国9月非农就业人口增加2.9万人,低于彭博调查中所有经济学家的预期。这缓解了美联储为对抗顽固通胀而迅速加息的压力。
US nonfarm payrolls increased by 29,000 in September, according to data released on Friday, below all estimates in a Bloomberg survey of economists. That eased pressure on the Fed to quickly raise borrowing costs to combat sticky inflation.
市场目前预计10月加息概率约为20%,较一周前的70%大幅下降。较高利率通常会降低无息黄金的吸引力。不过,通胀压力并未消退。
The market is now pricing in around a 20% chance of a hike in October, down from 70% a week ago. Higher rates typically reduce the appeal of the precious metal, which doesn’t pay interest. Inflationary pressures haven’t gone away, though.
中东冲突升级推高油价,也门沙特支持的领导人发起军事行动,试图夺回胡塞武装控制的所有地区,胡塞武装得到伊朗支持。
Oil rose on widening conflict in the Middle East, as Yemen’s Saudi-backed leaders launched a military bid to recapture all areas under the control of the Houthis, who are supported by Iran.
财政部长斯科特·贝森特淡化了对高借贷成本的担忧,称这符合全球趋势,即使部分利率触及二十多年来最高水平。上月金价下跌逾6%,因担忧能源驱动的通胀和美国加息前景。尽管如此,美联储官员一直在淡化近期加息的可能性。
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent downplayed concerns over high borrowing costs, saying it was in line with global trends, even after some rates hit their highest in more than two decades. Gold fell more than 6% last month on concerns over energy-driven inflation and the prospect for higher US rates. Despite that, Fed officials have been talking down the chance of an imminent hike.
美联储9月会议纪要将于本周中公布,该会议三年来首次加息,纪要将为未来路径提供线索。
Minutes of the Fed’s September meeting, where rates were raised for the first time in three years, are due mid-week, providing clues on the path forward.
截至新加坡时间上午8:40,现货金上涨0.3%至每盎司4153.66美元。
Spot gold rose 0.3% to $4,153.66 an ounce as of 8:40 a.m. in Singapore.
银价上涨1.3%至每盎司61.15美元,上周暴跌逾6%,为7月中旬以来最大跌幅。铂金和钯金上涨。
Silver climbed 1.3% to $61.15 an ounce after falling more than 6% last week, the most since mid-July. Platinum and palladium advanced.
彭博美元现货指数(衡量美元的指标)几乎持平,此前已连涨三周。
The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index, a gauge of the US currency, was little changed after rising for the last three weeks.