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金价走势平稳:交易员评估美伊紧张局势及美联储利率走向Gold Steadies as Traders Assess US-Iran Tensions, Fed Rate Path

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作者:谢宜慧 金价在前一日小幅上涨后趋于平稳。交易员们正在评估中东局势——此前美国总统唐纳德·特朗普表示,美国不会在11月中期选举前对伊朗发动攻击。

Gold was steady after rising moderately the previous day, as traders assessed Middle East tensions following President Donald Trump’s comments that the US wouldn’t attack Iran before November midterm elections.

目前金价维持在每盎司约4,145美元的水平,较本周早些时候触及的两个月低点有所回升。特朗普称美伊双方正在进行“富有成效的对话”,但并未透露具体细节。与此同时,基准原油价格有所下跌,不过由于飓风威胁墨西哥湾的石油生产,市场仍存在较大风险。

Bullion traded near $4,145 an ounce, recovering from a two-month low seen earlier this week, after Trump said the US was having “productive discussions” with Iran, without offering details. Benchmark oil prices declined, though a hurricane menacing production in the Gulf of Mexico kept risks elevated.

本周,伊朗加快了在霍尔木兹海峡对油轮的袭击频率,使得这场已持续八个月的冲突再度引发担忧。能源价格上涨恐将推高通胀水平,促使多国央行收紧货币政策,这对不产生利息收益的黄金而言属于利空因素。

Trump’s comments came even as Iran ramped up the pace of attacks on tankers in the Strait of Hormuz this week, raising fresh concerns over a war now in its eighth month. That’s renewed inflation worries over rising energy costs, which has prompted some central banks to tighten monetary policy and weighed on the non-yielding precious metal.

目前交易员普遍预计,本月美国利率将维持不变,但中期内有望上调。圣路易斯联邦储备银行行长阿尔贝托·穆萨莱姆周四指出,为促使通胀回归2%的目标水平,未来6至9个月内利率应有所上升,不过他并未明确表示本月就会采取加息措施。

Traders are expecting US borrowing costs to stay unchanged later this month but increase over the medium term. Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis President Alberto Musalem signaled on Thursday that interest rates should increase over the next six to nine months to help inflation return to the central bank’s 2% target, but stopped short of endorsing a move at this month’s policy meeting.

截至新加坡时间上午8点,金价上涨0.3%,报每盎司4,144.05美元;银价则上涨0.6%,报每盎司59.54美元,此前一个交易日银价曾下跌1%。铂金与钯金价格也呈现微涨态势。衡量美元强弱程度的彭博美元现货指数则基本持平。

Gold was 0.3% higher at $4,144.05 an ounce as of 8:00 a.m. Singapore time, while silver was 0.6% higher at $59.54 an ounce, after falling 1% in the earlier session. Platinum and palladium edged higher. The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index, a gauge of the US currency, was little changed.