金价承压下跌，因油价居高不下助长通胀担忧，并使美联储的加息路径变得扑朔迷离。
Gold held a decline, as elevated oil prices fueled inflation concerns and clouded the Federal Reserve’s path for interest-rate hikes.
现货黄金交易价格约为每盎司4,135美元，较前一交易日下跌0.6%。油价徘徊在五个月高点附近，此前伊朗表示别无选择，只能主导霍尔木兹海峡的控制权，而美国立法者则抵制特朗普总统与俄罗斯的柴油出口协议。
Bullion was trading at around $4,135 an ounce, after falling 0.6% in the previous session. Oil hovered near a five-month high after Iran said it has “no choice” but to assert control over the Strait of Hormuz, while US lawmakers resisted President Donald Trump’s diesel export deal with Russia.
交易员正试图预判美联储在遏制通胀斗争中的下一步行动。美联储主席凯文·沃什在央行下周会议前的通信黑暗期前夕发表讲话，表示支持维持利率不变。这促使人们对季度加息的概率押注降至20%以下，而上月末这一概率仍高达三分之二。
Traders are trying to anticipate the Fed’s next move in its battle to keep inflation in check. Chair Kevin Warsh used the eve of a communications blackout ahead of the central bank’s meeting next week to signal support for keeping rates on hold. That spurred bets on the probability of a quarter-point hike to fall below 20%, from as likely as two-in-three late last month.
截至目前，金价在十月份整体上仍维持在4,100美元以上，尽管美元走强和债券收益率居高不下，但金价已较上月下跌逾6%后进入整理阶段。尽管如此，自美伊冲突在二月下旬爆发以来，金价已下跌约五分之一，交易员仍认为年底前再次加息的概率高达90%。更高的借贷成本对黄金构成压力，因黄金本身不产生利息。
Bullion has generally held above $4,100 so far in October, consolidating after a decline of more than 6% in the previous month despite a stronger US dollar and high bond yields. Still, it’s down about a fifth since the US-Iran conflict erupted in late February and traders still see a 90% probability of another rate increase by the end of the year. Higher borrowing costs are a headwind for gold, which doesn’t pay interest.
新加坡时间上午7:47，现货黄金微跌0.1%至每盎司4,134.91美元，白银下跌0.3%至每盎司56.93美元。铂金和钯金也小幅下跌。彭博美元现货指数（衡量美元走势的指标）基本持平，此前一交易日曾上涨0.1%。
Spot gold slipped 0.1% to $4,134.91 an ounce at 7:47 a.m. in Singapore, while silver fell 0.3% to $56.93 an ounce. Platinum and palladium also edged lower. The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index, a gauge of the US currency, was little changed after gaining 0.1% in the previous session.