今年的诺贝尔和平奖将于周五上午公布，乌克兰儿童权利活动家、苏丹紧急响应组织以及俄罗斯反对派人物阿列克谢·纳瓦利内的遗孀，均被博彩公司视为热门人选。在结果公布前一个小时，在线预测平台Polymarket将尤利娅·纳瓦利内列为最大热门。自2024年丈夫在北极劳改营去世以来，她继承了反克里姆林宫的活动家身份。
This year’s Nobel Peace Prize will be announced Friday morning, with a Ukrainian children’s rights activist, a Sudanese emergency response group, and the widow of Russian opposition figure Alexei Navalny among the bookmakers’ favorites. An hour before the decision came, online prediction market Polymarket had the favorite as Yulia Navalnaya, who has taken up the mantle of anti-Kremlin activist following the 2024 death of her husband in an Arctic penal colony.
其他博彩网站则将乌干达气候活动家瓦妮莎·纳卡特、苏丹的“紧急响应室”（一个在该国内战期间提供人道主义援助的基层组织），以及创立了营救被俄罗斯绑架和强行驱逐的乌克兰儿童组织的米kola·库列巴列为领先者。国际法院、无国界医生组织、加拿大总理马克·卡尼和教皇利奥十四世，也都是可能获奖人选的讨论对象。
Other betting websites list frontrunners as the Ugandan climate activist Vanessa Nakate, Sudan’s Emergency Response Rooms, a grassroots organization that provides humanitarian help amid that country’s civil war, and Mykola Kuleba, who founded an organization to rescue Ukrainian children abducted and forcibly deported by Russia. The International Court of Justice, Doctors Without Borders, Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney and Pope Leo XIV are also names that have been thrown around the conversation of who might win.
据挪威诺贝尔委员会称，今年共有约287人获得提名。以色列、巴基斯坦和柬埔寨政府表示，他们已提名唐纳德·特朗普总统。观察人士认为，特朗普的胜算已经下降，因为他未能促成乌克兰和平——他曾声称自己上任24小时内就能做到——同时以色列也再次对伊朗发动战争。周三，特朗普表示他仍然想要这个他长期公开渴望的奖项，但他认为自己的胜算不大。
Some 287 candidates have been nominated for this year’s award, according to the Norwegian Nobel Committee. The governments of Israel, Pakistan and Cambodia say they have nominated President Donald Trump. Observers believe Trump’s chances have faded, with him failing to broker peace in Ukraine — something he once said he could do within 24 hours of entering office — and alongside Israel launching another war on Iran. On Wednesday, Trump said that he still wants the award, which he has long openly coveted, but he said he didn’t think his chances were good.
“我不知道他们最终会做出什么决定，”特朗普在椭圆形办公室说道。“他们有个名声，就是可能不会把奖颁给我这样的人。”委内瑞拉反对派领袖玛丽亚·科里娜·马查多曾在今年1月将她的2025年诺贝尔和平奖奖章赠予特朗普，当时她正在寻求美国的支持。
支持她在委内瑞拉所做的努力。“上次我间接从获奖者那里收到了这份荣誉，我感到非常荣幸。他说，历史上没有人比特朗普总统更值得获得这份荣誉，”这位总统周三表示。
“I don’t know what their decision is going to be,” Trump said in the Oval Office. “They have a reputation for maybe not giving it to people like me.”Venezuelan opposition leader Maria Corina Machado gave her 2025 Nobel Peace Prize medal to Trump in January as she sought U.S. support for her efforts in Venezuela “I was very honored to receive it indirectly last time by the recipient, who said nobody in history deserves it more than President Trump,” the president said Wednesday.