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库克政治报告:更多众议院席位有望转向民主党More House Seats Leaning Toward Democrats, Cook Political Says

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位于华盛顿特区的美国国会大厦。摄影师:Daniel Heuer/BloombergThe US Capitol in Washington, DC. Photographer: Daniel Heuer/Bloomberg

据马甘·克雷恩报道,无党派的库克政治报告周五指出,在下个月的选举中,民主党有望赢得多达19个众议院席位,这一数量足以使该党获得绝对多数席位并实现对唐纳德·特朗普总统的有效监督。

Democrats are on track to pick up as many as 19 House seats in next month’s election, enough to secure the party a strong majority and oversight of President Donald Trump, the nonpartisan Cook Political Report said Friday.

库克报告将18个席位的倾向性判定为有利于民主党,并预测该党最终将获得224至234个席位,远超掌控众议院所需的218个席位。

Cook moved 18 seats toward Democrats and said the party would most likely emerge from the election with between 224 and 234 seats, well above the 218 needed for control.

库克政治报告的众议院版块编辑艾琳·科维写道:“共和党原本指望大规模广告投放能损害民主党候选人的形象,帮助那些深受特朗普总统拖累的共和党人扭转颓势。然而距离选举不到四周时间,这些巨额投入却未能产生任何效果。”由于选民将持续存在的通货膨胀与生活成本上涨归咎于特朗普实施的关税政策及其与伊朗的冲突,总统糟糕的支持率也拖累了全体共和党候选人的表现。

“Republicans have hoped that a massive ad campaign effort could dent Democratic candidates’ images and shore up Republicans struggling to free themselves of the anchor of President Donald Trump,” Cook House editor Erin Covey wrote. “With less than four weeks to go, that heavy spending has yet to move the needle.”Trump’s low approval ratings have dragged down Republican candidates across the board as voters blame the president’s tariffs and conflict with Iran for ongoing inflation and high costs of living.