参议院少数党领袖查克·舒默在下届国会将面临诸多挑战，即使没有来自众议员亚历山德拉·奥卡西奥-科尔特斯（纽约州民主党人）的领导层初选威胁。
Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer is going to have his hands full next Congress, even without a threat to his leadership primary challenge from Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-N.Y.). Why it matters:
为何重要：舒默（纽约州民主党人）将不得不应对多达八位参议员的总统野心，他们可能更在意赢得白宫，而非追随领袖的脚步。
Schumer (D-N.Y.) will have to grapple with the presidential ambitions of up to eight of his senators who may care more about winning the White House than following their leader.
- 大约六分之一的民主党参议员有意投身竞选，这将给一个本就充满挑战的工作增加难度，正如前总统奥巴马本周所承认的。
• Roughly one in six Democratic senators eyeing the campaign trail would add a degree of difficulty to a job that rarely lacks challenges, as former President Obama acknowledged this week.
- “担任民主党领袖是件麻烦事，因为你要管来自各行各业的人，”奥巴马周三在一场筹款活动中谈到舒默时说。
• "Being the head of the Democratic Party is a pain in the butt, because you've got people from every walk of life," Obama said of Schumer at a fundraiser Wednesday.
回顾：今年关于移民与海关执法局（ICE）拨款的争斗，让舒默尝到了总统野心如何使治理复杂化的滋味。
Flashback: This year's ICE funding fights gave Schumer a taste of how presidential ambitions can complicate governing.
- 潜在的2028年总统竞选人竞相采取最强硬的反对ICE拨款立场，甚至不惜冒政府关门的风险。
• Potential 2028 contenders competed to take the toughest stance against ICE funding, even at the risk of a government shutdown.
深度观察：如果舒默成为多数党领袖，个人野心与党内团结之间的张力可能在其任期初期就浮出水面。
Zoom in: The tension between individual ambition and party unity could surface early in Schumer's tenure if he becomes majority leader.
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民主党承诺降低成本、负责任地执政，同时坚持将在每一个环节挑战和调查特朗普政府。
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舒默与特朗普总统有着长期而复杂的关系——且互存对方的手机号码。
• Democrats are promising to lower costs and govern responsibly, while insisting they'll challenge and investigate the Trump administration at every turn.
言外之意：民主党可能控制两院多数席位，从而获得对抗特朗普的巨大权力。
• Schumer and President Trump have a long, complicated relationship — and each other's cell numbers.
- 但多数党权力取决于成员的到场与团结。
Between the lines:
- 总统竞选人有动力花时间在华盛顿之外，展示他们与参议院内其他2028年竞选人的区别。
Democrats could control majorities in both chambers, giving them immense power against Trump.
- 他们可能还想挑起与党内建制派的高调冲突，以证明自己的进步派正统性。
• But majority power is dependent on members being present and unified.
但舒默面临 2020年总统选举周期也曾面临类似挑战，当时他担任少数党领袖，有七位现任参议员角逐民主党提名。
• Presidential contenders have incentives to spend time outside Washington and show how they differ from their fellow 2028 hopefuls in the Senate.
- 出席率是最大的头疼问题，候选人奔波全国，使参议院日程安排变得复杂。
• They also may want to pick high-profile fights with the party establishment to prove their progressive bona fides.
- 尽管总统候选人在竞选路上，民主党并未在任何关键投票中失利。
重点关注对象：
But Schumer faced a similar challenge during the 2020 presidential cycle, when he was minority leader and seven sitting senators sought the Democratic nomination.
- 科里·布克参议员（D-新泽西）：访问过南卡罗来纳州、新罕布什尔州和内华达州（两次）。
• Attendance was the biggest headache as candidates crisscrossed the country, complicating Senate scheduling.
- 鲁本·加列戈参议员（D-亚利桑那）：访问过南卡罗来纳州、内华达州、新罕布什尔州和爱荷华州。
• But Democrats didn't lose any major votes despite their presidential hopefuls being on the campaign trail.
- 马克·凯利参议员（D-亚利桑那）：访问过南卡罗来纳州（两次）、内华达州和密歇根州。
Who we're watching: • Sen. Cory Booker (D-N.J.) has visited South Carolina, New Hampshire and Nevada (twice).
- 克里斯·墨菲参议员（D-康涅狄格）：访问过南卡罗来纳州。
• Sen. Ruben Gallego (D-Ariz.): South Carolina, Nevada, New Hampshire and Iowa.
- 伊丽莎·斯洛特金参议员（D-密歇根）：访问过爱荷华州和内华达州。
• Sen. Mark Kelly (D-Ariz.): South Carolina (twice), Nevada and Michigan.
- 克里斯·范霍伦参议员（D-马里兰）：访问过爱荷华州和新罕布什尔州（两次）。
• Sen. Chris Murphy (D-Conn.): South Carolina. • Sen. Elissa Slotkin (D-Mich.): Iowa and Nevada.
- 拉斐尔·沃诺克参议员（D-佐治亚）：访问过内华达州（两次）和新罕布什尔州。
• Sen. Chris Van Hollen (D-Md.): Iowa and New Hampshire (twice). • Sen. Raphael Warnock (D-Ga.): Nevada (twice) and New Hampshire.
荣誉提名：乔恩·奥索夫参议员（D-佐治亚）专注于连任竞选，因此目前尚无记录在案的早期初选州访问。但这并未阻止总统竞选传闻的流传。
Honorable mention: Sen. Jon Ossoff (D-Ga.) is focused on winning reelection, so he has no documented early-primary-state visits yet. That hasn't stopped presidential rumors from swirling.
首先，舒默需要在11月至少赢得51个席位，应对高风险的跛脚鸭会期，然后通过秘密投票赢得选举，重夺多数党领袖头衔。
First, Schumer needs to get to at least 51 seats in November, navigate a high-stakes lame-duck session, and then win a secret-ballot election to reclaim his title as majority leader.
- 他的一些潜在新成员——尤其是如果民主党在11月3日大获全胜——并不热衷于支持他。
• Some of his potential new members — especially if Democrats have a good night on Nov. 3 — aren't overly enthusiastic about supporting him.
- 密歇根州的阿卜杜勒·埃尔-萨耶德和德克萨斯州的詹姆斯·塔拉里科等候选人均未承诺为他投票。
• Candidates like Abdul El-Sayed in Michigan and James Talarico in Texas have not committed to voting for him. The bottom line:
核心看点：总统候选人想要脱颖而出。参议院多数党领袖需要成员融入集体——并保持一致。
Presidential candidates want to stand out. Senate majority leaders need their members to blend in — and fall in line.