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10月7日的创伤推动以色列首次投票者转向右翼Oct 7 scars push Israel’s first-time voters to the right

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以色列尼尔阿姆——与数十万以色列人一样,阿米哈伊也将在2023年10月7日哈马斯发动袭击后首次获得投票资格。今年10月投票时,他最看重的只有一点:安全。

NIR AM, Israel – Like hundreds of thousands of Israelis, Amihai will be of voting age for the first time since Hamas carried out its attack on Oct 7, 2023. When he casts his ballot in October, he has one priority above all – security.

站在一处可以俯瞰加沙地带北部大片废墟的高地上,这位18岁的青年表示,在经历了以色列历史上最惨痛的一天后,他计划在投票箱前把票投给极右翼政党。

From a field overlooking the sprawling ruins of the northern Gaza Strip, the 18-year-old says he plans to vote for a far-right party at the ballot box, three years after the deadliest day in Israeli history.

“我投票完全基于安全考量——不是选那些能帮我十年后买到房子的人,而是选那些能确保十年后我还能活在这个世上的人,”他向法新社说道。

“I’m voting based solely on security – not for whoever will help me buy an apartment in 10 years, but for whoever can guarantee that I’ll even still be alive here in 10 years,” he told AFP.

阿米哈伊来自以色列南部的肖姆里亚,他说话的地方距离加沙不到2公里。自2023年与哈马斯的战争爆发以来,加沙大片地区已被以色列的炮火夷为平地。

Amihai, from Shomria in southern Israel, was speaking less than 2km from Gaza, swathes of which have been flattened by Israeli bombardment since the war with Hamas erupted in 2023.

他当时正在参加一场呼吁犹太人在巴勒斯坦领土上定居的活动。他表示,10月27日,他将把票投给由国家安全部长伊塔马尔·本-格维尔领导的极端民族主义政党。

He was attending an event calling for Jewish settlement of the Palestinian territory, and said that on Oct 27, he would be casting a vote for the ultra-nationalist party of National Security Minister Itamar Ben Gvir.

“10月7日之后,我希望恐怖分子去死,希望他们能在监狱里受苦,希望形成有效的威慑力,”这名少年说道。他提到的正是近期通过的一项仅适用于巴勒斯坦人的死刑法律。

“After Oct 7, I want death for the terrorists, I want the terrorists here to suffer in prison, I want there to be deterrence,” the teenager said, alluding to a recently passed death penalty law that applies to Palestinians.

阿米哈伊戴着一顶支持本-格维尔的帽子,穿着印有该部长头像的T恤。他还表示希望“加沙居民都离开,希望他们拼了命也要离开”——这也是近几个月来多位政府部长所倡导的政策。

Sporting a cap and T-shirt in support of the minister, Amihai said he also wanted “emigration from Gaza, that the people of Gaza will be dying to leave” – another policy advocated by government ministers in recent months.

据以色列第12频道报道,今年10月,约有55万名18至22岁的以色列人将首次参与投票。

Roughly 550,000 Israelis aged between 18 and 22 will be voting for the first time in October, according to Israel’s Channel 12.

该频道委托进行的一项最新民调显示,74%的首次投票者称自己的政治立场属于右翼或中右翼——这一比例甚至高于整体右倾的以色列民众。“真正的未来”这一趋势与许多西方民主国家形成鲜明对比,在这些国家中,年轻人是最倾向左翼的选民群体之一——近年来,部分人因对以色列在加沙行动的愤怒而受到激励。

In a recent poll commissioned by the channel, 74% of first-time voters described their policy views as right or centre-right – an even higher share than the broadly right-leaning public at large. ‘Real future’The trend stands in contrast to many Western democracies, where young people are among the most left-leaning voters – with some in recent years motivated by outrage over Israel’s actions in Gaza.

但民调专家兼分析师达莉亚·谢因德林表示,以色列犹太青年的右转趋势已酝酿了约二十年。

But the right-wing turn of Israeli Jewish youth has been building for around two decades, said pollster and analyst Dahlia Scheindlin.

“年长者……记得达成与巴勒斯坦人全面、彻底和平协议的希望,”谢因德林告诉法新社。

“Older people... remember the hope of reaching full, comprehensive peace agreements with the Palestinians,” Scheindlin told AFP.

“现在任何一个18岁的人,其全部政治意识都是在(总理本雅明·)内塔尼亚胡治下形成的,这是一个极度超民族主义的环境,”她说。“和平不在人们的脑海中。”

“Anybody who’s an 18-year-old now, his or her entire political consciousness is under (Prime Minister Benjamin) Netanyahu, it’s a very ultra-nationalist environment,” she said. “Peace is not in people’s minds.”

9月,在特拉维夫举行的中左翼民主党青年活动家聚会上,18岁的吉利表示,她感觉社会已背弃了和平。

At a gathering of young activists for the centre-left Democrats party in Tel Aviv in September, 18-year-old Gili said she felt society had turned its back on peace.

“我认为尤其是年轻人,当他们看到发生如此巨大的事情、如此深重地伤害并影响所有人的事情,就像10月7日发生的那样,第一反应就是恐惧,感到害怕,并不相信和平是可能的,”她告诉法新社。“大家变得越来越右翼、越来越极端,这真的很合乎逻辑。”

“I think especially young people, when they see something so huge happening, something that hurts so deeply and affects everyone, like what happened on Oct 7, then the first tendency is fear, to be afraid, and not to believe that peace is possible,” she told AFP. “It’s really logical that everyone kind of became more and more right-wing, and more and more extreme.”

根据法新社基于以色列官方数据的统计,哈马斯10月7日的袭击导致1221人死亡。

Hamas’ Oct 7 attack resulted in the deaths of 1,221 people, according to an AFP tally based on official Israeli figures.

作为回应,以色列发动大规模军事攻势,据加沙卫生部统计,已造成74200多人死亡,该部门隶属哈马斯,其数据被联合国视为可靠。

In response, Israel launched a massive military offensive that has killed more than 74,200 people in Gaza, according to the Health Ministry there, which is under Hamas authority and whose figures are considered reliable by the United Nations.

吉利和集会上的朋友们表示,他们支持民主党与巴勒斯坦人达成政治协议的愿景。

Gili and her friends at the rally said they supported the Democrats’ vision of a political agreement with the Palestinians.

“冲突管理不是解决之道,我认为目前的局势无法持续,”来自以色列中部特尔伊扎哈基布兹的18岁青年尤瓦尔说。

“Conflict management is not a solution, and I don’t think the current situation can go on,” said Yuval, an 18-year-old from kibbutz Tel Yitzhak in central Israel.

“如果我们想在这里抚养孩子、如果我们想相信自己有真正的未来,当然更不可能持续下去。”“彻底取胜”对于犹太教经学院学生叶沙伊·内曼来说,他渴望不久后能加入以色列军队的一个战斗部队,10月7日的恐怖袭击以及随后的战争坚定了他为以色列而战的决心。

“Certainly not if we want to raise our children here, if we want to believe we have a real future for ourselves”. ‘Win decisively’For yeshiva student Yishai Neeman, who hopes soon to enlist in a combat unit in the Israeli military, the horrors of Oct 7 and the wars that followed strengthened his resolve to fight for Israel.

现年19岁的内曼在得知哈马斯发动袭击时正身处犹太教堂,他在寄宿学校度过的最后几年时间里,不得不频繁奔跑进防空洞躲避。

Neeman, who is now 19, was at a synagogue when he heard of Hamas’ attack and spent his final years at boarding school running to bomb shelters.

从位于中部城市佩塔提克瓦的家中,内曼表示他将投票给极右翼财政部长贝扎莱尔·斯莫特里奇领导的“宗教锡安主义党”。

From his home in the central city of Petah Tikva, Neeman said he would be voting for the Religious Zionism party of far-right Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich.

内曼表示他渴望和平,但觉得在当前条件下这是不可能的。他说,以色列应该吞并被占领的约旦河西岸,“抹去他们对巴勒斯坦国的希望”。

Neeman said he wanted peace, but felt it was not possible under the current conditions. Israel should annex the occupied West Bank, he said, and “erase their hope for a Palestinian state”.

即将亲赴战场的内曼表示,他不赞成无休止的战争,但以色列“绝不能再回到10月7日之前的那种认知状态”。“这就是为什么现在我们必须战斗并取得决定性胜利。” 法新社

Soon heading to fight himself, Neeman said he was not in favour of endless wars, but that Israel “can’t return once more to the understanding that preceded Oct 7”. “That’s why now we must fight and win decisively.”AFP