
四年来以色列首次大选带来了创纪录的首次投票者数量——其中大多数人渴望让自己的声音算数。
The first Israeli elections in four years have brought with them a record number of first-time voters – most of whom are keen to make their voices count.
但根据近期民调,虽然世界各地的年轻人倾向左翼,以色列的年轻成年人却走向了相反方向。
But while youth around the world are leaning to the left, young adults in Israel are heading in the opposite direction, according to recent polls.
以色列中央选举委员会表示,自2022年上次大选以来,选民名册新增了超过50万选民。他们年龄在18至22岁之间,民调显示其中80%计划在10月27日的立法选举中投票。
The Israeli Central Elections Committee says more than half a million voters were added to the roll since the last elections in 2022. They are aged between 18 and 22 and polls show that 80 percent of them plan to vote in the October 27 legislative election.
尽管他们在政治行动主义和公共领域的参与度有限,但智库以色列民主研究所(IDI)的一项调查发现,大多数年轻犹太以色列人认为,选票能够影响现实、塑造国家未来。但他们所期盼的未来是什么样子的?
Although their political activism and engagement in the public sphere are limited, a survey by the think tank, Israel Democracy Institute (IDI), found that a majority of young Jewish Israelis feel that the ballot box can influence reality and shape their country’s future. But what does the future they hope for look like?
根据以色列第12频道最近的一项民调,约四分之三的犹太裔首次投票者自认属于“右翼或中右翼”。这明显高于以色列其他人口群体,后者多年来已持续向右转。
Around three quarters of Jewish first-time voters polled identified as “right or centre-right”, according to a recent poll for Israel’s Channel 12. That’s significantly higher than the rest of the Israeli population, which has already been shifting to the right for years.
如今,“右翼一代”这一称呼被用来指代以色列的犹太青年——但不包括以色列的巴勒斯坦公民。
Now the title “Generation Right” is being used to reference Israel’s Jewish youth – though not the Palestinian citizens of Israel.
自2023年10月7日袭击事件以来的首次以色列大选充满争议且两极分化——这将对总理本雅明·内塔尼亚胡的政治生存及其右翼路线起决定性作用。
The first Israeli elections since the October 7, 2023 attack are contentious and polarising – and they will be decisive for Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s political survival and his right-wing approach.
这位以色列历史上任职时间最长的总理的批评者指责他支持“极右翼”政客以维持权力。他们表示,他将关键政府职位交给国家安全部长伊塔马尔·本-格维尔和财政部长贝扎莱尔·斯莫特里奇等极端政客,助长了这些阵营、使其政策主流化。
Critics of the longest-serving PM in Israel’s history accuse him of supporting “far-right” politicians to stay in power. They say that his handing of key government positions to extreme politicians such as National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir and Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich helped empower those camps and make their policies mainstream.
2017年,斯莫特里奇阐述了他对以色列未来的立场:以色列人将是唯一拥有自决权的人,而巴勒斯坦人将不得不移民、在没有政治代表权的情况下留下,或者如果拒绝这两个选项,将被视为“恐怖分子”。2022年,他在国防部获得了一个职位,在那里他促成土地掠夺,并赋予被占约旦河西岸非法定居点事业以权力。确实,这种煽动和对巴勒斯坦人的看法变得更加普遍。
In 2017, Smotrich laid out his position for the future of Israel where the Israelis are the only ones who will have self-determination, whereas Palestinians will have to emigrate, stay without political representation, or be treated as “terrorists” if they refuse either of the two options. In 2022 he secured a portfolio in the defence ministry where he facilitates land grabs and empowers the illegal settlement enterprise in the occupied West Bank. Indeed, this incitement and view of Palestinians has become more prevalent.
以色列讽刺作家利奥尔·施莱因最近发布的一段视频显示,一名年轻男子表示,他将杀害以色列境内的阿拉伯人。
A recent video published by the Israeli satirist Lior Schleien shows a young man saying he would kill Arabs in Israel.
作为一名左翼活动家,施莱因经常在年轻人服兵役前走访学校并与他们交谈。他的视频让以色列人和世界有机会了解年轻一代。
Schleien, a left-wing activist, has been visiting schools and speaking with young people often before their army service. His videos are giving Israelis, and the world, a chance to understand the younger generation.
视频中,施莱因问这名学生打算如何杀害阿拉伯人。回答是:“给我一把刀,我就去做。”施莱因问10月7日是否改变了他的观点。“我一直都是种族主义者,”这名年轻男子回答,并补充说阿拉伯人不应该被允许生活在以色列国。尽管这名年轻男子的脸部稍微被遮挡,保护了他的身份,但施莱因在舆论反弹后删除了该视频。
In the video, Schleien asks the student how he proposes to kill Arabs. The answer: “Give me a knife and I will do it.”Schleien asks whether October 7 changed his views. “I’ve always been racist,” the young man answers, adding that Arabs shouldn’t be allowed to live in the state of Israel. Even though the young man’s face is slightly covered, shielding his identity, Schleien removed the video after a public backlash.
在另一场市政厅会议上,施莱因讨论了加沙地带是否有无辜者的问题。当被问及以色列是否在加沙地带实施种族灭绝时,施莱因予以否认,只见一名女学生问道:“你认为应该这么做吗?”施莱因看起来不以为然,但该学生向他保证,她是在认真提问。坐在她旁边的朋友发出一声轻笑。
In another town hall meeting, Schleien addresses the question of whether there are innocent people in Gaza. When asked if Israel is committing a genocide in Gaza, Schleien denies it, only for a female student to ask, “Do you think it should be done?”Schleien looks unimpressed, but the student assures him that she is asking a serious question. Her friend, next to her, chuckles.
在特拉维夫最近一次倾向左翼的民主党青年支持者会议上,18岁的吉利告诉法新社记者,她认为以色列社会已经放弃了和平的理念。
At a recent meeting of young supporters of the left-leaning Democrats party in Tel Aviv, 18-year-old Gili told the AFP news agency that she believed Israeli society had abandoned the idea of peace.
她说,10月7日留下的创伤在人们心中植入了恐惧,使他们难以相信和平终将可实现。
She said the scars of October 7 instilled fear among people, making it hard for them to believe peace could ever be achievable.
尽管10月7日的袭击可能加速了该国向右翼和极右翼倾斜的进程,但许多人表示,以色列社会多年来一直在朝这个方向发展。
While the October 7 attack may have accelerated the country’s push to the right and far-right, many say Israeli society has been heading this way for years.
以色列报纸《新消息报》的一项调查显示,超过16%的新选民计划将选票投给极右翼政党。
A survey by the Israeli newspaper Yedioth Ahronoth shows more than 16 percent of new voters plan to cast their ballot for far-right parties.
在以色列南部的一片空地上,18岁的阿米海身穿印有极右翼部长本-格维尔照片的衬衫。他参加的活动呼吁在巴勒斯坦领土上建立非法以色列定居点。
From a large field in southern Israel, 18-year-old Amihai was wearing a shirt with far-right minister Ben-Gvir’s photo. The event he was attending called for the establishment of illegal Israeli settlements on Palestinian territory.
在一处俯瞰加沙地带被毁区域的地方,阿米海在与其他年轻活动人士交谈时表示,他计划投票给由本-格维尔领导的“犹太力量党”,后者本人居住在被占约旦河西岸的一个非法定居点内。
Talking to other young activists from a place overlooking the destroyed parts of the Gaza Strip, Amihai said he plans to vote for Otzma Yehudit, a party led by Ben-Gvir, who himself lives in an illegal settlement in the occupied West Bank.
尽管本-格维尔在2020年大选中未能跨过门槛,但他在内塔尼亚胡2022年组建的政府中获得了核心职位。
Although Ben-Gvir did not pass the threshold of the 2020 elections, he was given a central position in the 2022 government of Netanyahu.
此后几年,这位部长似乎学会了说以色列青年的语言。尽管曾因支持“恐怖”组织及其他刑事罪行被定罪,但以色列民调显示,他在本次大选中的一部分潜在支持者是首次投票者。本-格维尔还确保利用其职权为其“我不说软话”的政策游说。
In the years since, the minister seems to have learned to speak the language of Israel’s youth. Despite having been convicted of supporting “terror” organisations as well as other criminal offences, Israeli surveys show that a chunk of his potential supporters in this election are first-time voters. Ben-Gvir has also made sure to use his position to lobby for his “I am not mincing my words” policies.
作为部长,他经常探访以色列监狱和拘留中心,威胁巴勒斯坦囚犯以及国际活动人士——同时确保这一过程被摄像机记录下来。
As a minister, he often visits Israeli jails and detention centres to threaten Palestinian prisoners as well as international activists – all the while making sure that it is caught on camera.
他的视频经常在网络上疯传,这一举动为他赢得了更多青年支持——不仅来自其惯常的定居者基本盘,如暴力的“山顶青年”,该组织部分成员已受到欧盟和英国的制裁。
His videos often go viral, a move that has earned him more youth support – and not just from his usual base of settlers, such as the violent “Hilltop Youth”, some of whose members have been sanctioned by the European Union and the United Kingdom.
以色列民主研究所的调查发现,社交媒体和即时通讯应用(如WhatsApp和Telegram)是关键信息来源——往往通过信息流而非主动搜索,让年轻人接触到政治内容。这是本-格维尔听得懂的语言。
The IDI survey found that social media and messaging apps such as WhatsApp and Telegram are key sources of information – often exposing young people to political content through their feeds rather than through active searching. It is a language Ben-Gvir understands.