“右翼或巴勒斯坦” — — 这一警示语被喷涂在横跨以色列桥梁和道路的大型竞选广告牌上，旨在以色列10月27日选举前夕提醒选民。该口号通过将反对派胜利描绘为将为建立巴勒斯坦国铺平道路，敦促以色列人投票支持右翼政党。
“Right or Palestine” -- a warning splashed across large campaign billboards hanging over bridges and roads across Israel ahead of the Oct. 27 election. The slogan urges Israelis to vote for right-wing parties by portraying an opposition victory as opening the way for the establishment of a Palestinian state.
然而，以色列总理本雅明·内塔尼亚胡及其右翼盟友反复将巴勒斯坦国作为选举威胁所唤起的巴勒斯坦国，在以色列主要反对党的政治纲领中基本缺失。
Yet, the Palestinian state that Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and his right-wing allies repeatedly invoke as an election threat is largely absent from the political programs of the main opposition parties in Israel.
这些政党普遍认为，目前与巴勒斯坦人达成政治解决方案是不可能的，尽管他们的立场各不相同：从在维持现状的同时向巴勒斯坦人提供一定程度的缓解措施，到恢复与巴勒斯坦权力机构（PA）的关系。
Those parties broadly agree that a political settlement with the Palestinians is currently unattainable, although their positions range from maintaining the status quo while providing Palestinians with certain measures of relief to restoring relations with the Palestinian Authority (PA).
由反对党领袖阿维格多·利伯曼领导的右翼政党以色列贝特诺党更进一步，主张解散巴勒斯坦权力机构。
The right-wing Yisrael Beiteinu party, led by opposition leader Avigdor Lieberman, has gone further by advocating the dissolution of the PA.
内塔尼亚胡及其盟友正在赌注：警告反对党政府可能导致巴勒斯坦国建立将动员右翼选民在10月27日前往投票。
Netanyahu and his allies are betting that warnings that an opposition government could lead to Palestinian statehood will mobilize right-wing voters to turn out on Oct. 27.
民意调查显示，内塔尼亚胡的联盟或反对派目前单独行动均无法获得组建政府所需的120席议会中61席的多数席位。
Opinion polls indicate that neither Netanyahu’s bloc nor the opposition is currently able on its own to reach the 61 seats needed for a majority in the 120-member Knesset to form a government.
尽管大多数反对党领导人多次表示他们不会寻求阿拉伯党派的支持以获得执政多数，但内塔尼亚胡及其盟友声称他们最终将不得不求助于寻求阿拉伯支持。阿拉伯公民占以色列超过1000万人口的20%以上。
Although most opposition leaders have repeatedly said they will not seek support from Arab parties to secure a governing majority, Netanyahu and his partners claim they will ultimately resort to seeking Arab support. Arab citizens make up more than 20% of Israel’s population of more than 10 million.
如果两大阵营均未能成功组建政府，以色列人可能面临数月后再次举行选举，届时现有政府将继续以看守政府身份运作，直至新联合政府成立。
If neither bloc succeeds in forming a government, Israelis could face another election several months later, with the current government remaining in a caretaker capacity until a new coalition is formed.
联合名单主席约瑟夫·贾巴林周二表示，对寻求组建政府的反对派候选人的任何支持都将附带条件。
Yousef Jabareen, chairman of the Joint List, an alliance of three Arab parties, said Tuesday that any support for an opposition candidate seeking to form a government will come with conditions.
“我们的首要任务是推翻这个多年来让我们生活痛苦不堪的流血政府，”贾巴林在《以色列今日报》组织的一次会议上说。
“Our top priority is to bring down the bloodshed government that has made our lives miserable over recent years,” Jabareen told a conference organized by the Yedioth Ahronoth newspaper.
他说，联合名单将准备好为“一个真正且实质性的替代方案”提供议会“安全网”，以取代内塔尼亚胡的政府。“一个强大而庞大的联合名单可以成为决定性因素，”他说。
He said the Joint List will be prepared to provide a parliamentary “safety net” for a “real and substantive alternative” to Netanyahu’s government. “A strong and large Joint List can be a decisive factor,” he said.
贾巴林补充说，他目前并未与所谓的“变革集团”进行谈判，指的是反对派政党。
Jabareen added that he is not currently holding talks with the so-called “change bloc,” referring to the opposition parties.
“我们不会给任何人空白支票，也不在任何人的口袋里，”他说。“当他们意识到除了与我们合作别无选择时，我们将开始谈判并提出我们的要求。”
“We do not give anyone a blank check, and we are in no one’s pocket,” he said. “When they realize there are no other options but to cooperate with us, we will begin negotiations and present our demands.”
被问及这些要求时，贾巴林说：“我们是巴勒斯坦人民的一部分。”他补充道：“全世界都支持在1967年边界线上建立一个与以色列并存的巴勒斯坦国，两国和平共处。”
Asked about those demands, Jabareen said: “We are part of the Palestinian people.”“The entire world supports the establishment of a Palestinian state alongside Israel on the 1967 borders, with both states living in peace,” he added.
他呼吁建立“带来希望、和平与经济繁荣的政治前景”。根据巴勒斯坦外交部的数据，在联合国193个成员国中，有160个承认巴勒斯坦国的地位。巴勒斯坦也是超过100个国际组织和条约的成员。
He called for a “political horizon that brings hope, peace and economic prosperity.”Of the UN’s 193 member states, 160 recognize the State of Palestine, according to the Palestinian Foreign Ministry. Palestine is also a member of more than 100 international organizations and treaties.
巴勒斯坦自2012年起一直享有联合国非成员观察员国地位，而美国多次在安理会使用否决权，阻止巴勒斯坦获得联合国完全会员资格。
Palestine has held UN non-member observer state status since 2012, while the US has repeatedly used its veto at the Security Council to block full UN membership.
内塔尼亚胡及其联盟伙伴迅速将贾巴林的言论描述为证据，表明巴勒斯坦政党将以支持以色列反对派为条件，要求建立巴勒斯坦国。
Netanyahu and his coalition partners quickly portrayed Jabareen’s comments as proof that Palestinian parties will demand the establishment of a Palestinian state in return for supporting the Israeli opposition.
提及贾巴林时，内塔尼亚胡周二在美国社交媒体平台X上写道：“艾森科特和利伯曼的伙伴：我们将建立一个巴勒斯坦国。”加迪·艾森科特领导反对党“直路”党，而利伯曼则领导以色列贝特努党。
Referring to Jabareen, Netanyahu wrote Tuesday on US social media platform X: “Eisenkot and Lieberman’s partner: We will establish a Palestinian state.”Gadi Eisenkot leads the opposition Yashar party, while Lieberman heads the Yisrael Beiteinu party.
为争取右翼选民，内塔尼亚胡表示：“如果我们不出去投票，我们将得到一个由艾森科特和利伯曼领导的左翼政府，该政府将建立一个巴勒斯坦国。”他说，投票给他的利库德党是“防止这一点的唯一途径”。内塔尼亚胡目前因腐败指控正在接受审判，他予以否认。他还面临着国际刑事法院于2024年11月发出的逮捕令，原因是他在加沙地带涉嫌战争罪和反人类罪。
Seeking to rally right-wing voters, Netanyahu said: “If we do not go out and vote, we will get a left-wing government led by Eisenkot and Lieberman that will establish a Palestinian state.”He said voting for his Likud party is “the only way to prevent it.”Netanyahu is standing trial on corruption charges, which he denies. He also faces an International Criminal Court arrest warrant issued in November 2024 over war crimes and crimes against humanity in Gaza.
财政部长贝扎莱尔·斯莫特里希，也是极右翼宗教锡安主义党的领袖，周二也对贾巴林的言论进行了攻击。
Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich, leader of the far-right Religious Zionism party, also attacked Jabareen’s comments Tuesday.
“就在宣布他打算为由艾森科特领导的政府提供安全网仅仅两天后，联合名单主席透露了他危险的计划，即在以色列心脏地带建立一个恐怖主义国家，”斯莫特里希在写道。“利伯曼会让他保持沉默，艾森科特会急忙否认，但事实仍然存在：如果左翼上台，这就是以色列的样子，”他补充道。然而，艾森科特本人却否定了两国方案。
“Just two days after announcing his intention to provide a safety net for a government headed by Eisenkot, the chairman of the Joint List reveals his dangerous plan to establish a terrorist state in the heart of Israel,” Smotrich wrote on“Lieberman will ask him to remain silent, and Eisenkot will rush to deny it, but the truth remains: This is what Israel will look like if the left comes to power,” he added. Eisenkot himself, however, rejects the two-state formula.
“我的立场一直很明确：两国两民族的原则是一个错误，”他在周日接受以色列第7频道播客采访时表示。
“My position on the Palestinian issue has remained consistent: The principle of two states for two peoples is a mistake,” he told Israel’s Channel 7 podcast Sunday.
他也强烈反对建立一个将数百万巴勒斯坦人纳入为以色列公民的一国两制国家的想法。
He also strongly rejected the idea of a binational state that would incorporate millions of Palestinians as Israeli citizens.
“我相信将约旦河西岸（犹太和撒马利亚）的280万巴勒斯坦人以及加沙地带的200万巴勒斯坦人并入以色列将是对以色列的灾难。我不希望那样。”一国两制意味着在约旦河和地中海之间——即历史上的巴勒斯坦地区——建立一个单一国家，该国家同时容纳犹太人和巴勒斯坦人。
“I believe annexing 2.8 million Palestinians in Judea and Samaria (West Bank) and another 2 million Palestinians in the Gaza Strip will be a disaster for Israel. I do not want that.”A binational state entails the establishment of a single state for Jews and Palestinians in the region extending between the Jordan River and the Mediterranean Sea -- that is, historic Palestine.
“我想要一个犹太人民的家园，拥有强大的犹太人多数——一个对自己充满信心的强大国家，”他补充道。
“I want a state that is the homeland of the Jewish people, with a strong Jewish majority -- a strong state that is confident in itself,” he added.
艾森科特还拒绝了利伯曼的提议，即解散巴勒斯坦权力机构，在被占领的约旦河西岸大约一半地区建立以色列-约旦联邦，并将剩余地区并入以色列。
Eisenkot also rejected Lieberman’s proposal to dissolve the PA, establish an Israeli-Jordanian confederation across roughly half of the occupied West Bank and annex the remainder to Israel.
“我强烈反对它，”艾森科特说。“我反对任何约旦军队在犹大和撒马利亚地区的部署或介入。责任完全由以色列军队承担。”他说，只要整体安全控制权仍掌握在以色列手中，他不会反对巴勒斯坦警察力量处理民事事务。“在约旦河和地中海之间没有其他军事力量，”他说。艾森科特没有提出巴勒斯坦问题的替代性政治解决方案。
“I strongly oppose it,” Eisenkot said. “I oppose any Jordanian deployment or involvement in Judea and Samaria. Responsibility rests solely with the Israeli army.”He said he will not object to a Palestinian police force handling civilian affairs as long as overall security control remained in Israeli hands. “There is no other military force between the river and the sea,” he said. Eisenkot did not offer an alternative political solution to the Palestinian issue.
关于加沙，他表示以色列应专注于拆除哈马斯的军事和治理能力，在该飞地建立不同的治理当局，并开展长期进程，旨在防止2023年10月7日事件的重演。
On Gaza, he said Israel should focus on dismantling Hamas’ military and governing capabilities, creating a different governing authority in the enclave and conducting a long-term process aimed at preventing a repeat of the Oct. 7, 2023 events.
艾森科特还批评了内塔尼亚胡政府，称美国实际上已承担起涉及伊朗、加沙和黎巴嫩事务的责任。
Eisenkot also criticized Netanyahu’s government, saying the US had effectively taken responsibility for arrangements involving Iran, Gaza and Lebanon.
不过，他表示，以色列政府与华盛顿达成的任何协议也将对他具有约束力，他将坚持执行该协议。
He nevertheless said any agreement concluded by the Israeli government with Washington will also bind him and that he would insist on implementing it.
自2022年12月下旬以来，内塔尼亚胡一直领导着当前政府，这一联盟普遍被描述为以色列历史上最右翼的政府。
Netanyahu has headed the current government since late December 2022, a coalition widely described as the most right-wing in Israel’s history.
当被问及如果反对派未能赢得至少61个议会席位，他将如何组建政府，以及他是否会依赖阿拉伯政党时，艾森科特阐述了四项原则，称这些原则将是他领导的政府加入的前提条件。
Asked how he would form a government if the opposition failed to win at least 61 Knesset seats, and whether he would rely on Arab parties, Eisenkot laid out four principles that he said would be prerequisites for joining a government he leads.
他们包括承认以色列是“一个犹太的、民主的和自由的国家”。他还要求接受对所有公民——犹太人、阿拉伯人和极端正统派犹太人——实施强制性的军事、国民或民事服务，并支持拆除哈马斯的军事和治理能力。
They include recognizing Israel as “a Jewish, democratic and liberal state.”He also demanded acceptance of mandatory military, national or civilian service for all citizens -- Jews, Arabs and ultra-Orthodox Jews -- and support for dismantling Hamas’ military and governing capabilities.
“当我看阿拉伯党派时，我看不到任何接受这四项原则的阿拉伯党派，”他说。“这就是为什么无论您问我关于这个人还是那个人，都无关紧要。”
“When I look at the Arab parties, I do not see any Arab party that accepts the four principles,” he said. “That is why it does not matter whether you ask me about this person or that person.”
当被具体问及拉阿姆党领袖曼苏尔·阿巴斯是否能加入他的政府时，艾森科特说：“曼苏尔·阿巴斯不接受这四项原则，因此他不是我政府的一部分。”他同样以此为由排除了贾巴林领导的联合名单作为联盟伙伴的可能性。
Asked specifically whether Ra’am leader Mansour Abbas could join his government, Eisenkot said: “Mansour Abbas does not accept the four principles, so he is not part of my government.”He similarly ruled out the Joint List led by Jabareen as a coalition partner under those conditions.
当被问及他被指控为支持撤离非法定居点并建立巴勒斯坦国的左翼人士时，艾森科特予以否认。
Asked about accusations that he is a leftist who supports evacuating illegal settlements and establishing a Palestinian state, Eisenkot rejected the characterization.
“我从未把自己定义为左翼，”他说。“我把自己定义为以色列爱国者和热爱这片土地的人。”
“I have never defined myself as left-wing,” he said. “I have defined myself as an Israeli patriot and someone who loves the land.”
“我支持犹太人定居，但有两个前提条件，”他补充道。“第一，必须符合以色列的国家利益图谋；第二，必须遵守法律。”以色列自1967年以来一直占领着约旦河西岸，包括东耶路撒冷。国际法认为，以色列在被占领的巴勒斯坦领土上建立的定居点是非法的。
“I support Jewish settlement under two conditions,” he added. “First, that it is in accordance with Israel’s map of national interests, and second, that it complies with the law.”Israel has occupied the West Bank, including East Jerusalem, since 1967. Israeli settlements built on occupied Palestinian territory are considered illegal under international law.