加利福尼亚州正在为今冬可能出现的历史性厄尔尼诺做准备。预警提醒沿海地区将出现暴雨、洪水、山体滑坡和巨浪。随着天气模式日益增强，官员们正在为其可能对该州造成的影响做好准备。预报是什么？加利福尼亚州正在为可能出现的历史性厄尔尼诺做准备。据《旧金山纪事报》报道，2026-27年厄尔尼诺正接近创纪录水平。
California is preparing for a possibly historic El Nino this winter. Forecasts warn of heavy rain, floods, landslides and huge waves along the coast. As the weather pattern grows stronger, officials are getting ready for its possible impact on the state. What is the forecast? California is getting ready for a possible historic El Nino. As per the SF Chronicle, the 2026-27 El Nino is close to record territory.
科学家们现在更加确信，它将对该州的降雨和降雪产生重大影响。州长办公室表示，今年出现非常强厄尔尼诺的概率超过90%，出现历史性强度厄尔尼诺的概率为75%。海辛-西蒙斯基金会的气候科学家约翰·奥布赖恩表示：“出现平均冬季的可能性非常低。”超强厄尔尼诺冬季天气预报：12月、1月和2月美国各地可能出现什么情况？
Scientists are now more sure that it will have a big effect on the state’s rain and snow. The governor’s office said there is a more than 90% chance of a very strong El Nino this year and a 75% chance of one of historic strength. John O’Brien, a climate scientist at the Heising-Simons Foundation, said: “The odds of an average winter are very low.”Super El Nino winter weather forecast: What December, January and February could bring across the USWhen will it hit?
何时会到来？一些影响已经开始显现。据《卫报》报道，在此之前，美国国家气象局从未在9月为旧金山湾区发布过沿海洪水警告。而在过去一个月里，它已经发布了两次。南加州海岸曾遭遇巨浪袭击，导致房屋受损、海岸侵蚀。主要雨季仍在后续到来。据《旧金山纪事报》报道，北美多模式集合预测显示，从12月到4月，加利福尼亚州将出现高于正常水平的降雨。
Some effects have already started. As per The Guardian, before this year the US National Weather Service had never issued a September coastal flood advisory for the San Francisco Bay Area. In the past month, it has issued two. Southern California’s coast was hit by huge waves that damaged homes and ate away beaches. The main rain season is still to come. As per the SF Chronicle, the North American Multi-Model Ensemble forecasts above-normal rain across California from December through April.
欧洲中期天气预报中心表示，旧金山及加州其他地区从12月至少到2月期间，降雨量可能达到正常水平的两倍。《老农夫年鉴》10月11日至20日的天气预报：美国将出现什么天气？哪些地区风险最高？预计洛杉矶和圣地亚哥将面临更高的极端降雨风险。
The European Center for Medium-Range Forecasts says San Francisco and other parts of California could get twice as much rain as normal from December through at least February. Old Farmer's Almanac weather forecast for October 11-20: What weather will the US see? Which areas are most at risk? Los Angeles and San Diego are expected to face a higher risk of extreme rainfall.
应急规划者和斯克里普斯海洋研究所的研究人员告诉ABC新闻，马里布、西尔比奇、海洋赛德、恩西尼塔斯、卡尔斯巴德和德尔马等沿海社区可能面临巨浪、海滩侵蚀和异常的海平面变化。洛杉矶市中心、旧金山、圣罗莎和丘拉维斯塔等内陆地区可能面临突发洪水。如果强大的大气河流带来暴雨，蒙罗维亚等山坡社区可能面临泥石流和碎屑流的风险。
Emergency planners and researchers at the Scripps Institution of Oceanography told ABC News that coastal communities like Malibu, Seal Beach, Oceanside, Encinitas, Carlsbad and Del Mar could face high surf, beach erosion and unusual sea-level changes. Inland areas such as downtown Los Angeles, San Francisco, Santa Rosa and Chula Vista could face flash flooding. Hillside communities such as Monrovia may be at risk of mudslides and debris flows if strong atmospheric rivers bring heavy rain.
据《卫报》报道，厄尔尼诺现象的影响将使加州海平面额外上升一英尺。这是在过去一个世纪气候变化导致的8到12英寸海平面上升之上的额外上升，州气象学家迈克尔·安德森如是说。加州如何做准备？加州州长加文·纽瑟姆于9月21日宣布进入紧急状态，该命令旨在极端天气来临前向社区运送物资。它还让国民警卫队做好准备，以协助防洪和搜救工作。
As per The Guardian, the effects of El Nino will add an extra foot of sea level rise in California. This is on top of the 8 to 12 inches of rise caused by climate change over the last century, said state climatologist Michael Anderson. How is California preparing? Governor Gavin Newsom declared a state of emergency on September 21, the order is meant to bring supplies to communities before the extreme weather hits. It also gets the National Guard ready to help with flood response and search and rescue.
州政府机构已被指示做好道路和关键基础设施的准备。据《卫报》报道，许多地方正在开展工作。在长滩，海堤已用大型沙袋加固，以加强被强浪冲破的薄弱点。在橙县，大约69万立方码（52.8万立方米）的沙子正在沿海岸线推送。在圣地亚哥，工人们正在洪水区挨家挨户地走访，帮助小企业做好建筑防护准备。如何做准备根据政府的指示，以下是需要牢记的事项：注册警报。
State agencies have been told to get roads and key infrastructure ready. According to The Guardian, work is going on in many places. In Long Beach, the seawall has been lined with large sandbags to strengthen spots where strong waves have burst through. In Orange County, about 690,000 cubic yards (528,000 cubic meters) of sand is being pushed along the coastline. In San Diego, workers are going door to door in flood zones to help small businesses get their buildings ready. How to prepareAccording to the Government, these are the things to keep in mind:Sign up for alerts.
从您所在的城市或县获取紧急警报。在大风暴期间，情况可能瞬间变化，因此请遵循当地官员的指示。了解您的洪水风险。检查您的住所或工作场所是否位于易发洪水区。同时检查它是否位于最近的野火区域之下，因为暴雨可能引发洪水、碎屑流和泥石流。制定疏散计划。了解如果您需要快速撤离，您将去往何处以及如何到达那里。
Get emergency alerts from your city or county. Conditions can change fast during big storms, so follow what local officials say. Know your flood risk. Check if your home or workplace is in a flood-prone area. Also check if it is below a recent wildfire area, where heavy rain can cause floods, debris flows and mudslides. Make an evacuation plan. Know where you would go and how you would get there if you had to leave quickly.
准备好应急工具包，其中包括宠物和其他动物的计划、药品和物资。切勿驾车通过洪水。洪水可能比看起来更深、更快，且其下方的道路可能受损或被冲毁。请掉头改走其他路线。加州肯定会迎来一个多雨的冬季，但这会增加强风暴的风险。居民可以采取以下简单步骤来保持安全。
Keep an emergency kit ready with plans, medicines and supplies for pets and other animals. Never drive through floodwater. It can be deeper and faster than it looks, and the road under it may be damaged or washed out. Turn around and take another route. California will definitely have a wet winter, but it raises the risk of strong storms. Residents can take these simple steps to stay safe.