曼谷，10月12日 - 国际货币基金组织周一表示，人工智能有助于抵消亚洲部分国家人口老龄化导致的劳动力减少，前提是其在该地区的采用能够均衡推广，而不是加剧现有差距。
BANGKOK, Oct 12 - Artificial intelligence could help offset Asia's shrinking workforce as some countries' populations age, provided its adoption is scaled evenly across the region instead of deepening existing disparities, the International Monetary Fund said on Monday.
在亚洲挑战与机遇一书发布会上，国际货币基金组织总裁克里斯塔利娜·格奥尔基耶娃表示，人口结构、经济一体化和技术（特别是人工智能）是该地区面临的三大“转型”。
Speaking at the launch of an IMF book on challenges and opportunities in Asia, IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva said demography, economic integration and technology, specifically AI, are the three big "transformations" facing the region.
“人工智能预计将提升先进亚洲地区的增长，这些地区正面临人口老龄化，提升幅度在半个百分点到一个百分点之间……令人惊讶的是，如果这些国家能够捕捉到生产力提升和这一增长，它们将不仅能够抵消人口结构带来的压力。”
"AI is projected to lift up growth in advanced Asia, where the ageing populations are, somewhere between half a percentage and one percentage point... and what is amazing is that if the countries capture productivity and this growth, they will more than offset the demographic pressure," she said.
该书呈现的研究结果显示，中国、日本和韩国等国家在今年至2050年间可能失去近25%的劳动人口，而这种损失可能通过人工智能带来的生产力提升来抵消。
Findings presented in the book show that countries such as China, Japan and South Korea could lose nearly 25% of their working population between now and 2050, a loss that could be offset by productivity gains made from AI.
然而，国际货币基金组织亚洲及太平洋部门主任克里希纳·斯里尼瓦桑警告称，政策制定者必须在平衡人工智能采用带来的益处与亚洲各国之间分化加剧的风险之间取得平衡。
However, Krishna Srinivasan, director of the IMF's Asia and Pacific department, cautioned that policymakers must balance the benefits from AI adoption against the risk of a widening divergence across countries in Asia.
“关键在于人工智能是增强工人能力还是取代工作。发达经济体肯定面临更大暴露，但它们也更有能力从中受益。新兴市场暴露较少，但也处于较不利的位置来捕捉收益。”斯里尼瓦桑在该书发布会上表示，该发布会是曼谷国际货币基金组织和世界银行年会的一部分。
"What matters is whether AI augments workers or automates jobs. Advanced economies, for sure, are more exposed, but they are also better placed to benefit. Emerging markets are less exposed, but also less in a position to capture the upside," Srinivasan said at the book launch, which was part of IMF and World Bank annual meetings in Bangkok.
“好消息是，提升技能和生产力的改革可以使人工智能的采用提前十年甚至更多。”格奥尔基耶娃还表示，更深层次的区域贸易协定和非关税壁垒的降低有望在长期内将亚洲的国内生产总值提高约1.8%。
"The good news here is reforms that raise skills and productivity can bring adoption forward by a decade or more." Georgieva also said deeper regional trade agreements and a reduction in non-tariff barriers could raise Asia's GDP by about 1.8% in the long run.