
2025年5月30日,联邦特工在新泽西州纽瓦克的德莱尼大厅。
Federal agents at Delaney Hall in Newark, New Jersey, on 30 May.
从餐馆到农场再到医疗保健,美国总统的强硬政策已经重塑了美国人的日常生活。如果说唐纳德·特朗普兑现了一项竞选承诺,那就是他承诺实施“大规模驱逐”。两年后,选民正不安地面对其后果。
From restaurants to farms to healthcare, the US president’s hardline policies have reshaped Americans’ daily lives If there is one campaign promise that Donald Trump has kept, it is his pledge to deliver “mass deportations”. Two years later, voters are living uneasily with the consequences.
特朗普本人将今年11月的中期选举——决定哪个政党控制国会两院——称为对其总统任期的公投。在许多方面,这也将成为对其强硬反移民政策以及这些政策重塑美国人日常生活的多方面方式的公投。
Trump himself has called the midterm elections this November – which will decide which party controls each house of Congress – a referendum on his presidency. In many ways, they will also serve as a referendum of his hardline anti-immigration policies, and the multitudinous ways they have reshaped Americans’ daily lives.
在佛罗里达,餐馆和酒店业主表示,移民与海关执法局(ICE)的存在吓跑了工人和顾客,共和党众议员玛丽亚·埃尔维拉·萨拉扎尔(María Elvira Salazar)正在争取连任,她在一则西班牙语广告中与总统划清界限,称其移民打击“背叛”了她所在选区的西班牙裔选民。
In Florida, restaurant and hotel owners have said that ICE’s presence is frightening away both workers and customers, and Republican congresswoman María Elvira Salazar, who is running for re-election, aired a Spanish-language ad breaking with the president, saying his immigration crackdown had “betrayed” Hispanic voters in her district.
在缅因州,25岁寻求庇护者被ICE致命枪击的事件为共和党参议员苏珊·柯林斯(Susan Collins)的连任竞选蒙上阴影,她曾支持特朗普加强移民执法的计划。
In Maine, the fatal ICE shooting of a 25-year-old asylum seeker has cast a pall over the campaign to re-elect Republican senator Susan Collins, who supported Trump’s plans to supercharge immigration enforcement.
在堪萨斯,养牛业者称ICE行动对“合法、持证、技术熟练的牛肉供应链工人”产生了“巨大的寒蝉效应”,并警告肉类价格将因此飙升。与此同时,曾强力支持特朗普移民议程的共和党参议员罗杰·马歇尔(Roger Marshall)在竞争日益激烈的连任竞选中开始感到不安,软化了其强硬言辞。
In Kansas, cattle ranchers said ICE operations were having “a massive chilling effect on the legal, documented, skilled workers that put beef on the table” and warned that meat prices would spike as a result. At the same time, Republican senator Roger Marshall – who had once vehemently backed Trump’s immigration agenda – started to grow uneasy in a tightening re-election race, and softened his hardline rhetoric.
在堪萨斯城国际机场,移民与海关执法局(ICE)对被铐住手腕和脚踝的无证移民进行搜查后,安排其搭乘包机。被拘留者被送往路易斯安那州、德克萨斯州或亚利桑那州,在那里他们被送回或运往其原籍国。照片来源:《堪萨斯城星报》/TNS在德克萨斯州,近期发生了多起由美国移民与海关执法局(ICE)实施的暴力逮捕事件,其中包括7月份的一起致命枪击案和9月份的一起非致命枪击案。
民主党参议院候选人詹姆斯·塔拉里科(James Talarico)似乎正在逐渐获得支持,他的主张是:特朗普领导的ICE部门已经走得太过了。
Undocumented immigrants, shackled at the wrists and ankles, were searched before boarding a charter flight at Kansas City International Airport, run by the Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) Department. The detainees were flown to Louisiana, Texas or Arizona, where they are returned to or flown to the detainees countries of origin. Photograph: Kansas City Star/TNS And in Texas, which has seen a slew of violent ICE arrests including a fatal shooting in July and a non-fatal shooting in September, Democratic Senate candidate James Talarico appears to be gaining momentum against the state’s Trump-backed attorney general Ken Paxton, with a message that Trump’s ICE has gone too far.

多项全国性民调显示,选民对特朗普政府军事化的移民执法手段越来越反感。路透社与Ipsos联合发布的一项民调显示,只有36%的选民支持特朗普处理移民问题的方式;根据皮尤研究中心(Pew Research Center)的调查,一半的美国人认为政府的移民政策过于激进。
Several national polls have shown voters’ growing distaste for the Trump administration’s militarized immigration enforcement operations. A Reuters/Ipsos poll released on 21 September found that only 36% of voters approved of Trump’s handling of immigration. According to Pew research, half of Americans see the administration’s immigration tactics as too aggressive.
在德克萨斯州,《纽约时报》与锡耶纳大学(Siena University)最近联合进行的一项民调发现,当地选民在两位参议院候选人中对于谁更能够妥善处理移民问题持中立态度——这一结果在该州尤为引人注目,因为该州近40年来从未选出过民主党参议员。
In Texas, a recent poll by the New York Times and Siena University found voters there evenly split on which Senate candidate they trusted more to handle immigration – a striking shift in a state that hasn’t elected a Democratic senator in almost 40 years.
尽管拉丁裔选民在2024年大选中倾向于支持特朗普,但他们仍然将经济问题视为最重要的议题;然而,绝大多数拉丁裔选民强烈反对特朗普的移民政策。NBC新闻与Telemundo联合在10月份对拉丁裔选民进行的调查显示,三分之二的受访者认为特朗普的移民执法政策“已经走得太过了”。这一问题在拉丁裔社区中引起了广泛关注:超过四分之一的受访者表示他们认识因ICE行动而被驱逐或拘留的人;另有17%的受访者表示,由于对ICE的担忧,他们或他们的亲友考虑过今年不亲自去投票。
And while Latino voters, who swung toward Trump in 2024, still rank the economy as a top issue, a strong majority are viscerally opposed to the president’s immigration agenda. An October NBC News/Telemundo poll ofed Latino voters found that two-thirds believe his enforcement policies have gone “too far”. The issue is deeply felt, with more than one in four saying they know someone who had been deported or detained by ICE since Trump’s second term began, and 17% saying that they or someone close to them had considered not voting in person this year because of concerns about ICE.
2026年9月21日,美国移民与海关执法局(ICE)在德克萨斯州奥斯汀市安德森广场(Anderson Square)与研究大道(Research Boulevard)的交叉口实施了枪击行动,导致威尔伯·拉斐尔·加尔塞斯·佩雷斯(Wilbur Rafael Garces Perez)遇害。
The site of the Wilbur Rafael Garces Perez shooting by Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) at the intersection of Anderson Square and Research Boulevard in Austin, Texas, on September 21, 2026.

在明尼阿波利斯发生的移民执法行动中两名美国公民被杀害后,引发了公众的强烈抗议。特朗普政府随即表示将采取更为温和的移民政策;新任国土安全部部长马克韦恩·穆林也表示,他的目标是让移民执法部门(ICE)不再成为新闻的焦点。
After the killing of two US citizens during immigration raids in Minneapolis sparked massive public backlash, the Trump administration signalled it would take a softer approach, and the new homeland security secretary, Markwayne Mullin, said his goal would be to keep ICE out of the news headlines.
然而,移民执法人员仍在继续开枪执法。随着全国范围内的执法行动不断加剧,移民被捕人数创下历史新高,选民们越来越意识到移民执法部门的影响力正在不断扩大。
But immigration agents are still shooting people And with enforcement operations across the US gaining momentum, and immigration arrests at a record high voters are continuing to see a supercharged ICE at work.
“这确实给当地社区带来了严重的干扰,”堪萨斯州福特县的共和党主席斯科特·菲舍尔对《Politico》杂志表示,“我们不希望自己的社区受到这种影响。”“这是一个涉及整个经济体系的问题。”
“It does cause quite a disruption in the community,” Scott Fischer, the Republican chair in Ford county, Kansas, told Politico. “We don’t want our community disrupted.”‘It’s an issue across the economy’
更为关键的是,选民们以及那些试图争取他们支持的政客们逐渐意识到:尽管移民问题在民意调查中并不属于最受关注的问题,但特朗普的移民政策实际上已经影响了他们关心的所有其他重要议题。
Perhaps even more pertinently, voters – and the politicians vying for their support – are coming to the realization that even if immigration itself doesn’t rank in surveys as a top issue, Trump’s immigration policies have affected every other issue that matters to them.
“即使移民问题并非选民投票时的首要考虑因素,人们普遍认为总统的政策已经走得太远,并且这些政策正在影响到非移民群体,”密歇根州立大学的政治科学家兼公共政策教授马修·格罗斯曼指出。
“Even if this isn’t a top concern for voters casting their ballots, it is a part of a general perception that the president’s policies have gone too far, and that they’re affecting people who are not immigrants,” said Matthew Grossman, a political scientist and professor of public policy at Michigan State University.
以生活成本为例——这一直是选民在中期选举中的主要关切之一。特朗普的移民执法行动以及他剥夺数千名工人工作许可的政策,不仅对畜牧业造成了影响,还波及了农业、餐饮服务、酒店业和建筑行业等多个领域。
Take, for instance, the cost of living – a consistently top-ranking issue for voters in midterm polls Trump’s immigration raids, and his policies stripping legal work permits from thousands of workers, are causing disruptions not just in the cattle industry, but also across agriculture, food service, hospitality and construction.
“许多行业部门都依赖移民,所以这在整个经济中都是一个问题,”堪萨斯畜牧协会首席执行官马特·蒂加登说。乳制品生产者和牧场主长期以来一直向政府游说,要求为为其企业提供劳动力的移民工人开辟更多合法渠道。但现在,美国牛群已缩减至75年来的最低水平——牧场主正为满足消费者需求而苦苦挣扎,蒂加登说,并补充道:“但没有劳动力他们无法扩张。”
“So many industry segments are reliant on immigrants, so it’s an issue across the economy,” said Matt Teagarden, CEO of the Kansas Livestock Association. Dairy producers and ranchers have long lobbied the government to create more legal pathways for the immigrant workers who staff their enterprises. But now, the US cattle herd has shrunk to its lowest numbers in 75 years – and ranchers are struggling to keep up with consumer demand, Teagarden said, adding: “But they are not able to expand without the workforce.”
一名被拘留者在2026年6月5日于新泽西州纽瓦克的德莱尼大厅移民拘留中心外的抗议者旁边接受采访。
A detainee acknowledges protesters outside of Delaney Hall Immigration Detention Center on June 05, 2026 in Newark, New Jersey.

与此同时,约三分之二的农场工人是非公民移民。随着政府针对这些工人,食品生产商可能难以维持运营,价格预计将大幅上涨,智库Fwd.us的一项研究称。厨师卡洛斯·拉巴在巴尔的摩的克拉维尔餐厅的许多员工是萨尔瓦多人,他们在美国生活和工作多年,持有临时保护身份(TPS)。特朗普已撤销了数千名海地人和叙利亚人的TPS,如果政府也撤销萨尔瓦多人——正被迫切预期将要撤销——的TPS保护,拉巴在国会听证会上表示,他可能失去80%的员工。“如果他们全部离开,我们就无法像现在这样运营,”他说。
Meanwhile, about two-thirds of farm workers are non-citizen immigrants. As the administration targets these workers, food producers could struggle to keep up operations, and prices are expected to increase steeply, according to a study by the thinktank Fwd.us Many of the staff at chef Carlos Raba’s restaurant Clavel in Baltimore are Salvadorians who have lived and worked in the US for years while holding temporary protected status (TPS). Trump has already revoked TPS for thousands of Haitians and Syrians, and if the administration also revokes TPS protections for Salvadorians – as it is imminently expected to do – Raba could lose 80% of his staff, he said at a congressional hearing. “We could not operate the way that we operate today if they are all gone,” he said.
“我一直在想那些我共事的厨师、洗碗工、农民、面包师、企业家,”他说。“他们是我的同事、我的朋友,也是我的社区。”特朗普的马阿拉歌高尔夫球场不远处的一家汉堡餐厅老板表示,总统的政策和移民突袭不仅影响了工人,也影响了顾客——由于ICE官员的持续存在,顾客们害怕出来用餐。“我们的销售额下降了70%。我们每天要花好几个小时才能清空餐厅,”Pipo Burgers的凯蒂娅·里奥斯说。
“I think about the cooks, dishwashers, farmers, bakers, entrepreneurs that I work with,” he said. “They are my co-workers, my friends and my community.”The owner of a burger restaurant not far from Trump’s Mar-a-Lago golf course said the president’s policies and immigration raids had affected not only workers but also customers, who are scared to come out and eat due to the constant presence of ICE officers.”Our sales have dropped 70%.
医疗保健也是如此,这尤其成为农村选民关注的首要议题,正如KFF-AP民意调查所示。根据代表北美医生的非营利组织美国医学院协会的数据,美国近四分之一的医生是在国外接受培训的——而这些移民医生一直是解决医务人员短缺的关键力量,尤其是在农村地区,因为很少有美国医生愿意前往那里工作。养老院和老年护理设施——这些场所同样严重依赖移民护理人员——也陷入了困境。
We spend hours empty,” said Katia Rios of Pipo Burgers The same applies for healthcare, a top issue especially for rural voters, according to a KFF-AP poll According to the Association of American Medical Colleges, a non-profit organization representing physicians in North America, nearly one in four doctors in the US was trained abroad – and these immigrant physicians have been key to addressing medical staff shortages especially in rural areas, where few American doctors want to move. Senior living and eldercare facilities – which are also heavily staffed with immigrant caregivers – have also been left in the lurch.
据《波士顿环球报》报道,今年夏天突然失去合法身份的33万海地临时保护状态(TPS)持有者中,约有1.3万人每天在养老院工作,担任护理助理,照顾着6.5万名患者。即使不是牧场主或餐馆老板的选民,他们可能并不清楚移民政策如何直接影响自身的经济状况,但正如密歇根州立大学的格罗斯曼所说,他们仍然能感受到这些政策的影响。
Of the 330,000 Haitian TPS holders who suddenly lost their legal status this summer, about 13,000 work daily as nursing assistants, caring for 65,000 patients, according to the Boston Globe. Even voters who aren’t cattle ranchers or restaurateurs, who might not clearly see the impacts of immigration policies on their economic reality, are nonetheless feeling the effects, said Grossman, of Michigan State University.
“无论人们是否能把总统的政策与实际结果联系起来,如果这些政策确实产生了真实影响,那么这就会成为人们倾向于反对执政党的另一个渠道,”他说。
“Regardless of whether people connect the dots between the president’s policies and outcomes, if those policies have real effects, then that’s another channel by which people tend to move against the party in power,” he said. Lauren Gambino contributed reporting