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新研究发现,特朗普关税下美国本土商品也变得更贵American-made goods also got more expensive under Trump tariffs, new research finds

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美国人不仅面临着进口商品价格上涨的问题;根据纽约联邦储备银行的新研究,由于唐纳德·特朗普总统实施的关税政策,他们现在还不得不为美国本土生产的产品支付更高的价格。

Americans aren't just seeing the price tag increase for imported goods. Thanks to President Donald Trump's tariffs, they are now paying more for products made in the U.S.A., according to new research from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York.

事实上,该研究发现:如果没有特朗普的关税政策,许多日常消费品的价格本应在去年及2026年初下降。

In fact, the research finds that prices for many everyday goods would have fallen last year and into early 2026 without Trump's tariffs.

这些研究结果进一步证明了特朗普政府在经济政策中的核心措施——即全面征收关税——对美国人生活的影响;而距离中期选举仅剩一个月的时间,情况似乎还在恶化。

The findings offer new evidence of how the sweeping tariff policy, a centerpiece of the president's economic agenda during his second term, have affected Americans’ wallets — and it's only getting worse with just one month until the midterm elections. TRUMP BET TARIFFS WOULD BRING BACK AMERICAN FACTORY JOBS.

特朗普曾声称关税政策能够恢复美国制造业的就业机会,但最新报告显示这一目标并未实现。经济学家们早就警告过关税会推高消费者价格,但由于贸易政策不断变化,以及企业需要自行决定是承担更高的成本还是将这些成本转嫁给消费者,因此很难准确衡量关税的真正影响。

NEW REPORT SAYS IT DIDN'T WORK Economists had long warned that tariffs would drive up consumer prices, but measuring their precise impact has been difficult as trade policies shifted and companies made decisions about whether to absorb higher costs or pass them along to shoppers. Put simply, the New York Fed found that tariffs kept prices higher on many of the goods Americans buy every day.

根据纽约联邦储备银行的最新研究,关税导致许多日常消费品的价格保持在较高水平。(Charly Triballeau/AFP/Getty Images)Tariffs kept prices higher on many everyday consumer goods, according to new research from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. (Charly Triballeau/AFP/Getty Images)

简而言之,纽约联邦储备银行发现:关税导致美国人日常购买的许多商品价格持续上涨。如果没有这些关税,本研究涉及的消费品价格本应在2026年初之前下降,但实际上价格却上升了。研究人员估计,关税政策使相关商品的价格平均上涨了2.9个百分点。值得注意的是,这种价格上涨的影响并不仅限于那些受到关税冲击最严重的进口产品;美国本土生产的产品价格也同样受到了影响。

Without the tariffs, prices across the consumer goods examined for this study would have fallen by early 2026. Instead, they rose. The researchers estimated that tariffs added about 2.9 percentage points to prices across the goods they studied. And the impact, notably, was not limited to imported products facing the most fallout from tariffs. The New York Fed found that Trump's policies pushed up prices on American-made goods. Researchers estimated that about two-thirds of the tariff-related price increase came from imports, while roughly one-third came from products made in the United States.

白宫则反驳称,关税政策最终会惠及美国工人,并且这些成本最终将由外国出口商承担。

FLOURISH CHART SHOWING FED FINDINGS: 30552508 The White House pushed back, arguing that tariffs will ultimately benefit U.S. workers and be paid by foreign exporters.

“特朗普总统的‘美国优先’贸易议程正在重塑国际经济秩序,以减少我们的贸易逆差,振兴美国制造业,并为我们的工人、农民和生产者带来持久的好处,”白宫发言人泰勒·罗杰斯对福克斯新闻数字版表示。

"President Trump’s America First trade agenda is reshaping the international economic order to reduce our trade deficit, revitalize American manufacturing, and deliver lasting benefits to our workers, farmers, and producers," White House spokeswoman Taylor Rogers told Fox News Digital.

罗杰斯补充说,政府一直坚持认为,依赖进入美国市场的外国出口商最终将承担关税的成本。

The administration has maintained that foreign exporters reliant on access to the U.S. market will ultimately bear the cost of tariffs, Rogers added.

赢得中期选举关键州的胜利是特朗普加拿大贸易战的真正失败者。卡托研究所普通经济学副总裁斯科特·林西科姆对福克斯新闻数字版表示,只要关税仍然存在,消费者可能看不到显著的缓解。

A MUST-WIN MIDTERM STATE IS THE REAL LOSER OF TRUMP'S CANADA TRADE WAR Scott Lincicome, vice president of general economics at the Cato Institute, told Fox News Digital that consumers may not see significant relief as long as tariffs remain in place.

特朗普将关税作为其经济议程的核心特征,主张关税将加强美国制造业,并使就业和投资回流美国。(Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images)Trump has made tariffs a defining feature of his economic agenda, arguing they will strengthen American manufacturing and bring jobs and investment back to the United States. (Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images)

“我们知道的是,关税已经略微提高了价格,”林西科姆说。“我们不知道的是,价格是否会保持在当前水平,或者随着公司最终屈服并开始将更多关税成本转嫁给消费者而进一步上涨一点。”“只要关税仍然存在,我们不太可能看到价格下降,”他补充道。

"What we know is that the tariffs have increased prices a bit," Lincicome said. "What we don't know is whether the prices will stay where they are or go up even a little bit more as companies finally cave and start passing on more of the tariff costs onto consumers." "As long as the tariffs remain in place, it's unlikely we're going to see price declines," he added.

研究还发现,与关税相关的价格上涨可能需要长达一年的时间才能完全传导给消费者,特别是当美国制造商面临进口材料和零部件成本上升时。

The research also found that tariff-related price increases can take up to a year to fully reach consumers, particularly when American manufacturers face higher costs for imported materials and components.

尽管研究人员估计现有关税的通胀影响已经基本达到峰值,但他们预计消费品价格将仍然高于否则应有的水平。

Although the researchers estimate that the inflationary impact of existing tariffs has largely peaked, they expect consumer goods prices to remain higher than they otherwise would have been.

在特朗普第二个任期的经济议程中,关税发挥了核心作用,因为政府正寻求将更多制造业和投资吸引回美国。(Mark Ralston/AFP/Getty Images)Tariffs have played a central role in Trump’s second-term economic agenda as the administration seeks to bring more manufacturing and investment to the United States. (Mark Ralston/AFP/Getty Images)

专家警告:5个州可能成为特朗普与加拿大贸易战的最大输家。这些发现可能具有政治影响,因为特朗普和共和党人将在11月面对选民,而他们在竞选期间曾承诺降低生活成本。

5 STATES COULD BE THE BIGGEST LOSERS IN TRUMP'S TRADE WAR WITH CANADA, EXPERT WARNS The findings could carry political implications as Trump and Republicans face voters in November after campaigning on lowering the cost of living.

“当你在竞选中承诺降低价格,但实际上却积极提高价格时,当选民回到投票站并对价格仍然过高感到愤怒时,这可能会让他们感到受伤,”林西科姆说。与此同时,更高的能源成本正在给美国家庭带来另一层压力。

"When you campaign on lowering prices and then you actually actively increase prices, it's probably gonna hurt when voters go back to the polls and are mad about prices still being too high," Lincicome said. Meanwhile, higher energy costs are adding another layer of pressure on American households.

“这对美国消费者来说真的是双重打击,因为首先是关税推高了许多产品的价格,接着又因伊朗战争导致能源价格飙升,”林西科姆说。

"It's really a double whammy for American consumers because first you had the tariffs which increased the prices of a lot of products. And then you had energy prices spike because of the Iran war," Lincicome said.

虽然汽油价格基本持平,但柴油成本已飙升至历史最高水平,威胁将波及更广泛的经济。(Robyn Beck/AFP/Getty Images)While gasoline prices have largely leveled off, diesel costs have surged to record highs, threatening to ripple through the broader economy. (Robyn Beck/AFP/Getty Images)

他警告称,柴油成本上升可能将推高除加油站以外的价格,增加依赖卡车、火车和农业设备的企业的运输费用。

He warned that rising diesel costs could push prices higher beyond the gas pump, increasing transportation expenses for businesses that rely on trucks, trains and agricultural equipment.

“这些因素将起到另一种关税的作用,因为它们会增加把产品送到你手中的成本,”他说。

"Those things are going to act as kind of another tariff because they're gonna increase the cost of getting that product to you," he said.