早上好。今年共和党面临的选举挑战，很大程度上源于那些在2024年转向支持特朗普总统、但随后又逐渐流失的选民群体，其中包括拉丁裔选民与年轻选民。2024年，特朗普在30岁以下选民中的得票率仅落后4个百分点。而最新的《华尔街日报》民调显示，如今这些年轻选民中，有20%的人表示会在国会选举中把票投给民主党而非共和党。
Good morning. The Republican Party’s election challenge this year comes in large part from groups that shifted toward President Trump in 2024 and have since slipped back—Latino voters and young voters, among them. Trump lost voters under age 30 by a mere 4 percentage points in 2024. Now, they say they will vote for a Democrat over a Republican for Congress by 20 points, the most recent Wall Street Journal poll shows.
另一个群体的变化或许更令共和党担忧：那些没有大学学历的工薪阶层白人选民，正是特朗普联盟的中坚力量。2024年特朗普在这一群体中的支持率优势超过30个百分点，2020年时这一优势也达到了25个百分点。
The shift among another group could be a more pressing worry. Working-class, white voters—those without a four-year college degree—have been the main pillar of the Trump coalition. Trump won them by more than 30 points in 2024 and by 25 points in 2020.