- 5亿美元的竞赛：德克萨斯州参议院选举已成为焦点之战，这从广告支出超过5亿美元可见一斑。今晚，CNN和Jubilee将举办一场由民主党候选人詹姆斯·塔拉里科参加的市政厅会议。如果您是德克萨斯州选民，请提交您的问题，并通过All Access订阅直播观看市政厅会议。
• The $500 million race: The Texas Senate race has become a marquee contest, reflected in ad spending surpassing half a billion dollars . Tonight, CNN and Jubilee are hosting a town hall with Democratic nominee James Talarico . Submit your questions if you’re a Texas voter, and stream the town hall live with an All Access subscription .
- 一场重要的辩论之夜：周二，缅因州、佐治亚州和爱荷华州的参议院辩论展示了共和党人如何应对艰难的政治环境，而参议院控制权正处于微弱分裂状态。
• A big debate night : Tuesday’s Senate debates in Maine, Georgia and Iowa offered a revealing look at how Republicans are navigating a difficult political environment, with control of the narrowly divided Senate at stake.
- 今日发生：唐纳德·特朗普总统将作为其竞选冲刺的一部分访问亚利桑那州和蒙大拿州，以巩固共和党选票。他本周已经访问了阿拉斯加州和俄亥俄州。
• Happening today : President Donald Trump will visit Arizona and Montana as part of his campaign blitz to shore up Republican votes. He’s already been to Alaska and Ohio this week.
随着美国中期选举现在不到三周，政客们正在加大竞选力度，众议院和参议院的控制权正处于微弱分裂状态。
With the US midterm elections now less than three weeks away, politicians are ramping up their campaigning, with control of the narrowly divided House and Senate at stake.
昨天，缅因州、佐治亚州和爱荷华州的参议院候选人进行了辩论，未来几天将有更多活动举行。以下是最新情况：在昨天的缅因州辩论中，参议员苏珊·柯林斯强调她与美国总统唐纳德·特朗普的独立性，她在与民主党挑战者特洛伊·杰克逊就伊朗战争、医疗削减以及与加拿大的贸易战进行交锋时表达了这一立场。
Yesterday saw Senate candidates debate in Maine, Georgia and Iowa , with more events taking place in the coming days. Here’s the latest: At yesterday’s debate in Maine, Sen. Susan Collins emphasized her independence from US President Donald Trump as she sparred with Democratic challenger Troy Jackson over the Iran war , healthcare cuts and a trade war with Canada.
与此同时，在佐治亚州，共和党众议员迈克·柯林斯攻击参议员乔恩·奥索夫，因其与杰弗里·爱泼斯坦文件中被点名的捐助者有关联——这一问题在很大程度上让共和党陷入被动。
Meanwhile, in Georgia, Republican Rep. Mike Collins attacked Sen. Jon Ossoff over his ties to a donor named in the Jeffrey Epstein files — an issue that has largely put Republicans on the defensive.
在爱荷华州，共和党众议员艾什莉·赫INSON和民主党州众议员乔什·图雷克也向选民陈述了他们在此次州参议院空缺选举中的主张。
In Iowa, Republican Rep. Ashley Hinson and Democratic state Rep. Josh Turek also made their case to voters for the state’s open Senate contest.
今天，特朗普计划在亚利桑那州和蒙大拿州举行集会，作为他针对共和党候选人的竞选活动的一部分，他的新任新闻秘书凯蒂·扎卡里亚称此为“中期冲刺”。
Today, Trump is set to hold rallies in Arizona and Montana, as part of a campaign for Republican candidates that his newly-minted press secretary Katie Zacharia called a “midterm blitz.”
今晚，CNN和Jubilee将于东部时间晚上8点举办一场市政厅会议，德克萨斯州参议院民主党候选人詹姆斯·塔拉里科将出席。
This evening, CNN and Jubilee will be hosting a town hall with Democratic Texas Senate candidate James Talerico at 8 p.m. ET.
市政厅将由Erin Burnett主持。观众可通过All Access订阅进行直播观看。德州登记选民可在此向Talarico提交问题。ing.随着中期选举进入最后阶段，共和党人正在摇摆州参议院选举的广告投入上花费数亿美元，以应对日益激烈的竞争，争取守住越来越难以保证的共和党席位。
The town hall will be moderated by Erin Burnett. Viewers can stream it live with an All Access subscription . Registered voters in Texas can submit their questions for Talarico here. ing. Republicans are spending hundreds of millions of dollars on advertising in battleground Senate races as they scramble to defend increasingly competitive GOP seats in the final stretch of the midterms.
根据AdImpact的数据，上个月在九个竞争最激烈的参议院选举中，共和党在广播电视广告上的累计支出几乎是民主党的两倍，达到2.33亿美元，而民主党仅为1.21亿美元，但共和党仅获得了大约多40%的收视点数。
Across nine of the most competitive Senate races last month, Republicans cumulatively outspent Democrats on broadcast TV ads by nearly 100% more, $233 million to $121 million, according to AdImpact data, but only saw about 40% more rating points.
这种差距源于策略上的不同。共和党严重依赖外部团体，如超级政治行动委员会（super PACs），这些团体为广告支付更高费用，并且在竞选后期进行大规模采购，当时广告库存已经紧张。
The disparity comes down to a difference in strategy. Republicans are relying heavily on outside groups, like super PACs, that pay elevated rates for ads and are making big buys late in the campaign, when inventory is stretched.
相比之下，民主党则利用候选人的折扣费率，并进行更早、成本更低的预订。
By contrast, Democrats are taking advantage of discounted rates for candidates and earlier, less expensive reservations.
此时，共和党在投入更多却收获更少，这意味着他们巨额资金优势带来的“冲击与震慑”效应未必能转化为实际的地面影响，资深共和党战略家约翰·托马斯如是说。
At this stage in the game, Republicans are spending more to get less, which means the “shock and awe” of their massive dollar advantage isn’t necessarily translating to an actual impact on the ground, according to veteran Republican strategist John Thomas.
他表示，更好的衡量标准是考虑总收视点数（GRPs），这是广告商用来衡量广告活动覆盖范围和频率的单位，与实际支付金额无关。
A better metric, he said, is to consider the gross rating points, or GRPs, a unit advertisers use to measure the reach and frequency of an ad campaign, independent of how much was paid for it.
在德州——民主党曾在9月份被共和党的广告支出压制，被超过4倍地超支——共和党仅获得了民主党的2.6倍GRPs。
In Texas – where Democrats were blasted by Republican ad money in September, outspent more than 4 times over – Republicans got only 2.6 times more GRPs than Democrats.
德州民主党参议院候选人詹姆斯·塔拉里科（James Talarico）的竞选活动花费略低于400万美元，播放其播出次数最多的广告，将帕克斯顿描述为“德州最腐败的政治家”，大约播放了8000次。这相当于仅花费了五分之一以下的资金，却获得了大约一半的播出时长。
Democratic Senate nominee James Talarico ’s campaign spent a little under $4 million to air its most aired ad , casting Paxton as “the most corrupt politician in Texas,” about 8,000 times. That amounts to less than one-fifth the spending for about half the airtime.
共和党参议员苏珊·柯林斯周二在缅因州参议院辩论中，与民主党人特洛伊·杰克逊的对决中进一步与特朗普总统保持距离。
Republican Sen. Susan Collins further distanced herself from President Donald Trump in the Maine Senate debate against Democrat Troy Jackson on Tuesday.
据州务卿数据显示，周二是佐治亚州现场提前投票的第一天，超过18.8万人投票。
More than 188,000 people voted in Georgia on Tuesday, the first day of in-person early voting, according to data from the secretary of state .
这一数字比2022年第一天投票的134,901人增加了约40%，尽管今年提前投票因周一是假日而晚了一天开始。
That’s about a 40% increase over the 134,901 people who voted on the first day in 2022, although early voting started a day later this year because Monday was a holiday.
但这一数字仍远低于2024年提前投票第一天的310,962人，当时是总统选举年，投票率更高。
That number was still well short of the 310,962 people who voted on the first day of early voting in 2024, which was a higher turnout presidential election.
《前线》节目。倒计时选举之夜。我们还有更多突发选举新闻。半十亿美元。这就是在德克萨斯州参议院竞选中，詹姆斯·塔拉里科和肯·帕克斯顿之间已经花在广告上的金额，令人难以置信。如果科宁参选的话，这场竞选甚至可能根本不会存在。资源源源不断地流入这场竞选。白宫是否担心民主党正处于制造重大冷门的边缘？而且不仅仅是特朗普在最近几周多次前往德克萨斯州。副总统范斯今天与肯·帕克斯顿一起出现，试图用以下信息赢得选民的支持。>> 你们比我更懂这句话。不要惹德克萨斯。你们知道为什么不要惹德克萨斯吗？因为如果你们惹了，肯·帕克斯顿会把你们踢出局。这就是原因。>> 杰夫·泽莱尼正站在前线。
EDITION OF OUTFRONT. COUNTDOWN TO ELECTION NIGHT. AND WE HAVE MORE BREAKING ELECTION NEWS. HALF $1 BILLION. THAT IS HOW MUCH MONEY HAS ALREADY BEEN SPENT ON ADS IN THE TEXAS SENATE RACE BETWEEN JAMES TALARICO AND KEN PAXTON, WHICH IS INCREDIBLE. A RACE THAT MIGHT NOT EVEN HAVE BEEN A RACE IF CORNYN WAS RUNNING. MONEY POURING INTO THAT RACE. HAS THE WHITE HOUSE WORRIED THAT DEMOCRATS ARE ON THE VERGE OF A MAJOR UPSET? AND IT IS NOT JUST TRUMP WHO HAS TRAVELED TO TEXAS MULTIPLE TIMES IN RECENT WEEKS. VICE PRESIDENT VANCE APPEARED WITH KEN PAXTON TODAY TRYING TO WIN OVER VOTERS WITH THIS MESSAGE. >> YOU ALL KNOW THE SAYING BETTER THAN I DO. YOU DON'T MESS WITH TEXAS. AND YOU KNOW WHY YOU DON'T MESS WITH TEXAS?
特雷西正挨家挨户地努力，一户一户地把德克萨斯变蓝。你说你对今年感到充满希望。>> 我确实如此。我觉得这只是一种感觉，我有这种感觉，感觉就是不同。>> 选举前三周，德克萨斯州已经不同了。
BECAUSE IF YOU DO, KEN PAXTON IS GOING TO KICK YOUR ASS. THAT'S WHY >> JEFF ZELENY IS OUT FRONT >> TRACY IS GOING DOOR TO DOOR TRYING TO TURN TEXAS BLUE ONE HOUSE AT A TIME. YOU SAID THAT YOU FEEL HOPEFUL ABOUT THIS YEAR. >> I DO.
突然之间，它成为参议院控制权之争的中心。>> 谢谢大家。>> 詹姆斯·塔拉里科正在吸引那些长期在德克萨斯州梦想着宏大蓝图的民主党人。>> 詹姆斯成功地抓住了很多人不满的焦点，并做得非常出色。
I FEEL LIKE IT'S JUST A FEELING THAT I HAVE, THAT IT JUST FEELS DIFFERENT. >> THREE WEEKS BEFORE THE ELECTION, TEXAS IS DIFFERENT. SUDDENLY, AT THE CENTER OF THE FIGHT FOR CONTROL OF THE SENATE. >> THANK YOU ALL SO MUCH. >> JAMES TALARICO IS CAPTIVATING DEMOCRATS WHO HAVE LONGED DREAMED BIG IN TEXAS. >> JAMES HAS DONE SUCH A GREAT JOB OF TAPPING INTO WHAT A LOT OF PEOPLE ARE UPSET ABOUT, AND
这不仅仅来自某一个党派。>> 我们以前听说过，今年是民主党人在德州赢得全州选举的年份。现在就是时候。您认为这有什么不同？>> 我认为这是因为自特朗普再次上任以来，事情变得如此糟糕。>> 我们遇到了终身共和党人皮特·诺伊德克，他解释了塔拉里科在与共和党对手肯·帕克斯顿的竞选中试图建立的联盟。>> 共和党已经被劫持了。
NOT JUST FROM ONE PARTY OR THE OTHER. >> WE'VE HEARD BEFORE THAT THIS IS THE YEAR FOR A DEMOCRAT TO WIN STATEWIDE IN TEXAS. THIS IS THE TIME. WHY IS THIS DIFFERENT, DO YOU THINK? >> I THINK BECAUSE THINGS HAVE GOTTEN SO UGLY SINCE TRUMP CAME INTO OFFICE AGAIN. >> WE MET LIFELONG REPUBLICAN PETE NEUDECKER, WHO EXPLAINS THE COALITION TALARICO IS TRYING TO BUILD IN THE RACE AGAINST GOP RIVAL KEN PAXTON. >> THE REPUBLICAN PARTY HAS BEEN HIJACKED.
他们不再是我一生都是成员的那个共和党。>> 谁劫持了他们？>> 特朗普。一切都围绕着他和他的自我展开。>> 这是支持塔拉里科还是反对肯·帕克斯顿的投票？>> 这是支持塔拉里科的投票。在这种情况下，他只是……他以非常积极的方式展示自己。他显然是一个合法的基督徒。他不仅仅是说说而已。他身体力行。而且你可以从一英里外就看出区别。
THEY'RE NOT THE REPUBLICAN PARTY THAT I WAS A MEMBER OF FOR ALL MY LIFE. >> HIJACKED BY WHO? >> TRUMP. EVERYTHING REVOLVES AROUND HIM AND HIS EGO. >> IS THIS A VOTE FOR TALARICO OR AGAINST KEN PAXTON? >> IT'S A VOTE FOR TALARICO. IN THIS CASE, HE JUST. HE PRESENTS HIMSELF IN A VERY POSITIVE MANNER. HE IS CLEARLY A LEGITIMATE CHRISTIAN. HE DOESN'T JUST TALK THE TALK. HE WALKS THE WALK. AND YOU CAN TELL THE DIFFERENCE FROM A MILE AWAY. >> PAXTON, THE EMBATTLED TEXAS ATTORNEY GENERAL, IS SCRAMBLING TO KEEP REPUBLICANS IN LINE AFTER DEFEATING FOUR TERM SENATOR JOHN CORNYN IN THE GOP PRIMARY. >> I AM EMBARRASSED AT THE FACT THAT HE'S EVEN ON THE TICKET.
肯·帕克斯顿，这位陷入困境的德州司法部长，正在努力让共和党保持统一，此前他在共和党初选中击败了四届参议员约翰·科宁。>> 我为他竟然还在选票上感到羞耻。>> 格伦·惠特利是一名退休的塔兰特县法官，也是另一位支持塔拉里科的终身共和党人。终身共和党人投票给民主党人会有犹豫吗？>> 会有。尤其是当你进入东德克萨斯或西德克萨斯时，他们知道，投票给民主党人是一步非常遥远的举动。
GLENN WHITLEY IS A RETIRED TARRANT COUNTY JUDGE AND ANOTHER LIFELONG REPUBLICAN BACKING TALARICO. IS THERE SOME RELUCTANCE FOR LIFELONG REPUBLICANS TO VOTE FOR A DEMOCRAT? >> THERE IS. AND ESPECIALLY AS YOU MOVE INTO EAST TEXAS OR INTO WEST TEXAS, THEY JUST, YOU KNOW, TO VOTE FOR A DEMOCRAT IS A REALLY LONG STEP.
所以我听到很多人说他们只是待在家里，或者他们不会在那个特定的选举中投票。>> 我是德州参议员安吉拉·帕克斯顿。>> 共和党正在向德州投入比任何其他州都多的资金，试图通过从9月1日到选举日仅此期间的2.32亿美元电视广告来救援帕克斯顿，而民主党人仅在他在沃思堡的咖啡烘焙业务中投入了6500万美元。马文·罗达克一直在承受特朗普关税带来的冲击。他曾投票支持总统，但在参议院竞选中仍持犹豫态度。您对塔拉里科有什么看法？
SO I'VE HEARD A LOT OF PEOPLE SAY THEY'RE JUST GOING TO STAY AT HOME OR THEY'RE NOT GOING TO VOTE IN THAT PARTICULAR RACE. >> I'M TEXAS SENATOR ANGELA PAXTON. >> REPUBLICANS ARE POURING MORE MONEY INTO TEXAS THAN ANY OTHER STATE TRYING TO RESCUE PAXTON WITH $232 MILLION IN TV ADS FROM SEPTEMBER 1st TO ELECTION DAY ALONE, COMPARED TO $65 MILLION FROM DEMOCRATS AT HIS COFFEE ROASTING BUSINESS IN FORT WORTH. MARVIN RODAK HAS BEEN ENDURING THE WHIPLASH OF TRUMP'S TARIFFS. HE VOTED FOR THE PRESIDENT, YET IS UNDECIDED IN THE SENATE RACE. WHAT DO YOU THINK OF TALARICO?
他非常有趣。我喜欢他身上的一些方面。也有一些值得质疑的地方，就像任何候选人一样，这些问题开始浮出水面。你对帕克斯顿总体有什么看法？我不知道。他是个选择。一个选择。是的。我并不想不尊重他。今年早些时候，当我们与塔拉里科会面时，他说德州人渴望改变。今年为何不同？你相信吗？在这个州，对政府中的极端主义和腐败正在增长反弹？
HE'S VERY INTERESTING INDIVIDUAL. THERE'S SOME THINGS I LIKE ABOUT HIM. THERE'S SOME QUESTIONABLE THINGS THAT, LIKE WITH ANY CANDIDATE, HAS STARTED POPPING UP. >> WHAT DO YOU THINK OF PAXTON OVERALL? >> MAN, I DON'T KNOW. HE'S A HE'S A CHOICE., >> A CHOICE. >> YEAH. AND I'M NOT TRYING TO BE DISRESPECTFUL. >> WHEN WE CAUGHT UP WITH TALARICO EARLIER THIS YEAR, HE SAID TEXANS WERE HUNGRY FOR CHANGE. WHY IS THIS YEAR DIFFERENT? DO YOU BELIEVE. >> THERE IS A GROWING BACKLASH IN THIS STATE TO THE EXTREMISM AND THE CORRUPTION IN OUR GOVERNMENT?
我无法告诉你有多少人在这些活动结束时走过来对我耳语，我不是民主党人。就像这是某种秘密。提前投票将于下周在这里开始。艾琳。这就是为什么共和党人正竞相试图将詹姆斯·塔拉里科定义为对这个州来说太自由。但在我们与这里众多选民的交谈中，这也可能激励民主党人、独立人士，以及是的，终身共和党人。
I CAN'T TELL YOU HOW MANY PEOPLE COME UP TO ME AT THE END OF THESE EVENTS AND WHISPER, I'M NOT A DEMOCRAT. LIKE IT'S SOME KIND OF SECRET >> AN EARLY VOTING BEGINS HERE NEXT WEEK. ERIN. THAT'S WHY REPUBLICANS ARE RACING TO TRY AND DEFINE JAMES TALARICO AS TOO LIBERAL FOR THE STATE. BUT IN OUR CONVERSATIONS WITH SO MANY VOTERS HERE, THAT COULD ALSO BE MOTIVATING DEMOCRATS, INDEPENDENTS, AND YES, LIFELONG REPUBLICANS.
这是一个悬而未决的问题。有多少对肯·帕克斯顿感到沮丧的共和党人将投票支持塔拉里科，或者在参议院选举中根本不投票？这是塔拉里科竞选团队的担忧。但再次强调，在这场竞选的最后阶段，还有三周时间。共和党人从未预料到自己会花费如此多的时间和金钱。
THAT IS AN OPEN QUESTION HERE. HOW MANY REPUBLICANS WHO ARE FRUSTRATED AT KEN PAXTON ARE GOING TO VOTE FOR TALARICO OR SIMPLY NOT VOTE AT ALL IN THE SENATE RACE? THAT IS A WORRY FOR THE TALARICO CAMPAIGN. BUT AGAIN, THERE IS NO DOUBT IN THE FINAL STRETCH OF THIS RACE, THREE WEEKS TO GO. REPUBLICANS NEVER EXPECTED TO BE SPENDING SO MUCH TIME AND MONEY.