在选举日临近之际，选民对经济状况及总统表现的评价均不佳，这使得执政党面临巨大压力——最新的福克斯新闻民调结果也印证了这一点。
When voters rate the economy and the president negatively just weeks before Election Day, the incumbent party is vulnerable — and that’s certainly the case in the latest Fox News survey.
当前的经济形势不容乐观。六成选民表示，生活成本是他们最担忧的经济问题，这一比例远高于其他经济议题：15%的选民担心政府开支，7%分别担忧就业与收入不平等问题，6%担心关税影响，5%则对税收问题感到忧虑。多数选民对当前经济状况评价负面（74%），还有53%预计明年经济形势会进一步恶化；66%的选民对国家整体发展状况感到不满。仅有18%的受访者表示，与两年前相比自家经济状况有所改善。无党派选民中，52%认为自身经济状况变差，70%预计经济还会继续恶化。
The economic landscape is stark. Six in 10 voters say the cost of living is their top economic worry, overshadowing government spending (15%), jobs and income inequality (7% each), tariffs (6%), and taxes (5%). Majorities rate the economy negatively (74%) and expect it to worsen next year (53%), while two-thirds are dissatisfied with how things are going in the country (66%). Few, 18%, say their family is better off compared to two years ago. Independents say they’re worse off (52%) and think the economy will get worse (70%).
福克斯新闻民调：塔拉里科与帕克斯顿将在德克萨斯州参议院席位争夺中展开对决55%的选民表示通胀“完全”未得到控制。这一比例较今年早些时候的45%有所上升，其中甚至包括30%的共和党选民。
FOX NEWS POLL: IT’S A LONE STAR SENATE SHOWDOWN BETWEEN TALARICO AND PAXTON A majority of voters, 55%, say inflation is "not at all" under control. That’s up from a low of 45% earlier this year, and includes 30% of Republicans.
在通胀治理方面，唐纳德·特朗普总统的支持率创下新低：仅有22%的选民对其表现表示认可，而去年夏季这一比例还是36%。四年前，即2022年中期选举前夕，29%的选民对前总统乔·拜登在应对通胀方面的表现表示满意。
President Donald Trump’s lowest job rating is on inflation: 22% approve, a new low. Last summer, 36% approved. Four years ago, before the 2022 midterms, 29% approved of former President Joe Biden’s performance on inflation.
对于特朗普的工作表现，民众不满情绪十分普遍：77%的选民不满其在通胀治理上的成效，70%不满其处理经济事务的方式，69%不满其关税政策，64%不满其外交举措。虽然不满比例稍低，但仍有过半选民（56%）不认可他处理移民问题的能力；边境安全则是少数获得的议题：50%的选民对其表现表示认可，50%持反对意见。
Disapproval of the job Trump is doing has reached 77% on inflation, 70% on the economy, 69% on tariffs, and 64% on foreign policy. A smaller share, but still a majority, disapprove of his handling of immigration (56% disapprove), while border security is the only issue that is close to positive (50% approve, 50% disapprove).
特朗普的整体支持率为36%，这是他在福克斯新闻民调中两任任期内的历史最低水平。自5月以来，他的支持率一直维持在39%左右。此次支持率下滑主要源于45岁以下年轻选民、家庭年收入低于5万美元的群体、非白人选民以及未接受过大学教育的群体的支持率下降。
Trump’s overall job approval is 36%, his lowest ever in a Fox News survey for either term. It had been holding steady at 39% since May. The decline is mainly driven by decreases among voters under age 45, those with annual household income below $50,000, non-white voters, and those without a college degree.
福克斯新闻民调：密歇根州选民在埃尔-赛义德和罗杰斯之间势均力敌共和党人中的支持率降至76%的低点。这比上个月下降3个百分点，比2025年9月下降12个百分点，比其第二任期初期（2025年3月）下降16个百分点。
FOX NEWS POLL: MICHIGAN VOTERS SPLIT BETWEEN EL-SAYED AND ROGERS Approval stands at a low of 76% among Republicans. That’s down 3 points since last month, 12 points since September 2025, and 16 points since early in his second term (March 2025).
正如大多数中期选举一样，选民倾向于惩罚执政党：十分之七的选民表示他们将投票向特朗普传递信息，表达反对者（47%）几乎是表达支持者（25%）的两倍。
As in most midterms, voters are prone to punish the party in power: 7 in 10 say they will vote to send a message to Trump, with nearly twice as many expressing opposition (47%) as support (25%).
如果今天举行选举，54%的选民表示将支持其所在众议院选区的民主党候选人，45%支持共和党候选人。这一差距超出了误差范围，领先优势比上个月民主党以51%对44%领先时更大。在表示肯定会投票的选民中，竞争有所缩小，民主党候选人以52%对46%领先。
If the election were today, 54% of voters say they would back the Democratic candidate in their House district and 45% the Republican. That is outside the margin of error, and is a wider lead than last month when Democrats were ahead by 51%-44%. The race narrows among those saying they are certain to vote, with the Democratic candidate ahead by 52%-46%.
调查发现，自我认同为民主党人（43%）和共和党人（41%）的选民人数大致相同，两党对投票的确定程度相当（分别为62%和64%），但表示对选举极度感兴趣的民主党人（61%）多于共和党人（52%）。
The survey finds about the same number self-identify as Democrats (43%) and Republicans (41%) and both parties feel equally certain about voting (62% and 64% respectively), while more Democrats (61%) than Republicans (52%) say they are extremely interested in the election.
党派忠诚度稳固：98%的民主党人支持本党候选人，94%的共和党人支持本党候选人。无党派倾向选民以26个百分点的优势支持民主党候选人。
Party loyalty is solid: 98% of Democrats support their party’s candidate and 94% of Republicans back theirs. Independents favor the Democrat by 26 points.
民主党候选人是拥有学位的白人选民、45岁以下选民、女性、工会家庭和西班牙裔选民的选择。共和党候选人在没有大学学位的白人选民（尤其是没有学位的白人男性）、65岁及以上选民、定期参加宗教活动的选民、退伍军人和白人福音派基督徒中领先。
The Democratic candidate is the choice among Whites with a degree, those under age 45, women, union households, and Hispanics. The Republican is ahead among Whites without a college degree (White men without a degree in particular), those ages 65 and over, voters who attend religious services regularly, military veterans, and White evangelical Christians.
虽然43%的西班牙裔选民在2024年大选中支持特朗普，但今年仅有31%倾向于共和党候选人。
While 43% of Hispanic voters supported Trump in the 2024 election, just 31% prefer the Republican candidate this year.
“当国家在党派归属上如此势均力敌时，倒戈率和投票率的细微差别就能决定一切，”共和党民调专家达伦·肖说，他与民主党人克里斯·安德森共同负责福克斯新闻民调。“共和党还有时间缩小这些明显的差距，但时间已不早了。”与此同时，民主党在13项议题关注度中有10项领先。
"When the country is this closely divided in terms of partisanship, slight differences in defection and turnout rates can make all the difference," says Republican pollster Daron Shaw, who helps conduct the Fox News Poll with Democrat Chris Anderson. "Republicans have time to close these apparent gaps, but it’s getting late." Meanwhile, Democrats lead on 10 out of 13 issue concerns.
选民最关心的前五大议题是政府腐败（60%极度担忧）、通胀（58%）、油价（50%）、政府领导力（49%）和医疗保健（48%）——在每一项上，信任民主党处理的选民比信任共和党的多出两位数百分点。
The top five voter concerns are government corruption (60% extremely concerned), inflation (58%), gas prices (50%), government leadership (49%), and healthcare (48%) – and by double digits more trust the Democrats than the Republicans to handle each of those.
共和党在犯罪问题（领先10个百分点）和边境安全（共和党领先8个百分点）上保持优势，而在移民问题上双方势均力敌（共和党领先3个百分点）。民主党被视为在医疗保健（民主党领先22个百分点）、通胀（民主党领先16个百分点）、油价（民主党领先12个百分点）、投票权（民主党领先12个百分点）、选举公正（民主党领先12个百分点）、政府领导力（民主党领先11个百分点）、公立学校教学内容（民主党领先11个百分点）、人工智能（民主党领先10个百分点）、政府腐败（民主党领先10个百分点）和外交政策（民主党领先9个百分点）上更有优势。
Republicans retain the advantage on crime (by 10 points) and border security (R+8), while views are closely divided on immigration (R+3). The Democrats are seen as better on healthcare (D+22), inflation (D+16), gas prices (D+12), voting rights (D+12), election integrity (D+12), government leadership (D+11), what’s taught in public schools (D+11), artificial intelligence (D+10), government corruption (D+10), and foreign policy (D+9).
与四年前相比，共和党在关键议题上失去了优势：当时选民在边境安全上更信任共和党21个百分点，在通胀上更信任13个百分点，在外交政策上更信任9个百分点。
Republicans have lost ground on key issues compared to four years ago, when more voters trusted them by 21 points on border security, 13 points on inflation, and 9 points on foreign policy.
选民极度担忧的其他议题包括伊朗战争（42%）、移民（35%）、犯罪（34%）、选民压制（32%）、人工智能技术（32%）、公立学校教学内容（29%）、选民欺诈（28%）和边境安全（25%）。
Other issues that voters are extremely concerned about are the Iran war (42%), immigration (35%), crime (34%), voter suppression (32%), AI technology (32%), what’s taught in public schools (29%), voter fraud (28%), and border security (25%).
虽然政府腐败和通胀是两党选民共同的头号担忧，但极度担忧这两个问题的民主党选民（分别为72%和70%）远多于共和党选民（分别为47%和49%）。
While corruption in government and inflation are the top two worries for both parties, far more Democrats (72% and 70%) than Republicans (47% and 49%) are extremely concerned.
能够解释民主党为何占据优势的因素其实根本算不上什么问题。有14个百分点的差距显示：更多选民认为民主党能更好地“为像您这样的民众发声、争取权益”。拥有大学学历的白人选民中，有53%认为民主党会为他们发声；男性选民中这一比例为52%，女性为60%，非白人选民中更是高达77%。不过，没有大学学历的白人选民对此意见则呈均势，支持率均为49%。
The issue that helps explain the Democrats’ advantage isn’t an issue at all. By a 14-point margin, more voters think the Democrats will do a better job "fighting for people like you." Majorities of White voters with a college degree (53%), men (52%), women (60%), and non-White voters (77%) think Democrats will fight for them. Whites without a college degree are split 49-49%.
尽管在议题方面占据优势，但仅有35%的选民认为民主党针对国家问题有清晰的应对方案，33%的选民对共和党也持相同看法。这一情况与2025年7月时的情况截然相反：当时有43%的选民认为共和党有明确计划，而认为民主党有相应计划的仅为33%。
Despite their issue advantage, just 35% say Democrats have a clear plan for dealing with the country’s problems and 33% say the same about the Republicans. That reverses the Republican advantage in July 2025, when 43% said the Republicans had a clear plan compared with 33% for the Democrats.
民众对议员们极为不满：仅有15%的选民对国会表示认可，84%的选民则持否定态度。值得注意的是，这一支持率甚至低于2013年10月时创下的9%的历史低点。
There’s deep dissatisfaction with lawmakers: 15% approve of Congress, while 84% disapprove. Remarkably, that’s above the low of 9% approval in October 2013.
两大政党均遭到。民主党的净支持率为负16个百分点（42%支持，58%反对）；共和党的净支持率更是负23个百分点（38%支持，61%反对）。
Both parties are viewed negatively. The Democratic Party is underwater by 16 points (42% favorable, 58% unfavorable), while ratings of the GOP are net negative by 23 points (38% favorable, 61% unfavorable).
然而，高支持率并不必然转化为投票意愿。在支持民主党候选人的选民中，有31%的人其实并不喜欢民主党；支持共和党的人里也有23%对共和党毫无好感。在那些对两党都持反感态度的选民中，有62%倾向于民主党，36%则支持共和党。
Yet, favorable ratings fail to translate directly into vote choice. One third of those backing the Democratic candidate (31%) dislike the party, while 23% of those supporting the Republican dislike the GOP. Among the 26% who dislike both parties (double haters), Democrats lead 62%-36%.
两党的对立程度可见一斑：仅有16%的共和党人认为民主党真心热爱美国、希望美国变得更好；而认为共和党同样如此的民主党人比例更低，仅为6%。
Here’s how polarized the parties are: just 16% of Republicans say that Democrats love America and want what’s best for the U.S., and even fewer Democrats, 6%, think Republicans do.
与四年前相比，认为民主党真心为国家利益着想的选民比例上升了4个百分点；而认为共和党热爱美国的选民比例则下降了6个百分点。
Compared to four years ago, the number of voters saying Democrats want what’s best for the country is up four points, while fewer say Republicans love the country now by 6 points.
51%的选民对资本主义持有利看法，而社会主义为32%。与一年前相比，资本主义的下降了2个百分点，而社会主义的上升了5个百分点。对社会主义持正面看法的选民中，有80%支持民主党候选人；对资本主义持正面看法的选民中，有60%支持共和党候选人。
Fifty-one percent of voters have a favorable view of capitalism compared with 32% for socialism. Compared to a year ago, positive ratings of capitalism are down 2 points while they are up 5 points for socialism. Eight in ten of those with a positive view of socialism support the Democratic candidate, while 6 in 10 of those viewing capitalism favorably back the Republican.
计划提前投票的选民支持民主党候选人（领先19个百分点），邮寄投票的选民同样如此（领先33个百分点），而在亲自投票（提前投票或选举日当天）的选民中，候选人选择出现分歧。
Voters who plan to cast their ballots early favor the Democratic candidate (by 19 points) as do mail voters (D+33), while the candidate choice splits among those voting in person (early or on Election Day).
十分之六的选民反对美国对伊朗的军事行动，并且他们支持民主党候选人，领先56个百分点。
Six in 10 oppose the U.S. military action against Iran and they back the Democrats by 56 points.
和总体结果。有46%的受访者认为美国对以色列的支持过多，这是一个新高；这些选民支持民主党候选人，领先42个百分点；而认为美国对以色列的支持程度适当的40%的选民选择共和党候选人，领先27个百分点。
CLICK HERE FOR CROSSTABS AND TOPLINE A new high of 46% think the U.S. is too supportive of Israel, and those voters favor the Democratic candidate by 42 points, while the 4 in 10 who think U.S. support of Israel is about right pick the Republican by 27 points.
近十分之六的受访者对人工智能技术持负面看法，并且他们支持民主党候选人，领先27个百分点。
Nearly 6 in 10 have a negative view of artificial intelligence technology, and they back the Democratic candidate by 27 points.
该调查由Beacon Research（D）和Shaw & Company Research（R）主持，于2026年10月9日至12日进行，Fox News对全国选民名单中随机抽取的1,202名选民进行了访谈。受访者通过固定电话（114人）和手机（786人）接受现场访谈，或在收到短信后在线完成调查（302人）。基于全部样本的结果，抽样误差为正负2.5个百分点。
Conducted Oct. 9-12, 2026, under the direction of Beacon Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R), this Fox News survey includes interviews with a sample of 1,202ed voters randomly selected from a national voter file. Respondents spoke with live interviewers on landlines (114) and cellphones (786) or completed the survey online after receiving a text (302). Results based on the full sample have a margin of sampling error of ±2.5 percentage points.
子群体结果的抽样误差更高。除了抽样误差外，问题的表述和顺序也可能影响结果。权重通常根据年龄、种族、教育和地区变量进行调整，以确保人口统计特征具有代表性。制定权重目标的数据来源包括最新的美国社区调查、《福克斯新闻》选民分析和选民文件数据。
Sampling error for results among subgroups is higher. In addition to sampling errors, question wording and order can influence results. Weights are generally applied to age, race, education, and area variables to ensure the demographics are representative of theed voter population. Sources for developing weight targets include the most recent American Community Survey, Fox News Voter Analysis, and voter file data.