英国经济在8月意外实现增长，企业和消费者在能源价格持续上涨以及借贷成本高企的压力下仍保持韧性。
Britain’s economy unexpectedly grew in August, as businesses and consumers continued to hold up in the face of rising energy prices and painfully high borrowing costs.
根据英国国家统计局周四发布的数据，国内生产总值（GDP）环比增长0.1%，而前一个月曾增长0.4%。
Gross domestic product rose 0.1% after jumping 0.4% the previous month, the Office for National Statistics said on Thursday, It was better than the 0.1% contraction expected by economists and was the fourth straight month growth has beaten the consensus prediction.
这一结果优于经济学家预测的0.1%萎缩，也标志着经济增长连续第四个月超出市场共识预期。从三个月累计来看，产出增长了0.7%。
On a three-month basis, output was up 0.7%. The ONS said the manufacturing sector helped to drive growth in August.
英国国家统计局表示，制造业是8月经济增长的主要推动力，而服务业则持平，建筑业出现下滑。
Services were flat and construction declined.
这些数据表明，英国经济有望在第三季度保持强劲增长，但经济学家警告称，2026年英国经济令人意外的韧性可能在下半年逐渐减弱。
The figures leave the economy on track for a strong third quarter but economists warn that the UK’s surprising resilience in 2026 may fizzle out over the second half of the year.
8月的大部分数据是在能源成本再度飙升之前发布的，目前油价已突破每桶100美元，交易员预计英格兰银行在未来12个月内将加息四次。
August’s data largely came before a resurgence in energy costs that has pushed oil prices above $100 per barrel and prompted traders to bet on four quarter-point interest-rate hikes from the Bank of England over the next 12 months.
周四公布的数据是财政大臣约翰·希利在10月28日发表首份预算报告前的最后一批增长数据，当时英国正面临紧张的财政状况和动荡的全球市场。
Thursday’s data were the final growth figures before Chancellor of the Exchequer John Healey delivers his first budget on Oct. 28 amid a tight fiscal situation and a turbulent global market backdrop.
国际货币基金组织本周对工党政府削减赤字的计划表示赞赏，但希利也面临为民众提供生活成本支持的压力。
The International Monetary Fund praised the Labour government this week for its plans to bring down the deficit, though Healey is under pressure to provide cost-of-living support to help households.
尽管预算责任办公室可能会上调2026年的增长预测，但预计其同时会指出，自中东冲突爆发以来，英国政府债券收益率的急剧上升已经削弱了希利的财政缓冲空间。
While the Office for Budget Responsibility is likely to revise up its 2026 growth forecast, it is expected to say that Healey’s fiscal buffer has been eroded by the sharp rise in gilt yields since the Middle Eastern conflict broke out.