南非央行行长周四表示，全球能源价格和食品成本的不断上升继续对南非的通胀构成上行风险，预计消费者价格要到2028年才能回到3%的目标。
Rising global energy prices and food costs continue to pose upside risks to inflation in South Africa, the central bank head said on Thursday, with consumer prices expected to return to the 3% target only in 2028.
央行行长莱谢蒂亚·卡尼亚戈在曼谷国际货币基金组织和世界银行年会期间接受路透社采访时表示，预计今年通胀率平均为4.4%，之后将在2027年回落至央行的容忍区间内，并在2028年回到目标水平。
Speaking to Reuters in an interview on the sidelines of the International Monetary Fund and World Bank annual meetings in Bangkok, Governor Lesetja Kganyago said inflation is expected to average 4.4% this year, before easing to within the central bank's tolerance band in 2027 and returning to target in 2028.
这些言论表明，在央行上个月为打击通胀将利率上调25个基点至7.25%之后，可能需要维持紧缩的货币政策。
The comments suggest the central bank may need to keep monetary policy tight, after it raised rates by 25 basis points to 7.25% last month to combat inflation.
他表示：“前景面临的风险当然与地缘政治的不确定性有关，地缘政治不确定性会影响油价、化肥价格的走势及其对食品前景的潜在影响，还有厄尔尼诺现象的风险以及黑海粮食供应链的风险。”
"The risks to the outlook, of course, they have to do with the geopolitical uncertainty, which feeds into the oil price, what's happening with fertiliser prices and what that could mean for the food outlook, there's the risk of El Niño and there is risk to the grain supply chain through the Black Sea," he said.
“到目前为止，潜在通胀的指标表明通胀呈回升态势，这是一个令人担忧的问题。”最新数据显示，南非的整体通胀率在8月份微升至年率4.4%，主要由住房和公用事业、交通、保险以及金融服务类目推动。
"So far, the measures of underlying inflation point to an upturn in inflation, and that is a concern." Latest data showed headline inflation in South Africa picked up slightly to an annual 4.4% in August, mainly driven by the housing and utilities, transport, and insurance and financial services categories.
9月份的加息是在7月份暂停加息之后的一致决定。下一次货币政策决定将于11月做出。
The rate increase in September was a unanimous decision following a pause in July. The next monetary policy decision is due in November.
卡尼亚戈拒绝就进一步加息的前景发表评论，仅表示当前利率是“温和限制性的”，未来的货币政策决定将“逐次会议”做出。
Kganyago declined to comment on the prospect of further rate hikes, saying only that the current rate was "moderately restrictive" and that future monetary policy decisions would be taken "meeting by meeting".
卡尼亚戈称，一些通胀压力已被稳定的汇率抵消，尽管美元走强，但南非兰特今年迄今变动不大。
Some inflationary pressures had been offset by a steady exchange rate, Kganyago said, with the South African rand little changed so far this year despite a stronger dollar.
他补充说：“过去，当油价上涨时，我们的货币也会贬值。（今年）它一直相当稳定，但这仍然不能成为我们自满的理由，”他将财政整顿和适当的货币政策立场列为支撑该国货币韧性的因素。
"In the past, when you had the oil price rise, we would have had a depreciation of the currency as well. It has been fairly stable (this year), but still that is no case for us to be complacent," he added, citing fiscal consolidation and an appropriate monetary policy stance as factors underpinning the currency's resilience.