俄罗斯弹道导弹爆炸时的超新星般爆炸随后伴随着隆隆的冲击声、冲击波、火灾和死亡——以及乌克兰防空系统的断续鸣响。
The supernova-like blasts of exploding Russian ballistic missiles are followed by thunderous thumps, shockwaves, fires and deaths – and the staccato of Ukrainian air defence systems.
本周对乌克兰的夜间袭击造成至少15人死亡、数十人受伤，与数百次之前的袭击相似——只有一个例外。
This week’s nightly attacks on Ukraine that killed at least 15 and wounded dozens resembled hundreds of previous raids – with one exception.
空袭警报在另一波导弹击中公寓楼、发电厂和仓库的前后几秒钟开始尖啸。
The air raid sirens began howling just seconds before or after yet another wave of missiles struck apartment buildings, power plants and warehouses.
但乌克兰的伙伴并未向该国提供北约预警卫星的情报数据，总统弗拉基米尔·泽连斯基周一表示，随着华盛顿与基辅之间的紧张关系加剧。他没有点名美国，而特朗普总统否认华盛顿已停止共享情报。
But Ukraine’s partners did not provide the country with intelligence data from NATO’s early-warning satellites, President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said on Monday, as tensions between Washington and Kyiv rise. He did not name the United States and President Donald Trump has denied that Washington has stopped sharing intelligence.
军事卫星星座通过火箭发射后几秒钟的热焰来探测俄罗斯弹道导弹的袭击。
The constellation of military satellites detects Russian ballistic missile attacks by the rockets’ thermal flames seconds after launch.
这些预警为乌克兰人提供了最多10分钟——宝贵的、救命的时间——用于拉响防空警报并发送紧急短信，以促使人们撤离到防空掩体。“这正是有助于防止死亡的因素，”泽连斯基说。
The warnings give Ukrainians up to 10 minutes – precious, life-saving time to sound air raid sirens and send emergency text messages to prompt evacuations to bomb shelters. “That’s what helps prevent the killings,” Zelenskyy said.
乌克兰的地面雷达只能在导弹速度达到每小时6000至12000公里（3730至7260英里）时探测到来袭导弹。“特朗普在施压我们的总统”尽管特朗普予以否认，乌克兰观察者有一个简单却令人心碎的解释——美国总统希望通过施压基辅与莫斯科宣布“能源停火”，从而推动全球油价下跌，以帮助共和党在即将到来的中期选举中赢得更多国会席位。
Ukraine’s ground radars can only detect the incoming missiles as their speed ranges from 6,000 to 12,000km/h (3,730 – 7,260 miles per hour). ‘Trump pressures our president’Despite Trump’s denial, Ukrainian observers have a simple yet harrowing explanation – the US president wants to help Republicans win more congressional seats in upcoming midterm elections by pressuring Kyiv into declaring an “energy ceasefire” with Moscow that would drive global oil prices down.
“特朗普在施压我们的总统，施压乌克兰，”他努力“在选举竞争中不择手段地获取优势”，乌克兰武装部队总参谋部前副参谋长伊戈尔·罗曼年科中将对半岛电视台说道。
“Trump pressures our president, pressures Ukraine” as he strives to “get advantage by any means necessary in the election campaign,” Lieutenant-General Ihor Romanenko, former deputy head of Ukraine’s general staff of armed forces, told Al Jazeera.
情报数据的缺乏“显著影响了防空效能，我们没有时间作出反应”，他说。
The lack of intelligence data “significantly affects the effectiveness of air defence, we don’t have time to respond,” he said.
没有卫星数据，乌克兰的无人机和导弹在打击俄罗斯境内深处目标时也“会失去精度”，他说。
Without the satellite data, Ukrainian drones and missiles also “lose precision when striking targets deep in Russia,” he said.
周日，特朗普宣布了一项停火协议，该协议设想不对能源基础设施进行相互打击——从俄罗斯的炼油厂和燃料储存设施到乌克兰的发电和供热站。
On Sunday, Trump announced the ceasefire that envisages no mutual strikes on energy infrastructure – from Russian oil refineries and fuel depots to Ukrainian power and heating stations.
“自即刻起，在俄乌战争中实施能源停火。双方已达成一致。请勿违反！”特朗普在社交媒体上写道。
“Effective immediately, there is an ENERGY CEASEFIRE in the War between Russia and Ukraine. Both parties have agreed. Do not break it!”
基辅表示该 announcement 是一个惊喜，而莫斯科则拒绝透露是否支持该想法——并继续袭击乌克兰的能源基础设施。
Trump wrote on social media. Kyiv said the announcement was a surprise, while Moscow declined to say whether it backs the idea – and kept on hitting Ukraine’s energy infrastructure.
这种压力不仅限于炼油厂，因为特朗普希望快速重启、仲裁并完成基辅与莫斯科之间的和平谈判——即使这有利于克里姆林宫。
The pressure goes beyond the refineries as Trump wants to quickly reopen, arbitrate and complete peace talks between Kyiv and Moscow – even if they benefit the Kremlin.
“他需要和平谈判取得成功。理想情况下，这是和平解决进程的某种疏通，当时基辅表现出更强的接受俄罗斯要求的意愿，”基辅分析师伊戈尔·蒂什克维奇对半岛电视台表示。
“He needs peace talks to succeed. Ideally, it is a certain unblocking of the peace settlement process, when Kyiv shows more willingness to agree with Russia’s demands,” Kyiv-based analyst Igar Tyshkevych told Al Jazeera.
压力将持续到“基辅表现出对妥协和向俄罗斯作出让步的准备”，他说。
The pressure will continue until “Kyiv shows readiness for a compromise and concessions towards Russia,” he said.
莫斯科“只是利用”这种压力和空袭警报的暂停来升级对乌克兰的袭击，他说。
Moscow “simply abuses” the pressure and the suspension of air raid warnings to escalate attacks on Ukraine, he said.
基辅的“首要任务”：摧毁炼油厂 数据共享的暂停尤其令人震惊，鉴于基辅曾在三天内停止对俄罗斯炼油厂的袭击。
Kyiv’s ‘priority’: The destruction of oil refineries The suspension of data-sharing was especially shocking, given that Kyiv did stop hitting Russian refineries for three days.
直到星期三，其无人机才对萨拉托夫和梁赞地区的炼油厂发动了袭击，俄罗斯副总理亚历山大·诺瓦克说道。
It was only on Wednesday that its drones attacked refineries in Saratov and Ryazan regions, said Russia’s Deputy Prime Minister, Aleksander Novak.
然而，基辅专注于打击油炼油厂是无效且适得其反的，另一位观察员表示。
However, Kyiv’s focus on striking oil refineries is ineffective and counterproductive, another observer said.
“Kyiv的战略优先事项仍然是摧毁炼油厂，”德国不来梅大学的尼古拉·米特罗欣告诉半岛电视台。他撰写了数百篇关于敌对行动的权威分析。
“Kyiv’s strategic priority is still the destruction of oil refineries,” Nikolay Mitrokhin of Germany’s Bremen University, who has penned hundreds of authoritative analyses of the hostilities, told Al Jazeera.
然而，俄罗斯通过从西伯利亚炼油厂运输天然气，并从邻国白俄罗斯和哈萨克斯坦出口天然气，克服了最初的冲击。
However, Russia overcame the initial shock by transporting gas from refineries in Siberia and exporting it from neighbouring Belarus and Kazakhstan.
袭击之后并未出现经济崩溃、大规模失业或公众抗议，而莫斯科继续进行空袭，增加了类似巡航导弹、难以被乌克兰现有防空系统击落的喷气式无人机，他表示。
No economic collapse, massive joblessness or public protests followed the strikes, while Moscow continued its air raids, adding jet-powered drones that resemble cruise missiles and are hard to down with Ukraine’s existing air defence system, he said.
“ Kyiv及其支持者认为袭击油库和炼油厂会在乌克兰被击败之前导致俄罗斯战略失败的依据是什么？我不明白，”他说。
“What is the basis for Kyiv’s and its backers’ conviction that strikes on oil refineries and depots will lead to Russia’s strategic defeat before Ukraine is defeated? I don’t understand,” he said.
然而，乌克兰对数据中心、桥梁以及无人机装配工厂的袭击效果要好得多，他说。
However, Ukrainian attacks on data centres, bridges and factories where drones are assembled are far more effective, he said.
最近对俄罗斯网络巨头Yandex和国有银行Sberbank数据中心的袭击导致俄罗斯乃至Yandex提供在线支付、外卖和叫车服务的前苏联共和国出现服务中断。
Recent strikes on data centres of Russian online giant Yandex and the state-run Sberbank resulted in disruptions of services in Russia and even former Soviet republics where Yandex operates its online payment, food delivery and taxi services.
特朗普“并没有要求他停止战争、放弃城市或普遍停止袭击俄罗斯腹地，”米特罗欣说。
Trump “didn’t ask him to stop the war, to give away cities or stop striking Russian rears in general,” Mitrokhin said.
基辅一再重申，如果在停火之前进行，它准备开始和平谈判，但莫斯科希望继续地面进攻和空袭，直到和平条款最终确定——这可能需要数月甚至数年。“我们准备好应对任何事态发展”周三，乌克兰无人机事务负责人指责埃隆·马斯克的SpaceX限制了军用星盾（Starshield）系统的一部分——星链（Starlink）卫星终端的服务。
Kyiv has repeatedly reiterated that it was ready to start peace talks if they are preceded by a ceasefire, but Moscow wanted to continue ground assaults and air raids until the peace terms were finalised – which could take months or even years. ‘We’re ready for any turn of events’On Wednesday, Ukraine’s drone czar accused Elon Musk’s SpaceX of throttling Starlink satellite terminals that are part of the military-grade Starshield system.
谢尔希·别斯克雷斯托夫表示，SpaceX突然且未提前警告，限制了安装在时速超过160公里（100英里）的无人机上的终端服务。
Serhiy Beskrestnov said that SpaceX abruptly and without any warning limited services for terminals placed on drones flying over 160km/h (100mph).
限制影响了至关重要的拦截无人机，总统顾问谢尔希·斯特尔年科表示，此举是特朗普提出的请求。
The limit affected crucially-important interceptor drones and followed Trump’s request, presidential adviser Serhii Sternenko said.
马斯克表示，白宫拥有并控制星盾系统，任何速度限制均由特朗普决定。
Musk said that the White House owns and controls the Starshield systems and that any limits on speed are decided by Trump.
一些军事分析人士警告称，该限制可能随后导致乌克兰的星链服务完全关闭，从而损害所有军事通信的质量。
Some military analysts warn that the limit may be followed by a total shutdown of Starlink for Ukraine that could damage the quality of all military communications.
“但我们已经为各种情况做好了准备，”安德里·普罗宁对半岛电视台说。“我们已经知道这种情况可能发生，因此我们已为任何可能的局势做好准备。”路透社报道称，2022年9月，马斯克秘密下令工程师关闭俄罗斯占领的赫尔松地区的星链覆盖，实际上挫败了基辅收复该地区的行动。
“But we were getting ready for everything,” Andriy Pronin told Al Jazeera. “We already know it may happen, that’s why we’re ready for any turn of events.”In September 2022, Musk secretly ordered engineers to switch off Starlink coverage in the Russia-occupied Kherson region, effectively thwarting Kyiv’s push to retake it, Reuters reported.
2023年，马斯克威胁称，除非美国国防部承担费用，否则将切断乌克兰军方对星链的访问。随后，五角大楼、波兰及其他欧洲盟友接过了费用。
In 2023, Musk threatened to cut off Ukrainian military access to Starlink unless the US defence department took over the costs. Later, the Pentagon, Poland and other European allies took over the costs.