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欧盟仓促制裁俄罗斯,以防勒庞掌权EU rushes to sanction Russia in case Le Pen takes power

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乌克兰和欧盟官员正在筹备他们所担心的、可能在4月法国总统大选前打击俄罗斯的最后一轮制裁。

Ukrainian and EU officials are preparing what they fear could be the final round of sanctions to hit Russia before the French presidential elections in April.

基辅和布鲁塞尔正在进行应急方案推演,以防玛丽娜·勒庞当选法国总统并削弱对乌克兰的支持。

Kyiv and Brussels are wargaming contingency measures in case Marine Le Pen becomes the French president and weakens support for Ukraine.

一名参与讨论的消息人士表示,2月可能是“(实施制裁的)最后机会,因为有法国大选”。

A source involved in the discussions said February could be the “last opportunity [to impose sanctions] because of the French elections”.

作为角逐爱丽舍宫的热门人选,勒庞希望结束欧洲对俄罗斯的制裁,并阻止乌克兰加入欧盟,她称之为经济上的“切腹”(自杀)。

Ms Le Pen, the favourite to take the Élysée, wants to end European sanctions on Russia and stop Ukraine from joining the EU, which she calls economic “hara-kiri” (suicide).

*这位极右翼候选人上周在布鲁塞尔表示:“我们当初说得对,制裁对俄罗斯不会产生任何影响。”自入侵乌克兰以来,欧盟已对克里姆林宫实施了22轮制裁。

“We were right to say that sanctions would have had no impact on Russia,” the hard-Right candidate said in Brussels last week. The EU has imposed 22 rounds of sanctions on the Kremlin since the invasion of Ukraine.

每一轮制裁都需要所有27个欧盟成员国的全票支持,这使得每个国家对这些举措都拥有实际上的否决权。

Each required the unanimous support of all 27 EU member states, giving each country an effective veto on the measures.

最后一轮制裁于10月12日获批,将1600名俄罗斯个人和实体列入将近4600人的制裁名单中。

The last round was approved on Oct 12, adding 1,600 Russian individuals and organisations to a list of almost 4,600.

欧盟官员对《每日电讯报》表示,如果能在2月之后——即法国竞选活动达到高潮之时——再争取到新的一轮制裁,他们就已经算“走运”了。

EU officials told The Telegraph that they would be “lucky” to secure another round after February, when French campaigning reaches its peak.

乌克兰正力求在勒庞掌权之前,在加入欧盟的道路上尽可能取得更多进展,并希望其他首都予以协助。

Ukraine is scrambling to make as much progress as possible towards EU membership before Ms Le Pen can take power, and wants other capitals to help.

加入欧盟是一个漫长而艰难的过程,轻易就可能耗费十年时间。这需要进行痛苦的改革,而且许多成员国希望获得保证,即基辅在获准加入之前已在打击腐败,而这在战时是无法实现的。

Joining the EU is a long and difficult process that can easily take a decade. It requires painful reforms and many member states will want guarantees that Kyiv is fighting corruption before it is allowed to join, which will not happen during wartime.

(图为弗拉基米尔·泽连斯基与乌尔苏拉·冯德莱恩合影)泽连斯基正极力推动乌克兰加入欧盟的进程。争取与欧盟委员会开启闭门谈判“群组”被视为至关重要,因为勒庞可能会掌控法国并反对进一步的进展。

Volodymyr Zelensky, pictured with Ursula von der Leyen, is pushing to advance Ukraine’s bid for EU membership Securing closed-door negotiation “clusters” with the European Commission is seen as vital, as Ms Le Pen could take control of France and oppose further progress.

乌克兰负责欧洲和欧洲-大西洋一体化事务的副总理弗谢沃洛德·琴佐夫对《每日电讯报》表示:“我们并不是在寻求捷径。但我们要求的是成员国对地缘政治势头的理解和赞赏。”基辅还在准备一份“成员资格宣言”,以说服勒庞:乌克兰可以凭借多年对莫斯科冲突积累的经验,帮助欧洲对抗俄罗斯的混合战争。

Vsevolod Chentsov, Ukraine’s deputy prime minister for European and Euro-Atlantic integration, told The Telegraph: “We are not asking for shortcuts. But what we are asking for is an understanding and appreciation by member states of the geopolitical momentum.”Kyiv is also preparing a “membership manifesto” to convince Ms Le Pen that Ukraine can help Europe counter Russia’s hybrid war with a playbook developed over years of conflict with Moscow.

在基辅与华盛顿出现重大分歧之际,俄罗斯加大了对乌克兰能源基础设施的攻击力度琴佐夫先生说:“你不需要派遣坦克或用弹道导弹打击首都来制造政治或社会危机或技术灾难,不幸的是,俄罗斯正在增强其能力,并把乌克兰当作训练场。”

Russia has stepped up attacks on Ukraine’s energy infrastructure amid a major rift between Kyiv and Washington“You don’t need to send tanks or hit the capitals with ballistic missiles to create political or social crisis or technological disaster, and unfortunately, Russia is building up its capacities and using Ukraine as a training ground,” Mr Chentsov said.

“是的,改革、立法、机构稳定性是进入欧盟的必要标准。但也应该有一种理解,即通过支持乌克兰,并在更广泛意义上投资乌克兰,欧盟就是在投资自身的安全。”

“Yes, reforms, legislation, stability of institutions are a necessary criteria to enter the EU. But also there should be an understanding that by supporting Ukraine, and investing in the broader sense of Ukraine, the EU is investing in its own security.”

他补充道:“这是一种非常不同寻常的情况,新加入的成员现在就已经可以用丰富的专业知识提供帮助,并巩固联盟。”泽连斯基上周在将防务合作描述为“双赢”时表示:“勒庞夫人对一些细节并没有深入(了解)。”

He added: “This is a very unusual situation that the incoming member can already now help with a lot of expertise and reinforce the union.”“Madame Le Pen is not deeply (familiar) with some details,” Volodymyr Zelensky said last week as he described the defence cooperation as a “win-win”.

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