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乌克兰面临欧洲是其唯一真正盟友的新世界Ukraine faces new world in which Europe is its only true ally

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随着特朗普更加偏向莫斯科并削弱对基辅的支持,欧洲现在将自己视为乌克兰的主要盟友。

Europe now sees itself as Ukraine’s main ally as Trump sides more with Moscow and weakens support for Kyiv.

特朗普放松了制裁压力,在石油问题上支持俄罗斯,并激怒了泽连斯基,而欧洲则担忧冬日物资短缺、导弹袭击和一个被削弱的北约。

Trump has cut sanctions pressure, backed Russia on oil, and angered Zelensky, while Europe fears winter shortages, missile attacks and a weaker NATO.

欧盟领导人表示,他们将维持制裁和援助不变,尽可能向美国施压,并避免强迫乌克兰割让土地。

EU leaders say they will keep sanctions and aid in place, press the US when possible, and avoid forcing Ukraine to give up land.

人工智能生成 布鲁塞尔——欧洲领导人深知他们无法停止对唐纳德·特朗普的拉拢。但正当这位美国总统威胁乌克兰并为俄罗斯提供经济生命线之际,他们正在为一个他实际上站在莫斯科一边的世界做准备。

AI generated BRUSSELS – European leaders know they can’t stop courting Donald Trump. But as the US president menaces Ukraine and offers Russia an economic lifeline, they are preparing for a world where he effectively sides with Moscow.

在短短一周内,特朗普接连抨击了针对克里姆林宫多年的能源制裁,施压基辅停止轰炸俄罗斯炼油厂,并暗示乌克兰的弗拉基米尔·泽连斯基是一位非法的总统——此举呼应了莫斯科的宣传。

In the span of a week, Trump has trashed years of energy sanctions on the Kremlin, pressured Kyiv to quit bombing Russian oil refineries and suggested Ukraine’s Volodymyr Zelensky was an illegitimate president – echoing Moscow’s propaganda.

一度,乌克兰还失去了对埃隆·马斯克拥有的“星链”系统的完全访问权限,导致其在战场上受到掣肘。

At one point, Ukraine also lost full access to the Elon Musk-owned Starlink system, leaving it hobbled on the battlefield.

作为回应,泽连斯基大发雷霆。他说,自己感到被背叛了。他公开斥责了特朗普。

In response, Zelensky let rip. He felt betrayed, he said. He called out Trump in public.

据熟悉本周在布鲁塞尔举行的领导人峰会对话的人士透露,对欧洲人来说,这是一个令人沮丧的时刻。

It was a dismaying moment for the Europeans, according to people familiar with the conversations at a leaders’ summit in Brussels this week.

对许多人来说,这暴露了一个他们几个月来一直在逃避的痛苦现实:特朗普的本能是痛击基辅并提振俄罗斯。

For many, it exposed a painful reality they’ve been avoiding for months: Trump’s instinct is to bash Kyiv and boost Russia.

包括法国和德国领导人在内的几位欧盟领导人在私下交谈中表示,这种情况不太可能会改变。泽连斯基本人将于10月16日向该会议发表讲话。

And that’s unlikely to change, several European Union leaders, including those of France and Germany, said during their private conversations. Zelensky himself will address the meeting on Oct 16.

拉脱维亚总理安德里斯·库尔贝里克斯在布鲁塞尔对彭博电视台表示:“我们看到泽连斯基现在只有一个盟友了,实际上就是欧洲人。”

“We see that Zelensky has only one ally now, it’s actually the Europeans,” Latvian Prime Minister Andris Kulbergs told Bloomberg TV in Brussels.

当然,特朗普和泽连斯基以前也曾有过这样的经历,并且总是能找到修补关系的方法。

Trump and Zelensky have been here before, of course, and always found a way to patch things up.

他们2025年在椭圆形办公室的首次会晤陷入了一场争吵,并促使美国短暂限制了情报共享。

Their first meeting in the Oval Office in 2025 descended into a shouting match and prompted the US to briefly curb intelligence sharing.

随后,美国试图说服基辅接受一份极度偏向俄罗斯的28点和平计划,这促使泽连斯基警告称,他的国家面临失去其关键伙伴的风险。

Later, the US tried to convince Kyiv to accept a 28-point peace plan that overwhelmingly favoured Russia, prompting Zelensky to warn his country risked losing its key partner.

到了今年夏天,欧洲领导人已经设法说服特朗普,对乌克兰长期抵抗俄罗斯入侵表现出了一定程度的同情。

By this summer, European leaders had managed to persuade Trump to show a degree of sympathy for Ukraine’s long fight against the Russian invasion.

在法国举行的七国集团(G-7)峰会上,总统埃马纽埃尔·马克龙促成了他与特朗普的一次短暂会晤,泽连斯基在会上向特朗普展示了一座在基辅被俄罗斯导弹摧毁的大教堂的照片。

At the Group of Seven (G-7) summit in France, President Emmanuel Macron engineered a brief meeting with Trump at which Zelensky showed him pictures of a cathedral in Kyiv decimated by Russian missiles.

“西方联盟现在的处境比几天前更弱了,”丹麦首相梅特·弗雷泽里克森10月15日抵达比利时首都参加会谈时对记者表示。

“The western alliance is in a weaker position now than it was a few days ago,” Danish Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen told reporters as she arrived for talks in the Belgian capital on Oct 15.

“如果你不支持乌克兰,那么你就会把整个欧洲,在我看来也就是整个北约,置于一个更加、更加危险的境地中。”他们最近的决裂发生在一个特别不合时宜的时刻。

“If you do not support Ukraine, then you put Europe as a whole, and in my view therefore also NATO as a whole, in a much, much more dangerous situation.”Their latest falling-out is happening at a particularly inopportune moment.

冬天即将来临,乌克兰正面临拦截俄罗斯导弹所需的美国制“爱国者”拦截弹短缺的问题。

Winter is setting in and Ukraine has a shortage of the US-made Patriot interceptors needed to shoot down Russian missiles.

基辅的军事开支也在其预算中撕开了一个大洞,而欧洲正艰难地填补这一缺口。

Kyiv’s military costs are also blowing a hole in its budget that Europe is struggling to fill.

与此同时,俄罗斯正在打击更多的平民目标,导致基辅断断续续地遭遇电力和供水中断。

Meanwhile, Russia is striking more civilian targets, leaving Kyiv experiencing intermittent power and water supply cuts.

11月,俄罗斯总统弗拉基米尔·普京将有机会在中国的亚太经合组织峰会上与特朗普会面——泽连斯基和欧洲人都不会出席该峰会。

In November, Russian President Vladimir Putin will have a chance to meet with Trump at the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation summit in China – where neither Zelensky nor the Europeans will be present.

就特朗普而言,距离中期选举只有几周时间,他的共和党预计将遭受惨重损失——这促使他寻找能迅速降低汽油价格的方法。

Trump, for his part, is weeks away from a midterm election where his Republican party is expected to suffer heavy losses – sending him searching for quick ways to lower gas prices.

这种执念影响了特朗普在制裁之下仍推动购买俄罗斯柴油的做法,以及他要求乌克兰停止对炼油厂袭击的呼吁,尽管专家表示,美国对伊朗的战争才是高燃料成本的罪魁祸首。

That fixation is informing Trump’s push to buy Russian diesel despite sanctions, and his calls for Ukraine to halt attacks on oil refineries, even if experts say the US war on Iran is the largest culprit behind high fuel costs.

库尔贝格对彭博社表示:“我们今天将要讨论的最重要的事情是他在今年冬天需要什么。一切都与这个冬天有关。”

“The most important thing that we’re going to discuss today is what he needs for this winter. It’s all about this winter,” Kulberg told Bloomberg.

知情人士称,库尔贝格斯说:“我们还必须明白,美国现在正进入中期选举。这是选举时期。那是一种不同的氛围。”目前,鉴于除了与美国合作别无选择,大多数欧洲人都建议泽连斯基缓和对特朗普的批评。该国继续向乌克兰出售武器并共享对基辅防御至关重要的情报。一名官员表示,如果这些情报消失,欧洲将没有好的解决方案。

“We also have to understand that the United States is now running into the midterms. It’s election time,” Kulbergs said. “That’s a different vibe.”For now, most Europeans are recommending that Zelensky temper his criticism of Trump, given there is no alternative to working with the US, the people said. The country continues to sell Ukraine weapons and share intelligence vital to Kyiv’s defence. If that intelligence disappeared, Europe would not have a good solution, one official said.

这可能就是为什么欧盟领导人10月15日抵达布鲁塞尔参加峰会时,都小心翼翼地避免在公开场合对特朗普进行过多批评。

That’s likely why EU leaders were careful not to be too publicly critical of Trump as they arrived on Oct 15 for their summit in Brussels.

然而,知情人士称,在闭门会议上,几位领导人仍然对美国总统最近的行为表示震惊。

Behind closed doors, however, several still expressed shock at the US president’s recent behaviour, the people said.

爱丽舍宫的一名官员表示,法国的优先事项是欧洲继续支持乌克兰。德国总理府发言人没有立即回复置评请求。

An Elysee official said France’s priority is for Europe to continue supporting Ukraine. A German chancellery spokesperson didn’t immediately reply to a request for comment.

欧洲正坚守立场,维持制裁并坚称乌克兰在和平协议中不应割让领土,尤其是基辅军队在普京企图控制的东部顿巴斯地区收复了一些失地之后。在过去几个月里,美国对乌克兰的影响力也有所减弱。

Europe is sticking to its guns by upholding sanctions and insisting that Ukraine shouldn’t cede territory in a peace settlement, especially after Kyiv’s forces regained some lost ground in the eastern region of Donbas Putin wants to control. US leverage over Ukraine has also diminished over the last few months.

尽管情报依然是一个重要因素,但用于支持基辅和购买美国武器的资金主要来自欧洲。

While intelligence remains an important factor, the money to support Kyiv and buy US weapons comes primarily from Europe.

乌克兰也终于收到了用于F-16战斗机的弹药,以击落俄罗斯来势汹汹的喷气式无人机。

Ukraine is also finally receiving ammunition for F-16 fighter jets to shoot down Russia’s menacing jet-powered drones.

与此同时,华盛顿为实现和平所作出的努力并未取得太大进展,而特朗普曾承诺在2025年上台后不久带来和平。

Meanwhile, Washington’s efforts to deliver peace, which Trump promised to bring shortly after taking officein 2025, haven’t made much headway.

知情人士透露,乌克兰代表团在特朗普达成俄罗斯柴油交易后缩短了行程,周末在佛罗里达举行的最新会谈主要集中在重申总统特使史蒂夫·维特科夫和贾里德·库什纳数月前拟定的一套相同观点上。

The latest meetings in Florida over the weekend, which the Ukrainian delegation cut short following Trump’s Russia diesel deal, largely focused on going over the same set of points that the president’s envoys – Steven Witkoff and Jared Kushner – drew up months ago, according to people familiar with the matter.

据获悉讨论情况的人士透露,在10月12日的一次会议上,欧盟外长们私下一致认为,无论华盛顿如何风云变幻,欧洲对乌克兰的政策必须保持不变。

During a meeting on Oct 12, EU foreign ministers privately agreed that Europe’s policy on Ukraine must remain constant, regardless of the gyrations in Washington, according to people briefed on the discussions.

他们决心在可行时与美国接触,在不可行时继续维持对基辅的支持。

They resolved to engage the US when it’s possible, and maintain their support for Kyiv when it’s not.

欧盟最高外交官卡娅·卡拉斯10月15日在布鲁塞尔对记者表示:“我们对这场战争的方法显然不同。我们认为,我们必须施压侵略者停止战争,而不是施压受害者投降。挤压乌克兰并不是正确的方法。”彭博社

“We definitely have a different approach to this war,” EU top diplomat Kaja Kallas told reporters in Brussels on Oct 15. “We see that we have to pressure the aggressor to stop the war, not the victim to surrender. Squeezing Ukraine is not the right approach.”BLOOMBERG