
约瓦纳·格茨 贝尔格莱德,塞尔维亚 — — 塞尔维亚的大学生们已经领导了近两年的反腐败大规模抗议。如今,他们有了一个更雄心勃勃的目标:在本周末的提前议会选举中击败塞尔维亚这个巴尔干国家的强大民粹主义领导人亚历山大·武契奇。
JOVANA GEC BELGRADE, Serbia — Serbia ‘s university students have led mass anti-corruption protests for nearly two years. Now they have a more ambitious goal: to beat the Balkan country’s powerful populist leader Aleksandar Vucic in the early parliamentary election this weekend.
这位前独裁总统正计划在10月25日的选举后重返总理岗位,并延续其右翼政党14年的执政。塞尔维亚的青年运动在抗议期间已经动摇了民粹派,如今它是唯一阻挡武契奇的人。
The former authoritarian president is looking to return as prime minister after the Oct. 25 vote and extend his right-wing party’s 14-year rule. Serbia’s youth movement, which already rattled the populists during the protests, is the only one standing in the way.
形势严峻,紧张局势也在升级。武契奇的塞尔维亚进步党(SNS)以及得到学生支持的“学生名单”被认为势均力敌,选举结果充满不确定性,并加剧了人们对可能爆发暴力的担忧。
The stakes are high and so are tensions. Vucic’s Serbian Progressive Party, or SNS, and the youth-backed Students’ List are believed to be running close, making the outcome uncertain and fueling fears of possible violence.
在塞尔维亚各地游行和骑行之后,学生们在贝尔格莱德的最终竞选集会预计将在周四吸引数万人参加。以下是学生们如何成为选举关键力量的情况:与法国为争取更好教育而集会的高中生不同,塞尔维亚的学生运动最初是为了在该国北部一起火车站悲剧中追求正义而发起的,该事故于2024年11月造成16人死亡。
After marching and cycling through Serbia , the students’ final campaign rally in Belgrade is expected to draw tens of thousands of people on Thursday. Here is a look at how the students became a key player in the election: Unlike high school students in France who are rallying for better education, Serbia’s student movement started out as a struggle for justice after a train station tragedy in the country’s north killed 16 people in November 2024.
学生们要求对这些死亡事件负责,他们将事故归咎于泛滥的腐败,这一诉求获得了广泛支持。抗议活动蔓延,迫使政府垮台,并动摇了武契奇的地位。
The students’ call for accountability for the deaths, which they blamed on rampant corruption, found widespread support. Protests spread, forcing a government collapse and rattling Vucic.
心理学教授亚历山大·鲍卡尔说,学生们的动力源于他们“这一代人是在一个深不公平的社会中长大”的事实。
Psychology professor Aleksandar Baucal says the students’ drive is rooted in the fact that “their generation grew up in a society that is deeply unjust.”
“他们意识到,如果他们放弃,他们就等于放弃了自己的生命,”鲍卡尔说,他是学生们早期的支持者,如今已成为他们选举名单上的成员。“这使他们成为一个不会放弃的对手。”两年后,学生们已经成为一个组织严密的政治力量,能够抵御政府的镇压,并在塞尔维亚640万选民中广受欢迎。学生们周日声称,他们的会议正在被监视,当局计划进行新的拘留。
“They realized that if they gave up, they would give up on their lives,” said Baucal, an early supporter of the students who is now on their election ticket. “This has made them an opponent who can’t give up.”Two years on, the students have become a well-organized political force, resilient to government crackdowns and widely popular among Serbia’s 6.4 million voters. The students claimed on Sunday that their meetings are being monitored and that authorities plan new detentions.
学生们说,他们的秘诀在于该运动的民主方式和完全相反于武契奇民粹主义统治的团结精神。
Their secret, the students say, lies in the movement’s democratic ways and solidarity that is completely opposite to Vucic’s populist dominance.
“ dismantle 人格崇拜 对我们来说很重要,”来自北方城市诺维萨德的学生武卡辛·吉诺维奇告诉美联社。他补充说,学生们支持“民主、宽容和尊重每个人的意见”。
“It has been important for us to dismantle the personality cult,” Vukasin Djinovic, a student from the northern city of Novi Sad, told The Associated Press. The students support “democracy, tolerance and respect for everyone’s opinion,” he added.
实际上,该运动没有领袖或领袖,甚至没有发言人。他们说,无论他们来自塞尔维亚的哪个地区,或在哪个学院学习,他们都是平等的。所有重要决策和计划都在全国范围内的所谓全体会议或院系大会上进行讨论和投票。
In practice, the movement has no leader or leaders, not even a spokesperson. They say they are all equal, regardless of what part of Serbia they come from or what faculty they are studying at. All important decisions and plans are discussed and voted on in a myriad of so-called plenums, or faculty assemblies, across the country.
这与武契奇过去12年担任总统或总理期间的一人独裁形成鲜明对比。作为一个匿名运动行动的学生们,已经证明自己是一个难以捉摸、滑溜的对手,而这位老练的政客过去曾轻松地击败过他的对手。
It’s a stark contrast to Vucic’s one-man rule during his tenures as either president or prime minister over the past 12 years. Acting as an anonymous movement, the students have proven an elusive and slippery adversary for the veteran politician who easily outmaneuvered his opponents in the past.
武契奇通过拘留、指控反国家活动以及所谓的监视,强硬地对抗学生们。
Vucic has pushed hard against the students with detentions, accusations of anti-state activities and alleged surveillance.
不过,像鲍卡尔这样的支持者认为,所有这些压力“反而赋予了学生们更强的力量与韧性”。学生们通过提交提案并经过全国各大学的审核程序后,最终选定了“学生名单”竞选联盟的成员。
But supporters such as Baucal believe all that pressure “gave the students additional strength and resilience.”The students chose their Students’ List election ticket through proposals and a vetting process that took place at all universities across the country.
该联盟推举的候选人将角逐拥有250个席位的议会席位,其中既有一些公众熟知的知名人士,也有鲜为人知的教师、教授、专家、运动员、农民和艺术家。
Their candidates for the 250-member Parliament include a few familiar faces, along with little-known teachers, professors, experts, athletes, farmers and artists.
吉诺维奇表示,此举旨在更换一个被他形容为“腐败与黑手党横行”的政府,并重建包括独立媒体在内的民主制度,从而确保未来能举行自由公正的选举。“学生名单”联盟还制定了促进经济与社会复苏的相关计划。
The idea, Djinovic said, is to change a government that he said is “plagued by corruption and mafia,” and rebuild democratic institutions, including independent media, so that a free and fair election can be held in the future. The Students’ List has also come up with plans for an economic and social revival.
“我们虽然心存恐惧,但还是克服了这种情绪,因为我们清楚自己为何而战,”他说道,“当局实施的种种暴力与镇压手段……其实正是他们内心恐惧的体现。”自上个月辞去总统职务以谋求再度出任总理以来,武契奇便全力投入竞选活动。尽管其领导的执政党掌控着选举机构与司法系统,他仍指责反对派企图窃取民粹主义阵营的选举胜利果实。
“We are afraid but we managed to overcome that because we know what we are fighting for,” he said. “All the violence and repression from the regime ... is actually a symbol of their fear.”Vucic has campaigned fiercely since he resigned as president last month to pursue his bid to become prime minister again. He has accused his opponents of plans to steal the populists’ election victory even as his ruling party controls the election authorities and the judiciary.
武契奇领导的塞尔维亚进步党过去也曾被指控存在选举违规行为,包括胁迫或收买选民、虚增选民名单等,但该党始终予以否认。
Vucic’s SNS party has been accused in the past of election irregularities , including pressuring and bribing voters and inflating voter lists — accusations it has denied.
国际选举观察员及欧盟均对此次选举的安全性与公正性表示担忧。分析人士担心,选举当晚双方均可能宣称获胜;若武契奇落败,他也很可能不会承认败绩。
International election monitors and the European Union have expressed concern about the safety and fairness of the upcoming vote. Analysts fear that both sides could claim victory on election night, and that Vucic would not concede defeat if he loses.
贝尔格莱德政治学院的亚历山德拉·克尔斯蒂奇指出:“学生们已明确展现出自身的力量——无论是作为一代人,还是在政治层面,他们都有能力推动变革。正是这一点给了民众希望:在塞尔维亚进步党执政14年后,情况或许会有所改观。”不过,克尔斯蒂奇也补充道:“我们所有人都担心会出现极端暴力事件。”
“Students have shown clearly that they are the force, both as a generation and politically, that can bring about a change,” said Aleksandra Krstic, from Belgrade’s Faculty of Political Sciences. “That is what gave people hope, that it can be different after 14 years of the Serbian Progressive Party regime.”But, Krstic added, “we all fear extreme violence.”