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南非商业情绪在伊朗战争持续的情况下趋于稳定South Africa’s Business Mood Steadies Despite Ongoing Iran War

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约翰内斯堡中央商务区。摄影师:莱昂·萨迪基/彭博社The central business district in Johannesburg. Photographer: Leon Sadiki/Bloomberg

非洲商业情绪在9月趋于稳定,这得益于高贵金属价格以及旅游和汽车销量的回升,尽管高油价带来的通胀压力仍然令人担忧。

African business sentiment steadied in September, underpinned by high precious-metal prices and a pickup in tourism and car sales, though inflationary pressures from high oil prices remain a concern.

南非工商会在周一的一份声明中表示,衡量商业信心的指标为134.3,较8月的135.1略有下降。尽管该指标环比略有下降,但自7月以来已上升8.9个点。

A gauge measuring business confidence stood at 134.3, down marginally from 135.1 in August, the South African Chamber of Commerce and Industry said in a statement on Monday. Though the measure fell slightly on a month-on-month basis, it has gained 8.9 points since July.

“海外游客人数众多以及新车销量扩大继续成为商业情绪的主要同比积极驱动因素,”工商会表示。“贵金属的持续高国际价格继续支撑着商业信心。”不过,工商会警告称,燃油价格上涨和借贷成本增加可能会对改善的情绪造成压力。

“The high number of overseas tourists and expanded sales of new vehicles remained major year-on-year positive drivers of business sentiment,” the chamber said. “The continuing high international price of precious metals remained in support of business confidence.”Still, higher fuel prices and borrowing costs may weigh on the improved sentiment, the chamber warned.

伊朗战争已经持续了八个月,导致霍尔木兹海峡交通中断,推高了原油和其他商品的成本。当地汽油价格在10月攀升至历史最高水平,使家庭和企业再次承受压力。

Now in its eighth month, the Iran war has disrupted traffic through the Strait of Hormuz and driven up the cost of crude and other commodities. Local gasoline prices climbed to a record in October, placing households and businesses under renewed strain.

央行上个月将基准利率提高了25个基点至7.25%,理由是伊朗和乌克兰战争带来的通胀压力正在显现。

The central bank last month raised the benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points to 7.25%, citing inflationary pressures emerging from the wars in Iran and Ukraine.

“这给家庭的消费和企业的成本及可行性带来了特殊压力,”南非工商会表示。

“This places exceptional pressure on households’ spending and business costs and viability,” Sacci said.

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