特朗普警告堪萨斯州的选民：如果民主党人获胜，美国可能会像法国一样陷入混乱。与此同时，他还在这场激烈的参议院选举中力挺共和党候选人罗杰·马歇尔。
Trump warned Kansas voters that America could “burn” like France if Democrats win, while backing Republican Senator Roger Marshall in a tight Senate race.
特朗普在演讲中使用了反移民、反穆斯林的言论，还将民主党人讥讽为“蠢民主党人”。人权组织指出，他的这类言论会助长歧视现象。
He used anti-immigrant and anti-Muslim rhetoric, calling Democrats “Dumocrats”, as rights groups said his language spreads discrimination.
据路透社与Ipsos的联合调查显示，这场选举反映出共和党在11月3日中期选举前的普遍担忧：选民们目前最关心物价上涨、农业领域的不满情绪，而特朗普本人的支持率也仅为31%。
The race reflects wider Republican worries before the Nov 3 midterms, with voters focused on rising prices, farm anger and Trump’s low 31% approval, Reuters-Ipsos found.
堪萨斯州帕克城——10月19日，美国总统唐纳德·特朗普以法国的骚乱事件为例，试图以此劝阻选民不要把票投给民主党，从而帮助共和党保住堪萨斯州的参议院席位——该席位此前一直由共和党掌控，如今却面临被对手夺走的风险。
AI generated PARK CITY, Kansas – US President Donald Trump on Oct 19 used violent unrest in France as an argument against Democrats in his battle to defend a Kansas Senate seat long held by Republicans but in danger of falling to his political opponents.
此次为共和党现任议员罗杰·马歇尔举行的竞选集会，是特朗普近期在多个保守州展开的拉票活动之一。由于选民对伊朗战争及物价上涨问题不满，这些州的共和党候选人都面临着巨大压力。
Trump’s rally on behalf of Republican incumbent Roger Marshall was his latest foray into conservative states where Republican candidates are on defence due to voter frustrations over the Iran war and rising prices.
“我爱堪萨斯州，但我今天是来支持罗杰·马歇尔的。”特朗普说道。
“I love you Kansas, but I’m here for a guy named Roger Marshall,” Trump said.
在演讲中，特朗普新增了一个论点：他声称除非共和党人获胜，否则美国也可能出现类似法国的大规模抗议活动。不过他并未提供任何证据。
In a new addition to his stump speech, Trump pointed to widespread protests in France as a scenario that could erupt in the United States unless Republicans win. He provided no evidence.
近期，法国爆发了多年来最为严重的骚乱：民众因生活成本上涨以及公共服务资金匮乏而发起大规模抗议，最终演变成暴力骚乱与抢劫事件。而特朗普本人也一直未能有效解决美国民众面临的物价上涨问题。
France in recent days has seen some of the worst unrest in years as huge protests over the cost of living and underfunded public services descended into riots and looting. Trump himself has struggled to make goods and services more affordable in the United States.
在演讲中，特朗普再次使用了反移民、反穆斯林的言论，这类言论正是他三次总统竞选期间惯用的手段。
In his speech, Trump turned to anti-immigrant and anti-Muslim rhetoric, the type that he used to fuel his three presidential campaigns.
“我们绝不会让这种事发生在美国，”他说道，“当你们看到法国的教堂被焚毁、大火肆虐时，请记住：这正是那些极端的‘蠢民主党人’想要对美国做的事。”特朗普一直用“蠢民主党人”来嘲讽民主党人。
“We’re not going to let that happen to this country,” he said. “When you see burning steeples and raging fires in France, just remember that is what the radical Dumocrats want to do to America.”Trump has been mocking Democrats by calling them Dumocrats.
人权倡导者多年来一直批评特朗普的言论——他经常针对并嘲讽移民及少数族裔群体。民间人权组织指出，此类言论实际上助长了针对这些群体的歧视态度。
Rights advocates have repeatedly criticised Trump for his rhetoric over the years in which he has targeted and mocked immigrants and ethnic minority groups. Civil rights groups say such rhetoric normalises discriminatory attitudes towards those communities.
堪萨斯州位于美国中西部，属于保守州。2024年，特朗普在此州以16个百分点的优势获胜。不过，该州已有94年未曾选出过民主党人担任联邦参议员。现任参议员马歇尔正与民主党候选人亚当·汉密尔顿展开激烈角逐。汉密尔顿是一位卫理公会大型教会的牧师，他反对特朗普的关税政策，并批评总统的“行事方式反复无常”。
Kansas competition Kansas, a conservative Midwestern state Trump won by 16 points in 2024, has not elected a Democrat to the US Senate in 94 years. First-term Senator Marshall is in a close fight with Democratic candidate Adam Hamilton, pastor of a Methodist megachurch, who is running against Trump’s tariff agenda and what he calls the president’s “erratic leadership”.
“他想要让所有白人生来就感到愧疚，”特朗普这样评价汉密尔顿。
“He wants you to repent for being born White,” Trump said of Hamilton.
在集会发言中，马歇尔围绕“遏制极端伊斯兰主义”等文化议题展开竞选宣传。他称汉密尔顿对堪萨斯州而言“过于激进”，因为后者支持同性恋骄傲游行，这一言论引得现场观众大声喝倒彩。“我们需要一个能分清母牛与公牛的人，”马歇尔说道。汉密尔顿的竞选团队暂未对置评请求作出回应。
Marshall, in remarks to the rally, led his campaign argument on cultural issues like stopping “radical Islam”. He called Hamilton “too woke” for Kansas because he supports gay pride parades, which the crowd loudly booed. “We need someone who can sort heifers and steers,” he said. Hamilton’s campaign did not immediately respond to a request for comment.
在10月19日发布的一段视频中，汉密尔顿对特朗普到访该州表示欢迎，并称特朗普的支持者在他的竞选活动中“有一席之地”。他表示，只要符合民众利益，自己愿意与特朗普合作；而当华盛顿的政策损害到农民与乡村地区医院的利益时，他也会挺身而出维护堪萨斯州民众的权益。
In an Oct 19 video, Hamilton welcomed Trump to the state and said his supporters have “a place” in his campaign. Hamilton said he will work with Trump when it makes sense and stand up for Kansans when Washington policies hurt farmers and rural hospitals.
这场势均力敌的竞选态势，恰恰反映出共和党在11月3日中期选举中面临的严峻挑战——他们必须逆势而为，才能保住对参议院与众议院的控制权。
The tightness of the race is emblematic of a potentially disastrous year looming for Republicans in the Nov 3 midterm elections as they try to defy political headwinds and retain control of the Senate and the House of Representatives.
目前，特朗普正全身心投入为期32天的密集竞选活动，频繁造访那些他在以往选举中轻松获胜的“友好地区”。
Trump is deep into a 32-day campaign blitz, frequently going to friendly areas that he won handily in previous elections.
一位熟悉特朗普中期选举战略的共和党人士透露，总统之所以重视乡村地区，是因为内部民调显示：全美乡村地区55岁以下的男性选民对特朗普的支持度有所下滑。而这一群体正是特朗普在2024年总统大选中获胜的关键支撑力量。
One Republican familiar with Trump’s midterm strategy said the president’s attention on rural parts of the country is in response to internal polling showing soft support from men 55 years and younger in rural areas nationwide, a voting bloc crucial to Trump’s 2024 presidential win.
经济担忧方面，路透社与益普索10月19日发布的最新民调显示，31%的美国民众认可特朗普的执政表现，这是该总统任内的最低纪录。
Economic concerns The latest Reuters-Ipsos poll, published on Oct 19, found that 31% of Americans approve of Trump’s performance in office, a record low for the President.
民主党需在美国众议院和参议院各净增四席，才能推翻共和党在众议院218比214、在参议院53比47的微弱多数优势。
Democrats need a net gain of four seats in both the US House of Representatives and US Senate to overturn Republicans’ narrow 218-214 and 53-47 majorities.
在威奇托附近的帕克城，许多集会参加者步行超过一英里，穿过135号州际公路，才抵达这座乡村体育馆。头顶上方，一块红绿相间的卡车停靠站招牌闪烁着最新油价：汽油3.98美元（5新元），柴油5.78美元。
In Park City, near Wichita, many rally-goers walked more than a mile across Interstate 135 to reach the rural arena, as a red-and-green truck stop sign flashed its latest prices above their heads: US$3.98 (S$5) for petrol and US$5.78 for diesel.
据旅行分析机构AAA的数据，这比该州2025年的平均汽油价格每加仑上涨了约45%。在特朗普最忠诚的支持者中，经济担忧显而易见。
That is up about 45% per gallon compared to average gas prices in the state in 2025, according to travel analyst, AAA. Economic concerns were palpable among Trump’s most loyal supporters.
“靠残疾补助生活，我没有多少积蓄，但物价似乎还在上涨，它们需要降下来。感觉你得四处搜寻、到处找吃的，”59岁的莫妮克·马伦说。她来自堪萨斯州哈钦森，是一名共和党选民，平时照顾自己的父亲。
“Being on disability, I don’t have much, but it seems like the prices are still going up and they need to come down. It feels like you’re having to search or hunt for food,” said Monique Mullen, 59, a Republican voter from Hutchinson, Kansas, who takes care of her father.
一小群抗议者聚集在体育馆附近，其中包括詹姆斯·奈廷格尔，他自称是来自堪萨斯州霍尔斯特德的独立人士。
A small bloc of protesters gathered near the arena, including James Nightingale, a self-described independent from Halstead, Kansas.
“我是堪萨斯州的农民，特朗普政府摧毁了我所在地区的农业经济。他的关税不仅摧毁了我们的粮食销售市场，现在他还从国外进口牛肉。‘美国优先’去哪儿了？”他说。
“I’m a farmer from Kansas and the Trump administration has decimated the farm economy in my area. Not only have his tariffs decimated our markets for grain sales, now he is bringing in imported beef from outside the country. What happened to ‘America First’?” he said.
堪萨斯州选民已证明愿意跨党派投票，过去两届州长选举中，他们都选出了民主党籍州长劳拉·凯利。
Kansans have proven a willingness to cross parties, as voters have elected a Democratic governor, Laura Kelly, for the last two terms.
“我认为在这里当选从来都不容易，”来自堪萨斯州托旺达的特朗普选民吉娜·塞曼说。她指出，共和党候选人过去曾把自身的受欢迎程度视为理所当然。
“I don’t think it’s ever easy to get elected here,” said Gina Seman, a Trump voter from Towanda, Kansas, noting that Republican candidates in the past have taken their popularity for granted.