特朗普总统向支持者发出不祥警告，称民主党若控制国会将导致混乱与毁灭，这是他在中期选举前两周的收官竞选论调。周一在堪萨斯州的集会上，特朗普试图将震动法国的抗议与骚乱与美国联系起来，声称若民主党在国会山占据多数，美国可能面临类似局面。“要看这场选举的利害关系，只需看看法国正在发生什么，”特朗普对支持者说。
President Trump is issuing an ominous message to supporters, warning that Democratic control of Congress would lead to chaos and destruction in his closing midterm pitch two weeks out from Election Day. Trump sought to tie the protests and riots rocking France to the U.S. during a rally in Kansas on Monday, saying the U.S. could face a similar scenario with Democratic majorities on Capitol Hill. “To see what is at stake in this election, just look at what’s happening in France,” Trump told supporters.
副总统万斯周一发布类似信息，回应一条附有视频的X帖子，视频显示法国一座150年历史的市政厅正在燃烧。“我祈祷法国——这个拥有伟大人民的美丽国家——能在更多地标被烧毁前停止这场疯狂，”他写道。“我希望美国人正在关注。这是国会民主党为你们国家寻求的未来。”
Vice President Vance sent a similar message on Monday, in response to an X post with a video showing a 150-year-old town hall burning in France. "I pray that France, a beautiful country of amazing people, will stop this madness before more of its landmarks burn," he wrote. "And I hope Americans are paying attention. This is the future congressional Democrats seek for your country."
周二在椭圆形办公室讲话时，特朗普抨击席卷法国的骚乱。“看看法国，意大利也发生了类似情况，规模较小，但就在那里，正在酝酿，”特朗普说，他指责移民是抗议的推手，而抗议最初是由青少年学生为争取更好的学校而发起的。“如果不把这股力量清除出去，你们将不得不驱逐那些人，驱逐那些暴乱分子，”他补充道，并将此与自己的强硬边境政策形成对比。
Speaking in the Oval Office on Tuesday, Trump sounded off about the riots that have gripped France. "When you look at France, and it happened in Italy too, smaller scale, but it's right there, it's simmering," Trump said, pointing to immigrants as the driving force of the protests, which began as teenage students pushing for better schools. "If you don't get that out, and you're going to have to remove the people, you're going to have to remove those people that are insurrectionists," he added, drawing a contrast with his own hardline border policies.
这种信息传递或许能为激发特朗普的保守派基本盘提供有用素材，但可能疏远独立选民，他们对特朗普政府和共和党控制国会下的经济状况感到不满。“在距离选举还有两周的时候，认为法国的骚乱会凌驾于美国人的经济需求和优先事项之上，这多少有些妄想，甚至是危险的妄想，”一位共和党策略师说。
While the messaging could provide useful fodder to galvanize Trump’s conservative base, it could turn off Independent voters, who are displeased with the state of the economy under the Trump administration and Republican control in Congress. “It’s somewhat delusional, even dangerously delusional to think that a riot in France will supersede the economic needs and priorities of Americans two weeks out from an election,” said one Republican strategist.
特朗普将关注点放在法国，正值共和党候选人仍全力聚焦经济信息传递之际——许多人都在寻求与总统最不得人心的政策保持距离。“所有共和党人都需要专注于恢复摇摆选民的信心，这些选民因我们未能聚焦经济问题而抛弃本党。若不这样做，将在选举之夜导致巨大的失望，”总部设在北卡罗来纳州的共和党策略师保罗·舒梅克表示。
Trump’s focus on France comes as Republican candidates remain laser-focused on economic messaging — with many looking for distance from the president's least popular policies. “All Republicans need to be focused on restoring confidence with swing voters who are abandoning the party due [to] our failure to focus on economic issues. Failure to do so will lead to [much] disappointment on election night,” said Paul Shumaker, a North Carolina-based Republican strategist.
周二发布的一项路透社/益普索民调显示，68%的受访者，包括37%的自认共和党人，表示不赞成特朗普对经济的处理。总统在期中选举最后冲刺阶段经常谈论经济，大力宣传《一项宏伟美好的法案》，即《劳动家庭减税法案》。周一，特朗普因宣布一项80亿美元的救助计划、援助因柴油价格高企而受损的农民而登上头条。
A Reuters/Ipsos poll released on Tuesday found that 68 percent of respondents, including 37 percent of self-identified Republicans, said they disapproved of Trump’s handling of the economy. The president often talks about the economy in his final midterm blitz, touting the One Big Beautiful Bill, also known as the Working Families Tax Cut Act. On Monday, Trump made headlines when he announced an $8 billion relief program for farmers negatively impacted by high diesel prices.
特朗普表示，法国的抗议活动将在未来几天继续成为其经济信息传递的素材库一部分。“当我去北卡罗来纳州时，今天我将谈论此事。但欧洲必须改变其做法，否则将不复存在，”特朗普周二在椭圆形办公室对记者表示，随后前往格林维尔参加竞选集会。法国的动荡最初始于夏季，针对教师短缺和校舍条件恶化的抗议。
Trump indicated that the protests in France will remain part of his economic messaging repertoire in the days ahead. “When I go to North Carolina, today I’m going to be speaking about it. But Europe has to change its ways or you’re not going to have Europe left,” Trump told reporters in the Oval Office on Tuesday ahead of a campaign rally in Greenville. The unrest in France initially started as protests over the summer focused on teacher shortages and declining building conditions.
抗议随后迅速蔓延至全国其他地区，此后还出现了边缘性骚乱。白宫副新闻秘书安娜·凯利在向《国会山报》发表的声明中表示，特朗普对欧洲的警告并非新鲜事，旨在保护美国。“这些破坏性政策使曾经伟大的欧洲城市面目全非——任由犯罪和反犹太主义暴力横行，并给社会安全网项目带来了不可持续的成本，”凯利说。
The protests then quickly spread to other parts of the country, and fringe riots have since emerged. In a statement to The Hill, deputy White House press secretary Anna Kelly said Trump’s warnings over Europe are nothing new and are meant to protect the U.S. “These destructive policies have made once-great European cities unrecognizable – allowing crime and antisemitic violence to run rampant and posing an unsustainable cost on social safety net programs,” Kelly said.
“总统在当选时将美国从这种毁灭中拯救了出来，他理所当然地警告美国人，如果民主党允许同样那些激进的左派疯子在我们的社区制造混乱，将会面临怎样的混乱局面，”她继续说道。特朗普还将欧洲的动荡视为一个机会，以此突显他自己的移民记录，从而激发其基本盘。总统在俄亥俄州的一次集会上攻击了明尼苏达州的索马里裔社区以及俄亥俄州斯普林菲尔德的海地裔社区。
“The president saved the United States from such destruction when he was elected, and he has rightfully warned Americans of the chaos that awaits if Democrats allow the same radical left lunatics to wreak havoc on our communities,” she continued. Trump also sees the unrest in Europe as an opportunity to highlight his own immigration record as he seeks to galvanize his base. The president attacked the Somalian community in Minnesota as well as the Haitian community in Springfield, Oh. during a rally in Ohio.
总统在竞选集会上使用黑暗和威胁性的语言绝非新鲜事。2015年启动首次总统竞选时，总统指责越过美国南部边境的墨西哥移民是“强奸犯”，并将毒品和犯罪带入美国。“他是在搞火与硫磺那一套，”这位不愿具名的共和党策略师说。“但独自掌权两年后，这招就不管用了。”总统的言论与他在2018年中期选举前以及2020年、乔治·弗洛伊德遭警方击毙后攻击示威者时的过往信息如出一辙，当时他曾警告移民大篷车威胁美国。
The president’s use of dark and menacing language at campaign rallies is hardly new. During the launch of his first presidential campaign in 2015, the president accused Mexican migrants crossing the U.S. southern border as “rapists” and bringing drugs and crime into the U.S. “He does fire and brimstone,” the unnamed Republican strategist said. “But after being solely in power for two years, it just doesn’t work.”The president’s rhetoric mirrors that of his past messaging ahead of the 2018 midterms, in which he warned of a migrant caravan threatening the U.S., as well as in 2020, when he attacked demonstrators following the police killing of George Floyd.
虽然这种信息过去有助于动员“让美国再次伟大”（MAGA）选民，但民调显示，特朗普及其政党可能在两周后面临惨重失利。“特朗普的本能当然是恐吓民众，”共和党策略师罗布·斯塔兹曼说。“当你的不支持率创下历史新低时，搞雄心壮志的调子恐怕没多大用处。”同一项路透社/益普索民调显示，特朗普的支持率跌至31%的历史新低。
While the messaging has helped mobilize MAGA voters in the past, polls suggest Trump and his party could be headed for major losses in two weeks. “Trump’s instinct, of course, is to scare people,” Republican strategist Rob Stutzman said. “When you are at record low disapproval ratings, there probably isn’t much point in being aspirational.”The same Reuters/Ipsos poll found that Trump’s approval rating hit a record low of 31 percent.
“但话虽这么说，美国人还记得美国主要城市发生的动荡，”斯塔兹曼说，指的是弗洛伊德之死后以及疫情期间发生的动荡。“未能守住南部边境，恐怕是拜登政府最显眼、最持久的无能表现，”他继续说道。
“But having said that, Americans remember unrest in major American cities,” Stutzman said, referring to the unrest following Floyd’s death and during the pandemic. “And the failure to secure the southern border is probably the most glaring, enduring ineptitude of the Biden administration,” he continued.
斯图兹曼认为，特朗普对法国骚乱的攻击路线可能有助于提高基本盘的投票率。他说：“正是这类言论、恐惧和煽动性话术，帮助他建立了一个由原本不参与政治的独特选民组成的联盟。”
Stutzman argued that Trump’s line of attack on the French riots could help with base turnout. “It’s the type of rhetoric and fear and demagoguery that helped him build his coalition of unique otherwise disengaged voters,” he said.