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尽管奥斯陆气氛乐观,特朗普与泽连斯基仍显露分歧Trump and Zelensky appear at loggerheads despite Oslo optimism

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威特科夫与泽连斯基在挪威首都会面Witkoff and Zelensky met in the Norwegian capital

特朗普特使史蒂夫·威特科夫在奥斯陆与泽连斯基会面 午后会谈前的一个拥抱,不太可能消除这位乌克兰领导人对美国当前对其战火蹂躏国家政策走向的疑虑。

Witkoff and Zelensky met in the Norwegian capital The hug that Trump envoy Steve Witkoff offered Volodymyr Zelensky ahead of this afternoon's talks in Oslo is unlikely to have dispelled the Ukrainian leader's misgivings about the current direction of US policy towards his war-ravaged country.

泽连斯基在社交媒体上发布了那一刻的视频,并配文:“乌克兰正在为和平而努力。我感谢我们伙伴的支持!”但鉴于本月发生的一切,这位乌克兰领导人是否仍视唐纳德·特朗普为伙伴?这两人从未亲近——这显而易见——但他们现在是否已彻底决裂?

Zelensky posted a video of the moment on social media, with the message "Ukraine is working for peace. I thank our partners for their support!" But given everything that's happened this month, does the Ukrainian leader still regard Donald Trump as a partner? The two men have never been close – that much is obvious – but have they now fallen out once and for all?

无论是在言辞还是行动上,过去十天都显示出了一次裂痕,其深度不亚于他们这段充满摩擦关系中的任何一次。只听听他们如何谈论对方。

Both in rhetoric and actions, the past ten days have seen evidence of a rupture as deep as any in their fractious relationship. Just listen to the way they talk about each other.

“泽连斯基不是个好打交道的人,”特朗普上周对Newsmax表示。言语攻击本周持续不断。

"Zelensky's not a good guy for us to deal with," Trump told Newsmax last week. The verbal assault has continued this week.

当被问及如何看待乌克兰领导人提出的“与俄罗斯达成柴油协议将使美国站在历史错误一边”这一建议时,特朗普周一对一名记者说:“泽连斯基不知道自己在说什么。”

"Zelensky doesn't know what he's talking about," Trump told a reporter on Monday when asked what he thought of the Ukrainian leader's suggestion that striking a diesel deal with Russia put the US on the wrong side of history.

这种人身攻击是特朗普大棒式外交手法的典型特征。很难判断何时该认真对待。

Such personal attacks are typical of Trump's sledgehammer approach to diplomacy. It's hard to know when to take them seriously.

6月,他猛烈抨击以色列总理,称本雅明·内塔尼亚胡“毫无他妈的判断力”。四个月后,他热情背书内塔尼亚胡,称其为“伟大的战士总理”。

In June, he lashed out at Israel's prime minister, saying Benjamin Netanyahu "has no f**king judgement". Four months later, he endorsed Netanyahu enthusiastically, calling him a "great warrior prime minister".

“特朗普随时可能再来个大转弯,”欧洲改革中心的伊恩·邦德说。“但这看起来确实很糟。”就泽连斯基而言,在形容这位不可靠但至关重要的美国对应人物时,通常一直很谨慎。

"Trump can always do another U-turn," says Ian Bond of the Centre for European Reform. "But this does look bad." For his part Zelensky has generally been circumspect in how he describes his unreliable but vital American counterpart.

但本月他的沮丧情绪已十分明显。在接见一个美国国会代表团时,他提到“美方做出的一些难以在朋友间解释的决定”,并表达了担忧:“担心已作出某种政治决定,要放缓对我们的支持。”针对特朗普指责他是谈判解决的主要障碍,泽连斯基听起来比以往任何时候都更加恼火。

But this month his frustration has been clear. Addressing a US congressional delegation, he spoke of "decisions on the American side that are hard to explain between friends" and voiced the fear that "some political decision has been made to slow down support for us." Answering Trump's charge that he represented the principal obstacle to a negotiated settlement, Zelensky sounded more exasperated than ever.

“我们欢迎合作伙伴为体面结束这场战争所做的每一次尝试,字面意义上的每一次,”他在周一于Telegram上写道。但抛开言辞不谈,双方关系究竟有多糟糕?在某些方面,我们以前经历过类似情况。

"We have welcomed literally EVERY attempt by our partners to end this war with dignity," he wrote on Telegram on Monday. But rhetoric aside, how bad is the relationship? In some ways, we've been here before.

2025年2月,两人在椭圆办公室发生那场臭名昭著的电视直播争吵后,特朗普指责泽连斯基“拿第三次世界大战赌博”,美国随即暂停军事援助并限制情报共享。

After their notorious televised bust up in the Oval Office in February 2025, at which Trump accused Zelensky of "gambling with World War III", the US suspended military assistance and restricted intelligence sharing.

危机仅持续了一周。同年晚些时候,当特朗普政府决定不再愿意为乌克兰提供直接军事援助资金时,建立了一项机制,由欧洲国家支付购买美国装备的费用。

The crisis only lasted a week. And when the Trump administration decided, later that year, that it no longer wanted to finance direct military assistance to Ukraine, a mechanism was put in place for European countries to pay for American equipment instead.

今年美国与伊朗交战后,一个例外是急需的美国制造“爱国者”防空导弹。

One exception, in the wake of this year's US war with Iran, has been badly needed US-made Patriot air defence missiles.

在全球短缺的背景下,供应给乌克兰的“爱国者”导弹已减少到涓涓细流,使得基辅拦截俄罗斯弹道导弹比以往任何时候都更加困难。

Amid a global shortage, the supply to Ukraine has slowed to a trickle, making it harder than ever for Kyiv to shoot down Russian ballistic missiles.

《华盛顿邮报》援引一名不愿具名的乌克兰官员的话称,乌克兰库存中“只剩下几枚”“爱国者”拦截弹,且特朗普政府放缓了美国盟友申请转移其库存的审批流程。

The Washington Post, quoting an unnamed Ukrainian official, said "only a couple" of Patriot interceptors remained in Ukraine's stockpile, and that the Trump administration had slowed down the process by which US allies seek approval to transfer their stocks.

过去也曾提出过类似担忧,但最新报道——美国官员尚未证实——出现在基辅面临日益严峻形势的背景下。

Similar concerns have been voiced in the past, but the latest reports – not confirmed by US officials – come against an increasingly difficult backdrop for Kyiv.

本月初,乌克兰谈判代表抵达迈阿密,准备与特朗普的全权特使威特科夫和贾里德·库什纳举行会谈,却被总统刚刚与弗拉基米尔·普京达成协议、向俄罗斯柴油开放美国市场的消息打了个措手不及。

Earlier this month, as Ukrainian negotiators arrived in Miami for talks with Trump's all-purpose envoys Witkoff and Jared Kushner, they were blindsided by the news that the president had just struck a deal with Vladimir Putin to open US markets to Russian diesel.

专家质疑此举能否在国会中期选举前(这显然是动机)大幅降低美国汽油价格,但作为美国对乌克兰对俄罗斯炼油厂实施远程打击行动表示不满、以及华盛顿愿意与克里姆林宫做交易的信号,这对基辅构成了严厉的斥责。

Experts questioned whether it would do much to drive down US petrol prices, ahead of congressional mid-term elections (the apparent motive), but as a signal of US displeasure over Ukraine's campaign of long-range strikes on Russian oil refineries and Washington's willingness to do deals with the Kremlin, it represented a stinging rebuke to Kyiv.

上周五,特朗普进一步采取行动,在广泛制裁俄罗斯的措施生效前两天宣布豁免。

Last Friday, Trump went further, waiving wide-ranging sanctions on Russia just two days before they were due to take effect.

特朗普称,格雷厄姆法案(以已故前南卡罗来纳州参议员林赛·格雷厄姆命名,他是乌克兰的坚定支持者,于7月去世)所含制裁将阻碍他斡旋和平的努力。但对基辅及其支持者而言,这又是白宫站在克里姆林宫一边的另一个令人不安的迹象。

Trump said the sanctions contained in the Graham Act (named after the former South Carolina senator Lindsey Graham, a vocal supporter of Ukraine who died in July) would hinder his efforts to broker peace. But for Kyiv and its supporters this was another alarming sign that the White House was siding with the Kremlin.

“特朗普政府正在做的事,是给俄罗斯胡萝卜,给乌克兰大棒,”前美国驻基辅大使威廉·泰勒对BBC表示。“这无法解释,也令人悲伤。”

"What the Trump administration is doing is providing carrots to the Russians and sticks applied to the Ukrainians," former US ambassador to Kyiv William Taylor told the BBC. "It's inexplicable and saddening."

普京高级特使基里尔·德米特里耶夫称这是“一个重要且真正具有历史意义的时刻”。

Kiriil Dmitriev, a senior Putin envoy, called it "an important and truly historic moment".

对莫斯科而言,这感觉像是欢迎回归“阿拉斯加精神”,这一措辞在2025年8月安克雷奇特普会晤后被俄罗斯官员大力宣扬。

For Moscow, this felt like a welcome return to the "spirit of Alaska", a phrase much touted by Russian officials in the wake of the Trump-Putin summit in Anchorage in August 2025.

加深特朗普正在背弃乌克兰这一印象的,是指控——同样未获华盛顿证实——称美国限制了情报流向,并干扰了乌克兰使用埃隆·马斯克“星链”卫星互联网服务。

Adding to the impression that Trump is turning his back on Ukraine is the allegation – again not confirmed by Washington – that the US has restricted the flow of intelligence and interfered with Ukraine's access to Elon Musk's Starlink satellite internet service.

在俄罗斯对乌克兰城市的无人机和导弹战争升级之际,基辅称美国卫星情报提供的预警已所剩无几。

Amid an escalation in Russia's drone and missile war on Ukraine's cities, Kyiv says advance warning provided by US satellite intelligence has been lacking.

“在遭受三天弹道导弹袭击期间,我们没有收到(情报)。”泽连斯基对美国全国广播公司新闻部(NBC News)表示。

"We didn't receive it during ballistic attacks for three days," Zelensky told NBC News.

10月12日,五枚俄罗斯S-400导弹袭击基辅,据报道是在防空警报或手机预警响起之前。

On 12 October five Russian S-400 missiles hit Kyiv, reportedly before air raid sirens or mobile alerts had sounded.

美国国务卿马尔科·鲁比奥否认情报共享曾出现暂停,将早期预警暂时缺失归咎于“软件问题”。

The US Secretary of State, Marco Rubio, denied there had been any pause in intelligence sharing, blaming a "software problem" for the temporary lack of early warnings.

类似的不确定性也笼罩着乌克兰对“星链”的使用权限。一周前,乌克兰官员报告称该系统遭到限速,终端无法在高速下维持连接,导致乌克兰军方更难拦截快速移动的俄罗斯无人机。自夏季以来,乌克兰难以应对先进喷气式无人机攻击潮。

Similar uncertainty surrounds Ukraine's access to Starlink A week ago, Ukrainian officials reported that the system was being throttled, with terminals unable to maintain connections at high speeds, making it harder for Ukraine's military to intercept fast moving Russian drones. Since the summer, Ukraine has struggled to cope with a wave of attacks by advanced, jet-powered drones.

目前尚不清楚任何限制乌克兰使用“星链”——或其军用级对应系统“星盾”的指令源自何处。路透社报道称,该指令来自白宫。

It's not clear where any order to limit Ukraine's use of Starlink – or its military grade equivalent Starshield – originated. Reuters reported that it came from the White House.

鲁比奥表示,“白宫没有任何人下令让任何人降低网速。”但此类猜测频繁浮现这一事实,凸显出继续侵蚀美乌关系的信任缺失。

Rubio said "no-one at the White House ordered anyone to slow down internet." But the fact that such suspicions surface so frequently points to the lack of trust that continues to infect US-Ukrainian relations.

这在很大程度上源于唐纳德·特朗普对乌克兰整体——尤其是对泽连斯基——似乎长期存在的不信任。

Much of this has its roots in Donald Trump's seemingly long-standing mistrust of Ukraine as a whole - and Zelensky in particular.

俄罗斯对乌克兰的打击持续不断 十年前,特朗普确信乌克兰曾试图阻止他成为美国总统。在一系列毫无根据的指控中,包括美国民主党全国委员会(DNC)在乌克兰某处藏有一台服务器的说法。

Russian strikes on Ukraine have continued unabated A decade ago, Trump became convinced that Ukraine had tried to prevent him from becoming US president. Among a number of unfounded allegations was the suggestion that the US Democratic National Committee had a server hidden somewhere in Ukraine.

俄罗斯对乌克兰的打击持续不断Russian strikes on Ukraine have continued unabated

三年后泽连斯基当选总统时,他拒绝了特朗普要求其调查大选干预指控的要求。

When Zelensky became president, three years later, he resisted Trump's demands that he investigate charges of election interference.

在一次臭名昭著的2019年7月电话通话中,特朗普还要求泽连斯基调查乔·拜登,后者后来在2020年总统大选中击败了特朗普。泽连斯基再次拒绝。

During a notorious July 2019 telephone conversation, Trump also asked Zelensky to investigate Joe Biden, the man who went on to defeat him in the 2020 presidential election. Again, Zelensky refused.

当时,白宫暂停了对乌克兰的3.91亿美元(2.9亿英镑)军事援助;这一决定最终导致了特朗普的首次弹劾。

At the time, the White House was withholding $391m (£290m) in military assistance to Ukraine, a juxtaposition that ultimately led to Trump's first impeachment.

特朗普是否仍因这些历史性的“侮辱”而怀恨在心,并继续影响着他目前对乌克兰的政策,这仍是一个未解之谜。不过,美乌关系的波动无疑再次陷入了令人不安的境地。

Whether Trump's resentment over these historic slights continues to inform his current policy towards Ukraine is an open question, but it's clear that the roller coaster of US-Ukraine relations has taken another stomach-churning dip.

会谈结束后,维特科夫将一套更新后的提案带到了圣彼得堡;现在所有人的目光都集中在普京身上。

Following the talks in Oslo, Witkoff is taking a set of updated proposals to St Petersburg. All eyes will now be on Putin.

挪威首相约纳斯·加尔·斯特雷表示,奥斯陆的会谈有助于“理清一些问题”;他外交地指出:“纠结于昨天或一周前说过的话毫无意义。”

Jonas Gahr Støre, the Norwegian leader, said the talks in Oslo had helped "to straighten out a few things." "There's nothing to gain from… digging into what was said yesterday or a week ago," he said diplomatically.

泽连斯基称,当天他与美国国务卿的会谈非常富有成效,并表示早期预警系统的相关问题已经得到解决;他对“爱国者”导弹(Patriot missiles)和“星链”(Starlink)项目也持乐观态度。“我认为我们也会取得良好的成果,”他说。

Zelensky said the day had begun with a productive conversation with the US Secretary of State and indicated that the issue of early warning had already been fixed. He also sounded optimistic about Patriot missiles and Starlink. "I think we will have good results too," he said.

然而,尽管语气乐观,但事实依然不容忽视:沃洛迪米尔·泽连斯基与唐纳德·特朗普似乎再次陷入了僵局。

Yet despite the optimistic tone, it's hard to get around the fact that Volodymyr Zelensky and Donald Trump appear, once again, to be at loggerheads.

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