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参议院版图(再次)扩大The Senate map expands (again)

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参议院少数党领袖、纽约州民主党人查克·舒默。汤姆·威廉姆斯 / CQ-Roll Call公司 via Getty Images资料图Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer, D-N.Y. Tom Williams / CQ-Roll Call, Inc via Getty Images file

在今天的版面中,Bridget Bowman 关注民主党在争夺参议院控制权的战斗中,最新试图争取的红州。此外,Jane C. Timm 概述了中期选举选票上关键的州务卿竞选。——Adam Wollner民主党介入密西西比州参议院竞选文/Bridget Bowman距离选举日还有两周,参议院民主党的头号超级政治行动委员会在密西西比州参议院竞选中启动了一项新的广告活动,这是该党寻求在传统共和党州取得突破、以争夺多数席位的最新例证。

In today’s edition, Bridget Bowman looks at the latest red state Democrats are making a play for in the battle for the Senate. Plus, Jane C. Timm provides an overview of the key secretary of state races on the midterm ballot. — Adam Wollner Democrats jump into the Mississippi Senate race By Bridget Bowman Two weeks out from Election Day, Senate Democrats’ top super PAC is launching a new ad campaign in the Mississippi Senate race, the latest example of the party seeking to make inroads in traditionally Republican states in the fight for the majority.

参议院多数派政治行动委员会宣布,将在11月3日前在该州投入120万美元开展广告活动,首先推出一段30秒的广告,宣传检察官Scott Colom 是一名将“打击两党腐败”的民主党人,并将共和党参议员Cindy Hyde-Smith 描绘为“无所作为”的现任议员。

Senate Majority PAC announced a $1.2 million ad campaign in the state through Nov. 3, beginning with a 30-second spot that boosts prosecutor Scott Colom as a Democrat who will “fight corruption in both parties” and casts GOP Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith as a “do-nothing” incumbent.

“参议院多数派政治行动委员会一直在密切关注这场竞选,显然Colom 正在进行一场有竞争力的竞选,让Hyde-Smith 陷入被动,”该超级政治行动委员会发言人Lauren French 在一份声明中表示,并指出该组织将在电视和数字平台投放广告。

“Senate Majority PAC has been watching this race closely, and it is clear Colom is running a competitive race that has put Hyde-Smith on her heels,” Lauren French, the super PAC’s spokesperson, said in a statement, also noting that the group will be advertising on TV and digital platforms.

该组织与参议院少数党领袖、纽约州民主党参议员Chuck Schumer 关系密切,在唐纳德·特朗普总统支持率下滑的背景下,一直在将重点转向深红州。民主党需要净增四个席位才能赢得参议院控制权,这意味着必须在特朗普2024年大胜的多个州实现翻盘。

The group, which is aligned with Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer, D-N.Y., has been shifting its focus to deep-red states amid President Donald Trump’s sinking approval ratings. Democrats need a net gain of four seats to win control of the Senate, which means flipping multiple states Trump won handily in 2024.

密西西比州是该超级政治行动委员会迄今介入的最红的州——两年前特朗普以23个百分点的优势赢下该州。自1982年以来,民主党在密西西比州再未赢得过参议院竞选。

Mississippi is the reddest state the super PAC has jumped into so far — Trump won it by 23 points two years ago. A Democrat has not won a Senate race in Mississippi since 1982.

参议院多数派政治行动委员会还在堪萨斯州投入资金,特朗普曾以16个百分点的优势赢下该州,以及特朗普2024年以两位数优势拿下的其他州,包括阿拉斯加、爱荷华、俄亥俄和得克萨斯。

Senate Majority PAC is also spending in Kansas, which Trump won by 16 points, as well as other states the president carried by double digits in 2024, including Alaska, Iowa, Ohio and Texas.

该组织的共和党对应机构——参议院领导基金,也在这些州投放广告,密西西比州除外。

The group’s GOP counterpart, Senate Leadership Fund, is also airing ads in those states, with the exception of Mississippi.

此外,SLF(某机构或组织)还向南卡罗来纳州投入资金,以支持共和党参议员达琳·格雷厄姆(Darline Graham)争取连任;同时也在内华达州提供支持——那里的共和党参议员皮特·里克茨(Pete Ricketts)正面临来自独立候选人丹·奥斯本(Dan Osborn)的挑战。

In addition, SLF has poured money into South Carolina to shore up GOP Sen. Darline Graham as she seeks a full term in office, and into Nebraska, where Republican Sen. Pete Ricketts faces a challenge from independent Dan Osborn.→ Battleground state voters weigh who should oversee their elections By Jane C. Timm Voters in a handful of swing states will decide next month who will hold critical election oversight power during the next presidential contest.

“战场州”的选民将决定谁将负责监督选举简·C·蒂姆(Jane C. Timm)报道:下个月,一些关键“战场州”的选民将决定谁将在下届总统选举中掌握选举监督的权力。亚利桑那州、乔治亚州、密歇根州和内华达州都是近年来全国性选举中的重要战场;这些州的州务卿职位正在竞选中。虽然这一职位过去并不受重视,但在唐纳德·特朗普及其盟友不断散布无根据的选举舞弊言论的背景下,其重要性显著提升。

Arizona, Georgia, Michigan and Nevada — which have all been critical battlegrounds in recent national elections — have secretary of state races on the ballot. A role that was once under the radar, these offices have become much more high profile amid a constant drumbeat of unfounded election fraud claims from President Donald Trump and his allies.

特别是在特朗普试图推翻2020年选举结果之后,2022年的州务卿选举受到了全国范围内的广泛关注。根据AdImpact的数据,在那次选举周期中,民主党在全国范围内为州务卿选举花费了超过7100万美元用于竞选广告,而共和党则花费了近1500万美元。

Secretary of state races in 2022 in particular received outsize national attention in the wake of Trump’s efforts to overturn the 2020 results. In that election cycle, Democrats spent more than $71 million on campaign ads for secretary of state races across the country, while Republicans spent nearly $15 million, according to data from AdImpact.

2022年的竞选情况今年,26个州务卿职位的竞选支出有所下降:民主党阵营和外部组织共花费了1660万美元用于广告宣传,而共和党仅花费了500多万美元。不过,焦点依然集中在那些选情胶着的“战场州”——这些州预计将在2028年的总统选举中发挥关键作用。在亚利桑那州和内华达州,现任民主党州务卿正与宣扬选举阴谋论的极右翼共和党候选人竞争;而在乔治亚州和密歇根州,共和党候选人则试图塑造自己为温和派形象以赢得选民信任,但民主党则指责他们是特朗普的盟友,会破坏人们对选举制度的信心。

This year, spending is down across the 26 secretary of state races on the ballot: Democratic campaigns and outside groups have spent $16.6 million on ads, compared to more than $5 million by the Republicans. But the emphasis is once again on the narrowly divided swing states that are expected to be at the center of the 2028 presidential map. In Arizona and Nevada, two Democratic incumbents are running against far-right Republicans who have pushed election conspiracy theories. Meanwhile, open-seat contests in Georgia and Michigan have drawn Republicans who are casting themselves as moderates looking to increase trust, while Democrats paint them as Trump allies who will undermine confidence in elections.

肯塔基州前州务卿特雷·格雷森(Trey Grayson)是共和党人,他说,竞选成为各州最高选举官员的共和党候选人面临着艰难的平衡:他们必须迎合特朗普的狂热支持者,这些人相信存在大规模舞弊,同时又不能疏远独立选民。“你们知道发生了什么;你们知道你们所在州以及全国范围内存在哪些保障措施。在摇摆州,这几乎就像你们必须全力以赴”宣扬选举否认论,他说。“但这样做,你们会让自己在秋季大选中很难获胜,甚至不可能获胜。”→ 来自政治新闻部的报道暂时就这些。

Former Kentucky Secretary of State Trey Grayson, a Republican, said GOP candidates vying to be their states’ top election officials face a difficult balance: They must appeal to Trump’s ardent supporters, who believe there is widespread fraud, without alienating independents. “You know what happened; you know what safeguards exist in your state and across the country. In the battlegrounds, it’s almost like you have to go full throttle” on election denialism, he said. “But then in doing so, you make it very hard, if not impossible, to win it in the fall.”→ That’s all From the Politics Desk for now.

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