
共和党为守住参议院多数席位而努力,对能否保住密西西比州这一深南部共和党大本营的席位日益感到焦虑,并在最后几周投入资金以巩固现任参议员辛迪·海德-史密斯的地位。
Republicans working to keep the Senate are increasingly anxious about holding onto a seat in Mississippi — a GOP stronghold in the deep South — and are investing money in the final weeks to shore up incumbent Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith.
根据AdImpact的数据,专注于参议院竞选的主要共和党超级政治行动委员会“参议院领导基金”周四在密西西比州进行了约16万美元的初步广告预订,预计还会投入更多资金。
Senate Leadership Fund, the leading GOP super PAC focused on Senate races, made an initial reservation of about $160,000 in Mississippi on Thursday, according to AdImpact data, with more cash expected.
这一举措是在参议院民主党宣布将在该竞选中投入约100万美元广告费之后采取的——但据一位知情人士透露,共和党官员甚至在民主党购买广告之前就已在考虑此事。
That move comes as Senate Democrats’ announced they’ll spend roughly $1 million on ads for the race — but it’s something that GOP officials had been considering even before the Democratic buy, according to one person familiar with the discussions.
党内官员向CNN表示,他们不认为会在密西西比州失利,该州仅两年前就在总统大选中以23个百分点的优势支持唐纳德·特朗普。但共和党——在资金上相对于民主党拥有巨大优势——正密切关注43岁的地区检察官斯科特·科洛姆的崛起,后者获得了包括前总统巴拉克·奥巴马、前副总统卡玛拉·哈里斯和佐治亚州参议员拉斐尔·沃诺克在内的顶级民主党人的背书。哈里斯周四还与科洛姆一同造势。
Party officials have told CNN they do not believe they will lose in Mississippi, a state President Donald Trump won by 23 points just two years ago. But Republicans — who have a major cash advantage over Democrats — are closely watching the rise of Scott Colom, a 43-year-old district attorney who’s been backed by top Democrats, including former President Barack Obama, former Vice President Kamala Harris and Georgia Sen. Raphael Warnock. Harris campaigned with Colom Thursday.
不久前,参议院共和党团体采取这种举动简直是不可想象的。这反映出共和党在中期选举前面临的全国政治形势恶化,以及科洛姆利用海德-史密斯竞选表现参差不齐、产生了一些开始激发党内支持其长跑竞选的病毒式传播时刻的能力。海德-史密斯疲软的筹款能力和历史性的中期选举逆风进一步增加了压力。
Such a move by a Senate GOP group would have been unthinkable not long ago. It reflects the worsening national political landscape facing Republicans ahead of the midterms, as well as Colom’s ability to capitalize on Hyde-Smith’s uneven campaign performance with viral moments that have started to galvanize the party behind his long-shot bid. Hyde-Smith’s anemic fundraising and historic midterm headwinds have added to the pressure.
对于一个已经在深红州堪萨斯州和南卡罗来纳州捍卫现任议员、同时在得克萨斯州、俄亥俄州、爱荷华州和阿拉斯加州投入数亿美元苦战的政党来说,这是一个非同寻常的步骤。
And it’s an extraordinary step for a party that’s already defending incumbents in deep-red Kansas and South Carolina, while spending hundreds of millions battling in Texas, Ohio, Iowa and Alaska.
共和党人还指出,海德-史密斯自2018年被任命以来,历史上表现不如特朗普。(海德-史密斯在2020年首次赢得完整任期时以10个百分点获胜,而特朗普以超过16个百分点赢得该州。)从2026年初到9月底,密西西比州参议院选举的广告支出不足500万美元。但从10月初到选举日,广告支出将达到近800万美元,民主党目前以约500万美元对270万美元的支出超支共和党。
Republicans have also noted that Hyde-Smith has historically underperformed Trump after she was appointed in 2018. (Hyde-Smith won her first full term in 2020 by 10 points while Trump won the state by more than 16.) From the start of 2026 through the end of September, the Senate race in Mississippi saw less than $5 million in ad spending. But from the start of October through Election Day, it will see nearly $8 million, Democrats currently outspending Republicans by about $5 million to $2.7 million.
参议院共和党竞选负责人、南卡罗来纳州参议员蒂姆·斯科特多次表示,如果议员没有为艰难的选举周期做好充分准备,该党不会救助他们,这是根据多位知情人士透露的。他上个月还表示,他不打算在密西西比州或堪萨斯州投入资金,堪萨斯州参议员罗杰·马歇尔正试图抵挡民主党人亚当·汉密尔顿,这是其中一位知情人士透露的。
Senate Republicans’ campaign chief, Sen. Tim Scott of South Carolina, had repeatedly said that the party would not bail out incumbents if they did not adequately prepare for a tough cycle, according to multiple people familiar with the discussions. He said as recently as last month that he did not plan to put money in Mississippi or Kansas, where Sen. Roger Marshall is trying to hold off Democrat Adam Hamilton, according to one of those people.
但党内操盘手也承认,他们正面临二十年来最严峻的政治气候,可能需要考虑所有选项来遏制民主党在各州的势头。而且,在像密西西比州这样的农村州,民调结果不确定。
But party operatives also acknowledge they’re facing their worst political climate in two decades and may need to consider all options to halt the Democratic surge across the map. And polling is uncertain in a rural state like Mississippi.
海德-史密斯的竞选官员上周告诉CNN,她没有向党内申请更多资源。
Hyde-Smith’s campaign official told CNN last week she had not asked her party for more resources.
“我们相信海德-史密斯参议员将在11月3日获胜。密西西比州选民了解她的记录:为基础设施和农村医疗带回数十亿美元;确认保守派法官并阻止自由派法官;为劳动家庭和小企业减税;边境安全;以及让男性远离女子体育比赛和更衣室的投票,”海德-史密斯竞选经理杰克·蒙森在一份声明中表示。
“We are confident that Senator Hyde-Smith will win on November 3rd. Mississippians know her record: billions brought home for infrastructure and rural health care; conservative judges confirmed and liberal ones blocked; tax relief for working families and small businesses; a secure border; and votes that keep men out of girls’ sports and locker rooms,” Jake Monssen, Hyde-Smith’s campaign manager, said in a statement.

科洛姆多次向包括他自己所在党派的高层领导在内的各方人士强调:密西西比州正处在成为一个具有竞争力的州的临界点。他指出,该州的选民构成(非裔美国人占人口的38%)使其更接近于“战场州”乔治亚州的地位,比美国南部其他任何州都更为关键。“密西西比州将是下一个目标,这一点毫无疑问,”科洛姆说。
Colom has repeatedly made the case, including to top leaders of his own party, that Mississippi is on the cusp of becoming a competitive state, noting that its voter makeup – with Black Americans making up 38% of the population – is closer to the battleground state of Georgia than any other state in the Deep South. “Mississippi is next, there’s no doubt about that,” Colom said.
据多位知情人士透露,参议院中的四位非裔民主党议员(包括新泽西州的科里·布克参议员)最近几周一直在为科洛姆积极游说,并直接向党内高层呼吁为该州提供更多资源。
All four of the Senate’s Black Democrats – including Sen. Cory Booker of New Jersey – have campaigned for Colom in recent weeks – and have made a direct pitch to party insiders for more resources there, according to multiple people familiar with the conversations.
“他开展了一场强有力的竞选活动,重点是与选民直接沟通,了解他们对汽油和食品价格上涨的担忧。这就是他能够取得当前地位的原因,也是共和党人感到紧张的原因。他们终于意识到了我一开始就说过的话:密西西比州将成为下一个‘乔治亚州’。”特拉华州参议员丽莎·布兰特·罗切斯特在接受CNN采访时说道。
“He has run a strong campaign focused on reaching out directly to voters and speaking to their concerns about the rising costs of gas and groceries. That’s why he’s in the position he’s in, and that’s why Republicans are nervous. They’re finally realizing what I’ve said from the beginning: Mississippi is the next Georgia,” Delaware Sen. Lisa Blunt Rochester told CNN in a statement.
如今,共和党在全国范围内正面临严峻的挑战,尤其是在特朗普控制的地区;因此,他们决定向密西西比州投入资金。
The decision to pour money into Mississippi comes at a fraught time for the national Republican Party, which is increasingly on the defense in Trump territory.
据一位了解相关情况的人士透露,斯科特曾多次告诫其他共和党参议员:“要么带着恐惧去竞选,要么干脆毫无竞争地当选。”
Scott has cautioned his fellow senators on more than one occasion: “Run afraid or run unopposed,” according to a person familiar with the remarks.
与此同时,民主党高层原本并未计划向该州投入资金,因为他们正面临资金短缺的问题;党内官员此前曾向CNN表示,这种资金短缺状况使他们无法在该州展开更积极的竞选活动。不过本周情况发生了变化——他们为密西西比州预留了120万美元的竞选资金。
Top Democrats, meanwhile, had not planned to put money into the state, faced with a cash shortage that party officials have previously told CNN is preventing them from going into deeper red territory. But that changed this week with a $1.2 million reservation.
密西西比州已连续几个选举周期成为参议院少数党领袖查克·舒默及其竞选团队关注的焦点,据多位知情人士透露,他们视该州为民主党在深南部地区实现席位翻盘的最佳机会。民主党长期认为,如果能找到合适的候选人并动员黑人选民——这一群体传统上支持民主党——投票,该州就可能具备竞争力,并称这有助于克服民主党在该州长期面临的资源和基础设施匮乏问题。
Mississippi has been a seat of interest for several cycles now for Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer and his campaign team, who consider it Democrats’ best chance for a pickup in the deep South, according to multiple people familiar with the discussions. Democrats have long believed that the state could be competitive if they can find the right candidate and turn out Black voters – who traditionally vote Democratic – arguing that could allow them to overcome the historical lack of resources and infrastructure in the state for their party.
据一位知情人士透露,舒默亲自为科隆的竞选造势,今年早些时候在华盛顿特区为他举办筹款活动,并在最近的一次活动中对捐赠者表示:“密西西比州也需要关注。”
Schumer has personally promoted Colom’s campaign, holding a fundraiser for him in DC earlier this year and telling donors at one recent event that “Mississippi needs attention too,” according to a person familiar with the conversations.
民主党捐赠者对密西西比州的这场竞选表现出日益浓厚的兴趣,以助力科隆。民主党倾向的“美国桥梁”政治行动委员会(America Bridge PAC)最近宣布计划在该州投入210万美元。
Democratic donors have expressed growing interest in the Mississippi contest to boost Colom. America Bridge PAC, a Democratic-aligned group, recently announced plans to spend $2.1 million in the state.

许多此类活动都聚焦于动员选民投票,尤其是在黑人社区,这从一开始就是科隆竞选活动的重中之重。
Many of those events have focused on get-out-the-vote efforts, especially in Black communities, which have been a major focus of Colom’s campaign from the start.
科隆告诉CNN,在过去15年里,他是仅有的四位筹集到足够资金在全州投放电视广告的民主党人之一。
In 15 years, Colom told CNN he is one of only four Democrats who’s raised enough money to run statewide TV ads in the state.
从上个月开始,科隆及其团队驾驶一辆餐车巡访大学校园、公共住房项目、音乐节及其他当地聚集地,与选民见面、播放音乐并分发免费塔可。近日,科隆提供“自选蛋白”塔可——这是在讽刺海德-史密斯近期的一番言论,她称鉴于牛肉价格飙升,“有这么多蛋白质可供选择”。
Starting last month, Colom and his team have driven a food truck around college campuses, housing projects, musical festivals and other local gathering spots to meet voters, blast music and hand out free tacos. In recent days, Colom’s been serving “pick your protein” tacos – a jab at Hyde-Smith’s recent comment that there are “so many proteins to choose from” given soaring beef prices.
“我们现任的参议员不搞竞选活动。她六年没开过市民大会,”科隆告诉CNN。“谎言买不了汽油,谎言也买不了食品杂货。”
“Our current senator does not campaign. She hasn’t done a town hall in six years,” Colom told CNN. “You can’t pay for gas with lies. You can’t buy groceries with lies.”