参议院共和党人正在权衡三项六个月前还难以想象的最后时刻支出举措：向密西西比州注入资金，并向南卡罗来纳州和堪萨斯州投入更多资金。
Senate Republicans are weighing three last-ditch spending moves that would have been unimaginable six months ago: a cash infusion for Mississippi and even more money for South Carolina and Kansas.
为何重要：距堪萨斯州上次选举民主党参议员已有94年，密西西比州44年，南卡罗来纳州28年。但恐慌正在共和党内部蔓延。
Why it matters: It's been 94 years since Kansas elected a Democratic senator, 44 years for Mississippi and 28 for South Carolina. But panic is spreading through the Republican Party.
- “防线已被突破，敌人已进入堡垒，”一名全国共和党政治操盘手对《axios》表示。“我们现在正在进行白刃战。”
• "The wall has broken. The enemy is inside the fort," one national Republican political operative told Axios. "We are now fighting hand to hand."
- 参议院选举地图曾一度看起来对参议院多数党领袖约翰·桑恩（共和党-南达科他州）来说是铜墙铁壁，如今却充满漏洞。
• The Senate map, which once looked impregnable for Senate Majority Leader John Thune (R-S.D.), is now full of vulnerabilities.
- 根据共和党内部民调，民主党挑战者在十几个深红州的民调支持率与对手处于误差范围内。
• Democratic challengers are polling within the margin of error in more than half a dozen deep-red states, according to internal GOP polls. The other side:
另一方：“我们担心阿拉斯加。我们担心密歇根。但我们最终仍将保住参议院，”另一名操盘手表示。
"We're nervous about Alaska. We're nervous about Michigan. We're still going to hold the Senate at the end," said another operative.
聚焦：两周前，当参议院领导基金决定在南卡罗来纳州拿出500万美元作为“保险单”时，操盘手们仔细审视了爱达荷州、南达科他州和密西西比州。
Zoom in: Two weeks ago, when Senate Leadership Fund decided to take out a $5 million "insurance policy" in South Carolina, operatives took a hard look at Idaho, South Dakota and Mississippi.
- 当时，他们得出结论，在这些州无需投入资金，一位知情人士表示。
• At the time, they concluded they didn't need to spend any money in those states, according to a person familiar with the matter.
- 但参议院共和党人现在正在审视密西西比州的竞选，可能需要在那里投入资金，以保护参议员辛迪·海德-史密斯免受民主党地方检察官斯科特·科洛姆出人意料的激烈挑战。
• But Senate Republicans are now reviewing the Mississippi race and may need to spend there to protect Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith from a surprisingly competitive bid by Democratic district attorney Scott Colom.
- 参议院多数党政治行动委员会，即参议院民主党的主要超级政治行动委员会，周二宣布在该竞选中投入120万美元。
• Senate Majority PAC, the main super PAC for Senate Democrats, announced a $1.2 million investment in the race on Tuesday.
6月初，参议院领导基金开始加强中西部红墙以保护共和党多数席位，在俄亥俄州预留2800万美元电视广告费，在爱荷华州预留1100万美元。• 这些投资已膨胀至俄亥俄州9300万美元和爱荷华州5300万美元。
In early June, SLF started to reinforce a Midwestern red wall to protect the GOP majority, reserving $28 million in TV advertising in Ohio and $11 million in Iowa • Those investments have ballooned to $93 million in Ohio and $53 million in Iowa.
- 根据AdImpact的数据，在南卡罗来纳州最初投入500万美元后，SLF的支出已增至850万美元。与参议员约翰·巴拉索（共和党-怀俄明州）有关的一个超级政治行动委员体正在南卡罗来纳州再投入50万美元。
• After an initial $5 million buy in South Carolina, SLF's spending has increased to $8.5 million, according to AdImpact. And a super PAC linked to Sen. John Barrasso (R-Wyo.) is spending another $500,000 in South Carolina.
- SLF与参议院共和党领导层有关，已为堪萨斯州拨出1400万美元，迄今已在那里花费近1200万美元。
• SLF, which is linked to Senate GOP leadership, has earmarked $14 million for Kansas, and has spent nearly $12 million there so far.
- “本轮选举周期中，没有一个共和党席位是安全的，”另一位政治操盘手告诉Axios。
• "No Republican seat is safe this cycle," another operative told Axios.
我们听到的消息：一些共和党参议院候选人本轮选举周期中确实似乎很安全。
What we're hearing: Some GOP Senate candidates do, in fact, appear safe this cycle.
- 共和党人并不过分担心佛罗里达州参议员阿什莉·穆迪或南达科他州参议员迈克·朗兹。
• Republicans aren't overly concerned about Sens. Ashley Moody in Florida or Mike Rounds in South Dakota.
值得关注的细节：全国共和党参议员委员会上个月筹集了3140万美元，但其资金似乎已耗尽。该委员会在积极开展协调竞选策略的同时，借了2000万美元。
The intrigue: The National Republican Senatorial Committee raised $31.4 million last month, but its coffers appear to be drained. It took out a $20 million loan as it spends aggressively on its coordinated campaign strategy.
- 根据其向联邦选举委员会提交的文件，SLF在9月底时手头现金为1.55亿美元。
• SLF ended September with $155 million in cash on hand, according to its FEC filing.
- 根据AdImpact的数据，该组织自10月1日以来已花费或预订了价值1.69亿美元的视频广告。
• The group has spent or reserved $169 million worth of video ads since Oct. 1, according to AdImpact.
- 即使特朗普总统在周二的Truth Social帖子中承诺在选举日前再投入1亿美元，使其超级政治行动委员体的总投入达到4亿美元。
• Even President Trump promised to unload another $100 million before Election Day in a Tuesday post on Truth Social, bringing the total from his super PACs to $400 million. The bottom line:
结论：共和党人仍可维持参议院多数党地位，但民调并未给他们太多信心，认为他们能够做到。
Republicans can still maintain their Senate majority, but none of the polling is giving them a great deal of confidence that they will do so.