“马萨达综合征”重返以色列。这一综合征得名于犹大沙漠一处岬角上的堡垒，其力度将决定本雅明·内塔尼亚胡在10月27日大选中的命运。继2023年10月7日哈马斯实施大屠杀造成创伤之后，以色列总理逃避了对这场安全失误的问责。他将一切押注于这种“被围困堡垒综合征”——马萨达曾是古代犹太人最后一次起义的葬身之地——以及它所暗示的以色列边缘地带永久战争状态。
The Masada syndrome, named after the fortress perched on a promontory in the Judean Desert, has returned to Israel. The strength of this syndrome will determine Benjamin Netanyahu's fate in the elections on October 27. Following the trauma of the massacres of October 7, 2023, perpetrated by Hamas, the Israeli prime minister avoided being held accountable for this security failure. He staked everything on this besieged fortress syndrome – Masada having been the tomb of the last Jewish revolt in Antiquity – and on the state of permanent war that it implies on Israel's periphery.
在对近东和中东的这一愿景中，以色列对其好战行径在很大程度上导致的空前孤立不负任何责任。关于被占约旦河西岸正在进行的种族清洗的影像资料，在占领军的默许支持下由一种恐怖主义形式推行，仅仅被予以否认。
In this vision of the Near and Middle East, Israel bears no responsibility for the unprecedented isolation that its belligerence has nevertheless largely brought about. Footage of the ongoing ethnic cleansing in the occupied West Bank, supported by a form of terrorism tacitly accepted by the occupying army, is simply denied.
欧洲国家是否已开始采取初步制裁，以抗议针对约旦河西岸巴勒斯坦人的暴力行为？“西欧允许一批喧嚣的穆斯林少数群体移民，这正迫使政府屈从于其意志，”以色列总理于2025年12月断言道。这是一个更方便的解释。
Have European countries begun to adopt initial sanctions to protest the violence inflicted on Palestinians in the West Bank? "Western Europe allowed the immigration of a vocal Muslim minority, and this is bending governments to its will," asserted the Israeli prime minister in December 2025. That is a more convenient explanation.
10月18日，在提出一项主要旨在获取选举利益、概括这种心态的安全战略时，内塔尼亚胡还将特朗普卸任后的美国列入名单，警告称“两年内，一位极度敌视以色列的总统可能上台。”乔·拜登的盲目锡安主义确已成为过去，现任美国总统于10月19日重申的支持，其分量仅取决于他的支持率。
On October 18, while presenting a security strategy aimed primarily at electoral gain that encapsulates this state of mind, Netanyahu also added the post-Trump United States to the list, warning that "in two years, a president who is extremely hostile to Israel could come to power." The blind Zionism of Joe Biden is indeed a thing of the past, and the support of the current US president, reiterated on October 19, matters only as much as his approval ratings.
这种关于与美国可能出现裂痕的分析在以色列部分安全圈子中也有共鸣，但根据战略研究基金会研究员洛尔·富谢的说法，这建立在与对待欧洲人时相同的“诊断错误”之上。正如她在10月发表的一篇文章中详述的那样，这种特殊关系面临的潜在挑战完全被归因于美国内部政治动态，从未归因于以色列做出的选择。错永远在别人身上。
This analysis of a possible rift with the US is shared in some Israeli security circles, but according to Laure Foucher, a researcher at the Foundation for Strategic Research, it is based on the same "diagnostic error" as the one made with Europeans. As detailed in a text she published in October, the potential challenge to this special relationship is explained solely by internal American political dynamics, never by choices made by Israel. It is always someone else's fault.