
这是一张2026年7月的资料照片,当时特朗普总统在白宫椭圆形办公室展示他签署的一项行政命令。
In this file photo from July 2026, President Trump shows off an executive order he signed in the Oval Office of the White House.
安德鲁·哈尼克/盖蒂图片社 根据最新的“Strength In Numbers/Verasight”民调(该民调与NPR共享),选民对共和党处理其核心议题(如移民和物价上涨)能力的信任度降至历史新低。
Andrew Harnik/Getty Images Voters have record low trust in Republicans' ability to handle their top issues like immigration and rising prices, according to the latest Strength In Numbers/Verasight poll shared with NPR.
民调还发现,绝大多数选民希望下届国会推翻特朗普总统的议程——或对其权力进行制衡——涉及关税与贸易、医疗保健和移民等政策。
poll also finds a strong majority of voters want the next Congress to undo President Trump's agenda — or act as a check on his power — on policies like tariffs and trade, health care and immigration.
距离选举日不足两周,在已登记选民中,倾向于选民主党人进入国会的比例以两位数优势领先共和党人(52% 对 41%);在可能投票者中也是如此(54% 对 42%)。
Less than two weeks out from Election Day, voters say they'd prefer to elect a Democrat to Congress over a Republican by a double-digit margin among registered voters (52% to 41%) and likely voters (54% to 42%).
这项对2028名受访者的调查于10月13日至19日进行,抽样误差为正负2.2个百分点,意味着结果可能高出或低约2.2个百分点。
The survey of 2,028 respondents was conducted Oct. 13-19 and has a margin of sampling error of 2.2 percentage points, meaning results could be about 2.2 points higher or lower.
特朗普的工作支持率处于其第二任期近历史最低点,仅34%表示赞同,62%表示不赞同,其中50%强烈不赞同。
Trump's job approval sits at near-record lows for his second term, with just 34% approving of his performance and 62% disapproving, with 50% strongly disapproving.
“Strength In Numbers”通讯作者、民调公司Wave Polling and Research首席执行官G·埃利奥特·莫里斯表示,最新民调解释了共和党当前面临的政治版图挑战。
G. Elliott Morris, author of the Strength In Numbers newsletter and CEO of polling company Wave Polling and Research, said the latest poll explains the current challenges with the political landscape Republicans face.
莫里斯表示:“在我们自2025年5月以来追踪的10个议题中,特朗普在其中7个议题上的支持率跌至新低,涵盖就业、贸易、移民和边境安全等,他在我们询问的每个议题上现在都是居多。总统的政策甚至损害了共和党,选民现在更倾向于表示信任民主党来处理移民和经济问题。”
"Trump's ratings hit new lows on seven of the 10 issues we've tracked since May 2025, from jobs and trade to immigration and border security, and he's now underwater on every issue we ask about," Morris said. "The president's policies have even harmed Republicans, with voters now more likely to say they trust Democrats to handle the issues of immigration and the economy."
在成年受访者中,物价和通胀被共同提及为当前国家面临的最重要问题,遥遥领先,63%的受访者将其列为前三大最重要问题之一,39%将其列为首位。其他主要问题包括就业和经济、医疗保健、选举与民主以及移民。
Among adults, prices and inflation are collectively mentioned far and away as the most important problem facing the country today, with 63% of respondents saying it was one of their top three most important problems and 39% listing it first. Other top issues include jobs and the economy, health care, elections and democracy and immigration.
综合来看,选民的这种情绪解释了为何民主党和共和党在众议院和参议院竞选中大举投入,竞选版图深入到特朗普在2024年表现良好的保守派腹地。
Taken all together, the sentiment of the electorate explains why Democrats and Republicans are spending big in House and Senate races stretching deep into conservative territory where Trump performed well in 2024.
美国选民对特朗普和共和党感到失望 选民在2024年大选中选择让共和党掌控白宫和国会,其中至少一些人表示后悔自己的选择。根据民调,近十分之一自称参加了2024年总统大选投票的人后悔自己的选择,其中包括近15%的自称特朗普选民和15%投给第三方候选人的人。
Americans have soured on Trump and Republicans Voters chose to give Republicans control of the White House and Congress in the 2024 election, and at least some of them say they regret their choice. According to the poll, nearly one in 10 people who said they voted in the 2024 presidential race regret their choice, including almost 15% of self-described Trump voters and 15% who backed a third-party candidate.
2025年5月,“Strength in Numbers/Verasight”民调发现,选民在移民和驱逐问题上信任共和党多于民主党,平均领先15个百分点。现在,他们信任民主党,优势仅为微弱的1个百分点。
In May 2025, the Strength in Numbers/Verasight poll found voters trusted Republicans more than Democrats on immigration and deportations by an average of 15 points. Now, they trust Democrats by a narrow one point margin.
在民调追踪的每一项指标中,共和党在过去一年半里都失去了支持,仅在犯罪与公共安全问题以及边境安全问题上保持微弱优势。
In every measure that the poll has tracked, Republicans have lost ground in the last year and a half, and only hold a slim advantage on crime and public safety issues and border security.
当被问及信任哪个党派处理自己最关心的问题时,民主党以47比35领先,较2025年5月跃升近10个百分点,为测得的最大差距。2026年中期选举是一场公投许多民调,包括9月的NPR/PBS News/Marist联合民调,发现2026年中期选举的选择最好被视为与特朗普的关系,而非单纯是对民主党或共和党候选人的二元支持投票。
When asked which party voters trust to handle their personal top issue, Democrats hold a 47-35 advantage, a nearly 10-point jump since May 2025 and the widest gap measured. The midterms are a referendum Many polls, including the September NPR/PBS News/Marist survey, find that the 2026 midterm choices are best viewed in relation to Trump rather than a pure binary vote of support for the Democratic or Republican candidates.
只有25%的受访者表示,选出一个帮助特朗普推进其议程的国会更为重要,相比之下,58%的人表示,关键在于选出一个对特朗普实施制衡的国会。
Only 25% of respondents said it was more important to elect a Congress that will help Trump pass his agenda, compared to 58% who said it was about electing a Congress to act as a check and balance on Trump.
五分之二的受访选民表示,他们的决定主要将是对特朗普及其议程的反对声明,而只有五分之一的人表示将是支持声明。对于20%的受访选民而言,他们的选择将关乎其选区的具体议题和候选人。
Two of every five voters surveyed said their decision would mostly be a statement against Trump and his agenda, compared to one in five who said it would be a statement of support. For 20% of voters surveyed, their choice would be about specific issues and candidates in their district.
在关税与贸易、医疗保健、外交政策、选举与投票、政府开支与社会项目、移民与驱逐以及人工智能等议题上,多数受访者希望国会推回或制衡特朗普的立场。
On the issues of tariffs and trade, health care, foreign policy, elections and voting, government spending and social programs, immigration and deportations and artificial intelligence, a majority of those surveyed want a Congress to roll back or act as a check on Trump's stances.
更多选民认为民主党比共和党更关心像他们这样的人,而20%的人表示两党都不关心。
More voters think the Democratic Party cares more about people like them than Republicans, and 20% say neither party does. 2026 midterms