
美国和以色列已制定计划,拟在美中期选举后重启对伊朗打击,目标可能涵盖能源设施、核设施以及导弹和无人机武器。
Julian E. Barnes, Eric Schmitt, Farnaz Fassihi, Natan Odenheimer and Ronen Bergman US and Israel have drawn up plans for renewed strikes on Iran after the American elections, with targets likely to include energy sites, nuclear facilities, and missile and drone weapons.
两国军方正在为一场短促、高强度的行动进行训练,与此同时,美国外交官利用战争威胁,在伊朗核计划和霍尔木兹海峡问题上向伊朗施压。
The two militaries are already training for a short, intense operation, while US diplomats use the threat of war to push Iran on its nuclear programme and Strait of Hormuz demands.
该计划面临重大风险:伊朗誓言将进行更广泛的报复,早前的打击推高了全球物价并紧绷了防务体系,而以色列国内政治可能阻挠或推迟任何攻击行动。
The plan faces major risks: Iran has vowed wider retaliation, the earlier strikes raised global prices and strained defences, and Israeli politics could block or delay any attack.
AI生成 华盛顿——据美国官员和其他知情人士透露,美以两国军方已制定具体计划,拟在美中期选举后重启对伊朗的打击。
AI generated WASHINGTON – The US and Israeli militaries have developed specific plans for renewed strikes against Iran after the American midterm elections, according to US officials and other people briefed on the deliberations.
随着一场短促但高强度行动的筹备推进,美以两国军方已加紧演练,派飞机飞越伊拉克练习打击机动。
As planning for a short but intensive operation progresses, the US and Israeli militaries have stepped up exercises, flying planes over Iraq to practise strike manoeuvres.
美国官员称,美国国防部长皮特·赫格塞斯于10月初在以色列会见以色列总理本雅明·内塔尼亚胡,讨论新一轮打击事宜。
US Defence Secretary Pete Hegseth met with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu in Israel earlier in October to discuss new strikes, US officials said.
打击目标可能包括伊朗的能源基础设施、核设施,以及导弹和无人机武库。
The targets would likely include Iran’s energy infrastructure, nuclear facilities, and missile and drone arsenal.
一些官员表示,再来一轮大规模攻击可能将伊朗经济推向崩溃边缘,迫使该国在近八个月冲突后做出外交让步。
Some officials say one more big round of attacks could push Iran’s economy over the brink and force the country to make diplomatic concessions after nearly eight months of conflict.
尽管如此,仍有理由怀疑重燃战火不会比今年2月至4月间美以首轮高强度打击更成功。
Still, there are reasons to be sceptical that a renewed war would be any more successful than the first phase of intense US-Israeli strikes between February and April.
那些轮次战斗推高了全球能源价格和通胀,削弱了中东安全,并严重耗尽了美国国防部的导弹拦截弹库存。
Those rounds of fighting drove up energy prices and inflation around the world, eroded security in the Middle East and severely strained the Pentagon’s supply of missile interceptors.
美国总统唐纳德·特朗普是否会批准新一轮打击也远未定论。他在2026年已多次否决重返大规模战斗行动的计划。接受本文采访的所有官员均要求匿名。
It is also far from certain US President Donald Trump will approve fresh strikes. He has repeatedly vetoed plans in 2026 for a return to major combat operations. All of the officials interviewed for this story spoke on condition of anonymity.
伊朗官员承诺,此次将通过将打击目标扩大至该地区的数据中心和海底互联网电缆,而不再局限于商船和能源基础设施,进行报复。他们表示,战斗将既不迅速也不局限。
Iranian officials have promised to retaliate this time by expanding their targets beyond commercial ships and energy infrastructure in the region to data centres and underwater internet cables. They say the fighting will be neither quick nor limited.
随着美国集结大规模军火库,并将于11月初前全部部署到位,外交努力仍在继续,美国谈判代表利用可能重返战争的前景作为筹码,在伊朗核计划及其对霍尔木兹海峡的控制权问题上向伊朗施压,以推动谈判取得进展。
While the United States is assembling a massive arsenal that will be fully in place by early November, diplomatic efforts have continued, as US negotiators use the potential return to war as leverage with Iran to make progress on their demands on its nuclear programme and control over the Strait of Hormuz.
然而到目前为止,伊朗谈判代表一直不愿在核计划问题上做出让步,坚持将该问题推迟到谈判后期再讨论。
So far, however, Iran’s negotiators have been unwilling to make concessions on the nuclear programme, insisting on deferring that issue until later in the talks.
以色列10月27日的大选可能会使计划复杂化。专家表示,如果内塔尼亚胡落选,他将成为看守总理,届时将难以发动战争。
Israel’s election on Oct 27 could complicate the plans. If Netanyahu loses, he will become a caretaker prime minister, and it will be difficult for him to launch a war, experts say.
但一些分析人士认为,内塔尼亚胡可能利用美以即将发动联合打击的前景,施压其政敌加入团结政府以应对战争,从而延长其执政时间。纽约时报 本文最初刊登于《纽约时报》。
But some analysts believe that Netanyahu could leverage the prospect of an imminent joint US-Israel strike to pressure his rivals into joining a unity government to manage the war, which would extend his hold on power. NYTIMES This article originally appeared in The New York Times.