
中东局势动荡,燃气和房贷成本攀升,家庭压力增大 专家称选举后特朗普可能采取强硬措施,也可能走向完全相反的方向 美元持续走强,与现任政府期望背道而驰,而中东紧张局势导致能源成本上升,为总统唐纳德·特朗普在11月3日中期选举前的声望带来额外挑战。
Pressure rises on households with mounting gas, mortgage costs, amid Middle East disruptions Post-elections Trump could either be aggressive or move in the exact opposite direction, says expert The US dollar has remained persistently strong, moving in the exact opposite direction of what the current administration wanted, while rising energy costs due to the Middle East tensions pose an additional challenge for President Donald Trump's standing ahead of the Nov. 3 midterm elections.
美国家庭在特朗普第二任期头两年,面临支出上升、长期借款成本增加、能源价格飙升、住房开支攀升以及利率高企,压力巨大。
American households are under a lot of pressure amid rising spending and long-term borrowing costs, surging energy prices, mounting housing expenses, and interest rates during the first two years of Trump’s second term.
由于中东冲突威胁能源供应并助推通胀,美元升至2025年4月以来最高,触及102.9,随后稳定在101.5上方。
The US dollar rose to its highest since April 2025, reaching 102.9 due to the conflict in the Middle East threatening energy supplies and fueling inflation, before stabilizing just above 101.5.
美元指数衡量美元兑欧元、瑞士法郎、日元、加元、英镑和瑞典克朗的汇率,较去年底飙升3.3%。
The US dollar index, measuring the greenback against the euro, Swiss franc, Japanese yen, Canadian dollar, British pound, and Swedish krona, surged 3.3% compared to the end of last year.
期货和商品市场分析师扎费尔·埃尔格曾向安纳多卢通讯社表示,随着美元走强,美国产品失去竞争优势。
Zafer Ergezen, a futures and commodity markets analyst, told Anadolu that US products lose their competitive edge as the dollar strengthens.
埃尔格曾说,特朗普去年和今年都希望降低利率。他反复批评前联邦储备委员会主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔,尽管经济数据并不支持降息。
Ergezen said Trump had wanted lower interest rates throughout last year and this year. He repeatedly criticized former Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, even as economic data did not support rate cuts.
特朗普希望美元贬值、流动性增加,以便将联邦政府的经常账户赤字降至更合理的水平,使经济未来有可能实现贸易顺差。总统还批评某些国家(尤其是中国)的进口上升。
Trump wants the US dollar to depreciate and liquidity to rise so that the federal government’s current account deficit can be reduced to a more reasonable level for the economy to potentially run a trade surplus in the future. The president also criticized rising imports from certain countries, especially China.
“美元走强,利率上升,通胀加速,正值中期选举前夕——这并非特朗普所愿,因为抵押贷款成本也在上升,许多产品变得更贵,这一点在汽油价格上体现得最为明显,”他说。
“The dollar is gaining, interest rates are rising, and inflation is accelerating ahead of the midterm elections — this is not something Trump wants, because mortgage costs are also rising, and many products are becoming more expensive, which is seen most clearly in gas prices,” he said.
“我认为,选举后美/以-伊朗战争将出现一些非常严重的事态发展,因为视选举结果而定,各方可能达成持久协议,也可能将战争升级到一个完全不同的层面——选举后的后续步骤可能促使特朗普采取强硬立场,也可能朝着与他一直在推行的政策截然相反的方向发展,”他补充道。
“I think there will be some very serious developments in the US/Israel-Iran war after the elections, as depending on the results, a lasting deal between the parties may be reached or the war could be escalated to a whole another level — the subsequent steps post-elections could prompt Trump to be either aggressive or move in the exact opposite direction of the policies he had been implementing,” he added.