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彭博社

乌干达先令在大幅加息后跌至历史新低Uganda’s Shilling Sinks to Record Low Days After Jumbo Rate Hike

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在央行大幅加息以及抛售美元以稳定货币波动之后,乌干达先令失去了所有涨幅,再度跌至历史新低。

Uganda’s shilling has erased all its gains and plunged to a record low days after a jumbo central bank rate hike and dollar sales to smoothen out currency volatility.

根据彭博社的数据,截至坎帕拉时间下午1:29,乌干达先令对美元的汇率已跌至4,295先令/美元,创下七个月以来的最低水平。这是非洲表现最差的货币,今年至今已贬值近16%。乌干达央行发言人未立即回应有关是否再次抛售美元的提问。

The local currency weakened over 2.5% to trade at 4,295 shillings per dollar by 1:29 p.m. in Kampala, the most in seven months, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. It’s Africa’s worst-performing currency and has weakened nearly 16% so far this year.

财政部长拉马坦·戈比在周三的电视节目中表示,乌干达的经济基本面良好,先令贬值是由“我们无法控制的因素”造成的。

A Bank of Uganda spokesman didn’t immediately respond to a request for comment on whether the central bank conducted a fresh round of dollar sales.

他提到中东冲突导致布伦特原油价格升至每桶100美元以上,对东非国家的经济造成了压力。

Secretary to the Treasury Ramathan Ggoobi maintained that Uganda’s economic fundamentals are in a good place and that the shilling’s depreciation is caused by factors “beyond our control” in a Wednesday appearance on a local television station.

周四布伦特原油价格飙升,大多数前沿市场和新兴市场货币也面临新的压力。

He cited the Middle-East conflict, which has raised Brent Crude prices above $100 per barrel, as weighing on the East African nation’s economy. Most frontier and emerging market currencies were under renewed pressure Thursday as Brent prices surged. Oil rose over 3% to $112.26 per barrel.

尽管如此,市场参与者认为乌干达央行可能已在周四再次干预外汇市场,以减缓先令的贬值速度。据估计,此前央行抛售美元的规模约为3000万美元。

Still, market participants said the Ugandan central bank may have intervened again in the currency markets on Thursday to slow the pace of the shilling’s depreciation. Previous dollar sales are estimated at around $30 million.

总部位于坎帕拉的Alpha Capital Partners董事总经理斯蒂芬·卡博约表示:‘市场出现了短暂反弹,但压力仍在累积。’

“There was a knee-jerk response, the shilling went into minimal recovery, but pressures are building up again,” said Stephen Kaboyo, managing director of Alpha Capital Partners, based in Kampala, the capital. “Given BoU’s cautious and sparing approach on using reserves, today’s action will not override the long-term fundamentals affecting the value of the shilling.”

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