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土耳其、巴基斯坦、印度尼西亚、卡塔尔联手补充麦加联盟Turkey, Pakistan, Indonesia, Qatar team up to complement Mecca alliance

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土耳其制造商阿塞尔桑的“钢穹”多层一体化防空反导系统,以及近程防空系统“科尔库特”,于今年5月在伊斯坦布尔举行的一场贸易展上展出。© 路透社Turkish manufacturer Aselsan's Steel Dome, a multilayered integrated air and missile defense system, and Korkut, a very short range air defense system on display at a trade show in Istanbul in May. © Reuters

伊斯兰堡/伊斯坦布尔 -- 随着中东地缘政治紧张局势升级,土耳其、巴基斯坦、印度尼西亚和卡塔尔本周签署了一项防务协议,扩大了涉及沙特阿拉伯的“麦加联盟”的能力。

ISLAMABAD/ISTANBUL -- Turkey, Pakistan, Indonesia and Qatar signed a defense agreement this week that expands the capabilities of the Mecca alliance involving Saudi Arabia, as geopolitical tensions rise in the Middle East.

专家表示,这四国于周三在多哈签署的“白德尔协定”,旨在提供资金和军事技术,以补充由土耳其、巴基斯坦和沙特阿拉伯组成的“麦加联盟”。

The Badr pact signed among the four countries in Doha on Wednesday aims to provide the funding and military technologies to complement the Mecca alliance that comprises Turkey, Pakistan and Saudi Arabia, experts said.

澳大利亚迪肯大学荣誉研究员扎希德·沙哈布表示,中小国家难以应对其安全担忧,认为与盟友合作是前进的道路。这些国家还旨在摆脱对美国支持和武器的完全依赖,特别是考虑到唐纳德·特朗普总统政府的不可预测性。

Middle and small powers are struggling to address their security concerns and see cooperation with allies as the way forward, said Zahid Shahab, an honorary fellow at Deakin University in Australia. These countries are also aiming to move away from a complete reliance on the U.S. for support and weapons, particularly given the unpredictability of the administration of President Donald Trump.

沙哈布说:“这些国家‘不仅在重审其现有的安全同盟和双边伙伴关系,还在探索新的同盟关系。’‘白德尔协定’需要从这一视角来看待。”

The countries "are not only revisiting their existing security alliances and bilateral partnerships but also exploring new ones," Shahab said. "The [Badr agreement] needs to be viewed from that perspective."

伊斯兰堡智库萨诺伯研究所执行主任卡马尔·奇马对《日经亚洲》表示:“如果我们透过巴基斯坦、土耳其和沙特阿拉伯的视角来看,‘麦加协定’关乎防务,而‘白德尔协定’则关乎为‘麦加协定’提供技术和工业支持。”对沙特阿拉伯而言,这种需求尤为迫切。本周,伊朗支持的胡塞武装持续袭击该王国,攻击了利雅得国际国际机场和国有石油生产商沙特阿美,导致航班、会议和能源运输取消。

Qamar Cheema, executive director of the Sanober Institute, an Islamabad-based think tank, told Nikkei Asia that "the Mecca pact is about defense, while the Badr pact is about providing technological and industrial support to the Mecca pact, if we look at it through the lens of Pakistan, Turkey, and Saudi Arabia." For Saudi Arabia, the need is acute. Iran-backed Houthis continued their assault on the kingdom this week, attacking Riyadh's international airport and state-controlled oil producer Saudi Aramco, resulting in the cancellation of flights, conventions and energy shipments.

8月签署的《麦加协定》中的一项条款要求,如果任何成员国遭到攻击,各方采取集体防御行动,这很像北约第五条。为此,北约成员国土耳其正在寻求议会批准,向沙特阿拉伯部署军事装备和部队,以抵御胡塞武装的袭击。

A clause in the Mecca agreement, signed in August, requires collective defensive action if any member is attacked, much like NATO's Article 5. To this end, NATO member Turkey is in the process of seeking parliamentary approval to deploy military equipment and forces to Saudi Arabia to defend against Houthi strikes.

一位熟悉“巴德尔协议”内容的土耳其消息人士表示,四国均将参与国防装备生产并贡献研究力量。在资金方面,多位分析师指出,卡塔尔可能成为支持军工生产的首选合作伙伴,以换取更快获得土耳其研发的武器装备。

A Turkish source familiar with the content of the Badr agreement said all four countries will be involved in defense equipment production and will contribute research. In terms of funding, several analysts pointed to Qatar as possibly the go-to partner to back arms production, in exchange for quicker access to weaponry developed by Turkey.

伦敦皇家联合军种研究所高级研究员、中东、北非和土耳其项目负责人布尔库·厄兹切利克表示:“土耳其很可能满足卡塔尔一些最迫切的国防需求,这些需求在美伊冲突中暴露无遗,包括提供并最终可能联合生产低空防空系统和反无人机技术。”

"It is likely that Turkey could meet some of Qatar's most pressing defense requirements, as exposed during the U.S.-Iran conflict, including the provision and possible eventual joint production of low-altitude air defense systems and counter-drone technologies," said Burcu Ozcelik, senior research fellow and head of the Middle East, North Africa and Turkey Program at the Royal United Services Institute think tank in London.

她指出,美国被认为在补充部分储备方面较为缓慢,但也强调,区域性合同的总价值并不等同于卡塔尔与美国签署的国防采购协议的价值。

She said the U.S. is seen to be slower in replenishing some stockpiles, but also pointed out that regional contracts do not add up to the value of Qatar's defense procurement deal with the U.S.

尽管如此,中东全球事务委员会高级非常驻研究员、卡塔尔大学伊本·赫勒敦中心助理教授阿里·巴基尔表示,“巴德尔协议”解决了“西方产出在满足防御拦截弹日益增长的需求方面存在的局限性”。

Nonetheless, the Badr pact "addresses the limitations of Western outputs in meeting the increasing demand for defensive interceptors," said Ali Bakir, a senior nonresident fellow at the Middle East Council on Global Affairs and assistant professor at Qatar University's Ibn Khaldon Center.

土耳其的低空防空系统已在多个海湾国家投入使用。在此基础上,土耳其近期启动了“钢铁穹顶”项目,旨在最终构建一个覆盖不同高度的多层次综合防空体系。

Turkey's low altitude air defense systems are already in use in several Gulf countries. Adding to those, it recently launched its Steel Dome aimed at eventually developing a multilayered integrated air defense umbrella at various altitudes.

对印度尼西亚这个最大穆斯林国家而言,该协议提供了一个机会,在其成为土耳其产KAAN战斗机首个国际客户后,进一步深化与安卡拉和伊斯兰堡的国防合作。

For Indonesia, the largest Muslim country, the agreement provides an opportunity to deepen defense cooperation with Ankara and Islamabad after it became the first international customer of the Turkish-produced KAAN fighter jet.

对拥有核武器、军队规模超过66万人(多于土耳其)的巴基斯坦而言,参与这两项协议有助于树立其在穆斯林世界领导者的形象。

For Pakistan, a nuclear power with an army larger than Turkey's at over 660,000 people, being a partner in both agreements helps to project its image as a leader in the Muslim world.

沙哈布表示:“我们最近通过其在和平委员会的成员身份、与科威特和沙特阿拉伯的双边防务协议、在美国和伊朗之间的调解、三边协议,以及现在的四边防务协定,看到了这一点。”

"We have recently seen this through its membership in the Board of Peace, bilateral defense agreements with Kuwait and Saudi Arabia, mediation between the United States and Iran, trilateral agreements, and now a quadrilateral defense pact," Shahab said.

一名巴基斯坦官员反映称,巴基斯坦武装部队及其军事能力“受到海湾国家的高度需求”。该官员补充道:“我们的海湾盟友在危机时刻总是伸出援手。巴基斯坦将在其能力范围内,不惜一切代价帮助保卫其海湾盟友。即使这意味着加入多个军事同盟。”一些分析人士表示,这两个协定日后有可能合并为一项大型合作协议。阿德南·阿米尔是特约撰稿人。

A Pakistani official reflected that Pakistan's armed forces and its military capabilities are "in high demand from Gulf countries." The official added: "Our Gulf allies have always come to our help during times of crisis. Pakistan will go to all possible extents, within its means, to help defend its Gulf allies. Even if it results in joining multiple military alliances." There is a chance that the two pacts could merge into one big cooperation agreement later on, some analysts said. Adnan Aamir is a contributing writer.

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