
编辑部撰文 本月初,国务卿马可·鲁比奥在雅典卫城附近发表讲话,赞扬古代雅典人英勇击退波斯入侵者。而他所服务的政府,对待乌克兰的抵抗却截然不同。
By The Editors Speaking near the Acropolis earlier this month, Secretary of State Marco Rubio praised the ancient Athenians who heroically repelled Persian invaders. The administration he serves is treating Ukraine’s resistance very differently.
为了在11月中期选举前压低物价,白宫近期达成协议,放宽了对俄罗斯柴油的制裁,并要求乌克兰停止袭击俄罗斯炼油厂。在刚刚通过的《格雷厄姆法案》相关条款即将生效前两天,总统豁免了针对俄罗斯及其石油天然气买方的广泛制裁和关税。他还建议乌克兰人“换个总统”。除了减轻对克里姆林宫的压力,据报道,政府还威胁要暂停与乌克兰的情报共享,并终止一项允许欧洲购买美国武器转交给该饱受战火蹂躏国家的计划。SpaceX的军用卫星服务“星盾”神秘地遭到限速,表明这些威胁并非空谈。
In hopes of lowering prices before the November midterms, the White House recently struck a deal easing sanctions on Russian diesel and demanded that Ukraine stop striking Russian refineries. Two days before provisions of the recently passed Graham Act were due to take effect, the president waived broad sanctions and tariffs targeting Russia and buyers of its oil and gas. He also suggested Ukrainians “get a new president.”Beyond easing pressure on the Kremlin, the administration also reportedly threatened to withhold intelligence sharing with Ukraine and end a scheme that lets Europe buy American weapons to send to the embattled country. The mysterious throttling of Starshield, SpaceX’s military satellite service, suggests the threats were not idle.
数日来,卫星速度变慢使乌克兰无法有效防御喷气式无人机,也无法在俄占领土上实施中程打击。美国的导弹预警系统也在多个夜晚失效,剥夺了平民赶往避难所的关键几分钟。(鲁比奥将这些失效归咎于技术故障。)乌克兰急需的“爱国者”拦截弹已近耗尽。欧洲采购的美国武器占乌克兰获得的拦截弹的95%,以及其空军击落无人机所需的弹药。据报道,美国已放缓这些采购的交付,以及来自友好国家库存的转移。
For several days, slower satellite speeds crippled Ukraine’s ability to defend against jet-powered drones and conduct midrange strikes in Russian-occupied territory. US missile warnings also went silent on several nights, depriving civilians of critical minutes to reach shelters. (Rubio has blamed the lapses on technical glitches.) Ukraine is nearly out of the Patriot interceptors needed to defend itself. European purchases of American weapons account for 95% of the interceptors Ukraine receives, along with ammunition its air force needs to shoot down drones. The US has reportedly slowed deliveries of those purchases, as well as transfers from friendly-country stocks.

而美国究竟获得了什么回报?并非廉价燃料。承诺的俄罗斯供应量远太小,无法抵消主要由伊朗战争驱动的供应紧张。
And what has the US gained in return? Not cheap fuel. The promised Russian supplies are far too small to offset a squeeze driven largely by the war in Iran.
这些让步也并未产生白宫所宣称的那种(严重失衡的)“能源休战”。乌克兰停火三天,俄罗斯却以39枚弹道导弹回应,导致60多万乌克兰人断电。俄罗斯的袭击几乎使敖德萨的粮食港口瘫痪。
Nor have the concessions produced the (lopsided) “energy truce” the White House declared. Ukraine held its fire for three days while Russia answered with 39 ballistic missiles, cutting power to over 600,000 Ukrainians. Russian strikes have all but shut Odesa’s grain ports.
现在不是对俄罗斯总统弗拉基米尔·普京放松施压的时候。据估计,俄罗斯现在每月损失3万名士兵,超过了其招募能力。乌克兰的无人机和战场创新帮助其在东部推回了俄罗斯的推进。随着战争吞噬越来越多资源,克里姆林宫面临的经济压力正在加大。
This is not the moment to ease up on Russian President Vladimir Putin. Russia is now losing more men — an estimated 30,000 per month — than it can recruit. Ukraine’s drones and battlefield innovations have helped it roll back Russian advances in the east. Economic pressure on the Kremlin is mounting as the war commands ever-greater resources.
俄罗斯官员称,他们愿意下月初与美国和乌克兰重启三方会谈。乌克兰总统弗拉基米尔·泽连斯基多次提出的能源基础设施停火,仍是一个值得追求的目标。俄罗斯是否遵守将检验进一步协议是否可能达成。
Russian officials say they’re willing to restart three-way talks with the US and Ukraine early next month. A ceasefire on energy infrastructure, something Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has repeatedly suggested, remains a worthy goal. Russian compliance would be a test of whether further agreements are possible.
然而,如果普京再次设置障碍,美国应该向俄罗斯施压,而不是向其侵略的受害者施压。鉴于政府不愿激怒俄罗斯领导人,国会的杠杆作用将至关重要。一个两党参议员小组已经将柴油交易称为“送给对手的礼物”。《格雷厄姆法案》虽允许豁免,但国会应审查其理由——并更仔细地追究是谁下令减缓“星盾”服务。立法者应利用今年的国防授权法案,保护情报共享和欧洲资助的武器交付。
If Putin stonewalls again, however, the US should pressure Russia, not the victim of its aggression. Congressional leverage will be critical, given the administration’s reluctance to antagonize the Russian leader. A bipartisan group of senators has already called the diesel deal “a gift to our adversary.”While the Graham Act allows for waivers, Congress should scrutinize the justification — and look more closely at who ordered the Starshield slowdown. Lawmakers should use this year’s defense bill to protect intelligence sharing and European-funded arms deliveries.
一些立法者提议将“星盾”接入权限延伸至俄罗斯境内,以便乌克兰能打击喷气式无人机和弹道导弹的发射场及储存设施,而非炼油厂。这将向克里姆林宫发出明确信号。
Some legislators have proposed extending Starshield access into Russia so Ukraine can target launch sites and storage facilities for jet-powered drones and ballistic missiles instead of refineries. Doing so would send a clear message to the Kremlin.
欧洲也需要寻找更多途径,以弥补美国支持的减少。当务之急是在冬季来临前,无论是向美国购买还是调拨现有库存,都要向乌克兰提供更多“爱国者”拦截弹和其他防空系统。欧盟还应为乌克兰无人机生产提供更多资金,并确保制造乌克兰导弹和拦截弹所需的稀缺零部件供应。为给乌克兰的国防和重建融资,欧洲将需要更多联合借贷,或重新审视如何利用俄罗斯被冻结的央行资产。
Europe also needs to find more ways to compensate for declining US support. The urgent task is to get more Patriot interceptors and other air defenses to Ukraine before winter, whether by buying them from the US or transferring existing stocks. The bloc should also fund more Ukrainian drone production and secure the scarce components needed to build Ukrainian missiles and interceptors. To finance Ukraine’s defense and reconstruction, Europe will need more joint borrowing or another look at how Russia’s frozen central bank assets can be exploited.
利害关系远不止乌克兰。每一个依赖美国武器和技术的盟友,现在都必须问自己:这种依赖是否会被用来对付自己。对手可能会得出结论:美国的朋友和利益,可以用柴油来交换。
The stakes extend beyond Ukraine. Every ally relying on US weapons and technology must now ask whether that dependence could be used against it. Adversaries may conclude that America’s friends, and interests, can be traded for diesel.
在雅典,鲁比奥警告西方不要失去“激情、力量、勇气、自豪之火” —— 即希腊人所谓的 。他在乌克兰会看到大量这种火焰;动摇的是华盛顿。
In Athens, Rubio warned the West against losing “the fire of passion, strength, courage, pride” — what the Greeks called . He’d find plenty in Ukraine; it’s Washington that’s wavering.