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特朗普搁置全面对俄制裁,共和党盟友警告对普京的压力正在减弱Trump sidelines sweeping Russia sanctions as GOP allies warn pressure on Putin is slipping

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特朗普总统正在暂缓执行国会授予他的全面新经济制裁,这些制裁旨在向俄罗斯施压。

President Donald Trump is holding back on sweeping new economic penalties Congress handed him to squeeze Russia.

他押注将这些制裁留作后手,有助于将普京拉上谈判桌,这一策略招致共和党盟友批评,并引发疑问:莫斯科是否相信他终将动用这些制裁。

He is betting that keeping those sanctions in reserve will help bring Vladimir Putin to the negotiating table, a strategy drawing criticism from Republican allies amid questions about whether Moscow believes he will ever use them.

在大约一周时间里,政府豁免了上月颁布的大部分新对俄制裁和关税,并单独放宽了对俄罗斯柴油出口的限制,一位外交政策专家将此描述为特朗普迄今为止放松对莫斯科经济施压的最重大举措。

Over roughly a week, the administration waived most of the new Russia sanctions and tariffs enacted last month while separately easing restrictions on Russian diesel exports, moves one foreign policy expert described as Trump's most significant effort yet to unwind economic pressure on Moscow.

美国企业研究所高级研究员、约翰霍普金斯大学高级国际研究学院教授哈尔·布兰兹对福克斯新闻数字频道表示:“这大概是特朗普政府迄今为开始解除自2022年以来、甚至更早一些情况下就已实施的美国对俄制裁架构所做的最大努力。”

"It's probably the biggest effort that the Trump administration has made to start unwinding the U.S. sanctions architecture that's been in place against Russia since 2022 or even earlier in some cases," Hal Brands, a senior fellow at the American Enterprise Institute and professor at the Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies, told Fox News Digital.

特朗普辩称,实施新惩罚可能会把俄罗斯赶离和平谈判。但布兰兹说,反复收回经济惩罚,有让普京相信华盛顿不愿兑现威胁的风险。

Trump argues that imposing the new penalties could drive Russia away from peace negotiations. But Brands said repeatedly holding back economic punishment risks convincing Putin that Washington is unwilling to follow through on its threats.

布兰兹说:“如果一段时间内你表现出宁愿根本不实施那些惩罚,实施惩罚的威胁可能会失去一些可信度。”

"The threat of imposition may lose some credibility if over a period of time you've demonstrated that you would prefer not to impose those penalties in the first place," Brands said.

这一决定招致了共和党人的批评,这些共和党人曾帮助推进《林赛·格雷厄姆制裁俄罗斯和伊朗法案》,其中包括曾与白宫合作推动该法案通过的特朗普盟友。

The decision has drawn criticism from Republicans who helped advance the Lindsey O. Graham Sanctioning Russia and Iran Act, including Trump allies who worked with his White House to pass it.

美国总统特朗普(右)与俄罗斯总统普京(左)于2025年8月15日在阿拉斯加州安斯沃思联合基地举行会晤。(Andrew Harnik/Getty Images)U.S. President Donald Trump (R) and Russian President Vladimir Putin (L) hold a meeting at Joint Base Elmendorf-Richardson on Aug. 15, 2025 in Anchorage, Alaska. (Andrew Harnik/Getty Images)

参议员凯蒂·布里特(共和党-阿拉巴马州)在该立法通过中发挥了主导作用,上月曾陪同特朗普在椭圆形办公室签署法案,她周二表示,政府应当加大对莫斯科的经济施压。

Sen. Katie Britt, R-Ala., who played a leading role in passing the legislation and joined Trump in the Oval Office when he signed it last month, said Tuesday the administration should be turning up economic pressure on Moscow.

“我认为我们需要运用经济火力,帮助推动普京坐到谈判桌前,”布里特对 Semafor 表示。“我认为俄罗斯正处于这场战争以来最黑暗的时刻,现在是我们加大施压的时候。” 参议员雪莱·摩尔·卡皮托(共和党-西弗吉尼亚州)表示,国会已与白宫协调了该立法的时机,这使得特朗普决定豁免其中大部分新制裁显得尤为令人惊讶。

"It is my belief that we need to use economic firepower to help drive Putin to the table," Britt told Semafor. "I believe that Russia is at the darkest point that they've been at in this entire war, and now is the time for us to turn up the pressure." Sen. Shelley Moore Capito, R-W. Va., said Congress had coordinated the legislation's timing with the White House, making Trump's decision to waive most of its new penalties particularly surprising.

“这是国会的一项法案,我们曾与白宫共同推进,”卡皮托说。“我们把时机定在总统和白宫认为推进该法案、并能发挥作用的良机。” 其他共和党人的批评则更为直白。

"This was an act of Congress that we had worked with the White House on," Capito said. "We had timed this to when the president and the White House felt it was a good time to move forward with this, where it could be effective." Other Republicans were more blunt in their criticism.

“极其不负责任,”参议员汤姆·蒂利斯(共和党-北卡罗来纳州)在 X 平台上写道。“参议院以 86 票对 11 票通过的法律,总统及其顾问哪里不明白要执行?” 他补充道:“这个政府向一名非法入侵乌克兰、每天屠杀无辜平民的俄罗斯独裁者投降,简直不可理喻。”

"Beyond irresponsible," Sen. Thom Tillis, R-N.C., wrote on X. "What part of enforcing a law passed 86-11 by the Senate does the President and his advisors not understand?" "It's unconscionable that this administration is capitulating to a Russian dictator who illegally invaded Ukraine and butchers innocent civilians every single day," he added.

参议员达琳·格雷厄姆(共和党-南卡罗来纳州),该以其已故兄弟命名的立法的主要发起人、也是特朗普背书的候选人,表示她将“选择继续对俄罗斯施压”,因为“我不信任普京,也不信任俄罗斯。” 《格雷厄姆法案》于 9 月签署生效,规定对俄罗斯及俄罗斯能源主要购买国征收高额关税,并对俄罗斯金融机构以及与其有大量业务往来的外国实体实施制裁。

Sen. Darline Graham, R-S.C., the lead sponsor of the legislation named for her late brother and a Trump-endorsed candidate, said she would "choose to keep the pressure on Russia" because "I don't trust Putin and I don't trust Russia." The Graham Act, signed into law in September, provided for steep tariffs targeting Russia and major purchasers of Russian energy, along with sanctions on Russian financial institutions and foreign entities doing significant business with them.

参议员林赛·格雷厄姆(R-南卡罗来纳州)在华盛顿特区美国国会大厦举行的特朗普政府官员关于美国打击伊朗的简报会结束后,向记者发表讲话。(Nathan Posner/Anadolu)Sen. Lindsey Graham, R-S.C., speaks to reporters after a briefing by Trump administration officials on U.S. strikes on Iran at the U.S. Capitol in Washington, D.C., on March 3, 2026. (Nathan Posner/Anadolu)

国会同时也赋予了总统豁免权,特朗普援引该权力,将该法大部分新的对俄惩罚措施暂缓实施。

Congress also included presidential waiver authority, which Trump invoked to put most of the law's new Russia penalties on hold.

布兰兹表示,纳入豁免条款未必是个错误,即使最终它让特朗普得以避免实施立法者寻求的惩罚措施。

Brands said including a waiver was not necessarily a mistake, even if it ultimately allowed Trump to avoid imposing the penalties lawmakers had sought.

“制定一项迫使总统采取行动的制裁或关税法案确实非常困难,通常也不希望这么做,因为总能想象出一些情形,在这些情形下你可能希望拥有豁免制裁的权力,”他说。

"It's really tough to craft a sanctions or tariffs bill that forces the president to do something, and typically you don't want to do that because there are always circumstances one can imagine in which you might want to be able to waive sanctions," he said.

特朗普为自己的决定进行了辩护,称这是让普京留在谈判桌前的必要之举。

Trump has defended his decision as necessary to keep Putin at the negotiating table.

“我在俄罗斯问题上的决定非常简单。我正在推动俄乌战争的和平谈判,不想做任何会愚蠢地把俄罗斯赶离谈判桌的事,”特朗普周日写道。

"My decision on Russia is a very simple one. I am in the process of negotiating Peace in the war between Russia and Ukraine, and don't want to do anything that will drive, foolishly, Russia away from the bargaining table," Trump wrote Sunday.

在致国会的正式证明书中,特朗普表示,现在实施《格雷厄姆法案》规定的惩罚措施“将阻碍美国正在进行的谈判持久且全面和平的努力”。他留有余地,表示稍后可能实施这些措施,以“激励解决”战争。

In his formal certification to Congress, Trump said imposing the Graham Act penalties now "would impede ongoing U.S. efforts to negotiate a durable and comprehensive peace." He left open the possibility of imposing them later to "incentivize resolution" of the war.

一辆拖车在美国爱达荷州密利维尔的一处加油站加注柴油燃料。(Bryon Houlgrave/Bloomberg via Getty Images)A tractor trailer refuels with diesel fuel at a Kwik Star gas station in Mitchellville, Iowa, US, on Thursday, April 30, 2026. (Bryon Houlgrave/Bloomberg via Getty Images)

布兰兹承认,将制裁留作后手可以给总统提供谈判筹码,但他质疑普京是否相信特朗普准备兑现承诺。

Brands acknowledged that holding sanctions in reserve can give a president bargaining power, but questioned whether Putin believes Trump is prepared to follow through.

“问题在于,自2025年初林赛·格雷厄姆最初开始推动该法案以来,大约18个月来已经很清楚,总统根本没有多大意愿像已故参议员格雷厄姆设想和期望的那样,大力挤压俄罗斯的能源出口体系,”布兰兹说。

"The challenge is that it's been clear for about 18 months now, since Lindsey Graham started pushing this bill in the first place in the early parts of 2025, that the president simply doesn't have much appetite for squeezing the Russian energy export system to the degree that people like the late Senator Graham envisioned and desired," Brands said.

政府方面单独放宽了现有限制,允许更多俄罗斯柴油进入市场,此举旨在缓解全球燃油价格压力。

The administration has separately eased existing restrictions to allow more Russian diesel onto the market, a move intended to relieve pressure on global fuel prices.

特朗普批评乌克兰袭击俄罗斯炼油厂,认为这正在给柴油市场带来压力。能源部长克里斯·赖特将制裁豁免描述为一种“胡萝卜”,可能鼓励俄罗斯降级冲突。

Trump has criticized Ukrainian strikes on Russian refineries, arguing they are straining diesel markets. Energy Secretary Chris Wright has described sanctions relief as a "carrot" that could encourage Russia to de-escalate.

布兰兹表示,柴油制裁缓解给莫斯科带来的直接经济利益可能“相当有限”。他认为,更具决定性的举措是特朗普拒绝启动国会授权的更广泛制裁和关税。

Brands said the immediate financial benefit to Moscow from diesel relief is probably "fairly marginal." The more consequential decision, he argued, was Trump's refusal to activate the broader sanctions and tariffs Congress authorized.

俄罗斯周三违反了北约空域。 (Alexander Kazakov/Sputnik/Kremlin Pool Photo/AP)Russia violated NATO airspace on Wednesday. (Alexander Kazakov/Sputnik/Kremlin Pool Photo/AP)

布兰兹说:“如果他动用制裁权力,并基本上动用二级关税权力,去追究海外购买俄罗斯能源产品者的责任,那么存在施加相当严厉压力的可能性。”

"There's a potential for pretty serious pressure to be exerted if he had used both the sanctions authorities and essentially the secondary tariff authorities to go after purchasers of Russian energy products overseas," Brands said.

他补充说,此类措施“可能对俄罗斯战时经济形成相当大的挤压”,同时阻止其他国家与莫斯科开展业务往来。

Such measures could "put a fairly significant squeeze on the Russian war economy" while discouraging other countries from doing business with Moscow, he added.

布兰兹承认,在特朗普专注于降低国内燃油价格之际,挤压俄罗斯能源出口可能会进一步紧张全球能源市场。

Brands acknowledged that squeezing Russian energy exports could further strain global energy markets when Trump is focused on lowering fuel prices at home.

但他辩称,更大的风险在于普京会对华盛顿持续施加经济压力的意愿得出何种结论。

But he argued that the larger risk lies in what Putin concludes about Washington's willingness to sustain economic pressure.

布兰兹说:“长期以来,普京在乌克兰获胜的理论是,西方特别是美国,终将厌倦与俄罗斯对抗的代价以及对乌克兰的支持。”

"Putin's theory of victory in Ukraine for a long time has been that at some point the West, particularly the United States, will get tired of the costs of confrontation with Russia and support for Ukraine," Brands said.

他解释说,担忧的焦点不在于莫斯科因额外柴油出口而获得的即时收入,而在于放宽限制可能会强化普京的认知,即华盛顿正厌倦与俄罗斯的对抗。

The concern, he explained, is less about the immediate revenue Moscow gains from additional diesel exports than the possibility that easing restrictions reinforces Putin's belief that Washington is growing tired of confronting Russia.

布兰兹说:“此处的风险与俄罗斯因获准出口一些额外柴油而将获得的确切美元或卢布金额关系较小,而与你发出的战略信号关系更大,即美国实际上正厌倦对俄罗斯施加经济压力,且美乌关系正进入另一个冲突与分歧期。”

"The risk you run here has less to do with the precise dollar or ruble amount that Russia will gain by being allowed to export some additional diesel than with the strategic signal you're sending that, in fact, the U.S. is getting tired of applying economic pressure against Russia and that the U.S.-Ukraine relationship is entering another period of conflict and divergence," Brands said.

2026年9月20日,俄乌冲突期间,莫斯科一家炼油厂遭乌克兰无人机袭击后起火,浓烟滚滚升起。(REUTERS/Stringer)Plumes of smoke rise from fires at an oil refinery following what authorities said was a Ukrainian drone strike during the Russia-Ukraine conflict in Moscow, Russia, on Sept. 20, 2026. (REUTERS/Stringer)

布兰兹认为,短期内几乎没有谈判解决的前景,并辩称,改变普京的算计需要让他相信,继续战争的成本超过了潜在收益。

Brands sees little prospect for a negotiated settlement in the immediate future and argued that changing Putin's calculation would require convincing him that the costs of continuing the war outweigh the potential gains.

布兰兹说:“我认为,唯一的途径是继续支持乌克兰,使其能够在战场上对俄罗斯造成日益沉重的代价,并找到办法加大而非减小对俄罗斯的经济施压。”

"I think the only way you get there is by continuing to support Ukraine so it can take an increasing toll on Russia on the battlefield and by finding ways of ramping up rather than ramping down the economic pressure on Russia," Brands said.

特朗普的豁免并未取消《格雷厄姆法案》颁布前已有的对俄制裁,政府可以重新考量这些新的惩罚措施。

Trump's waiver does not eliminate sanctions against Russia that predated the Graham Act, and the administration can revisit the new penalties.

争议的焦点现在在于,将这些惩罚措施留作后手,是增强了特朗普与普京博弈的筹码,还是会因莫斯科怀疑他不愿动用而降低其价值。

The dispute now centers on whether keeping those penalties in reserve strengthens Trump's hand with Putin — or diminishes their value if Moscow doubts he is willing to use them.

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