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彭博社

巴西通胀率突破目标上限,决选投票前夕加剧选民不满Brazil Inflation Shoots Through Target Limit Before Runoff Vote

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巴西年度通胀率在10月初突破目标上限,在选民准备于周日选出下一任总统之际,加剧了他们的沮丧情绪。

Brazil’s annual inflation rate shot through the target ceiling in early October, adding to voters’ frustrations as they prepare to pick their next president on Sunday.

周五公布的官方数据显示,消费者价格较上年同期上涨4.62%,低于彭博社调查的分析师中位数预估4.74%。环比来看,通胀率达到0.32%。巴西央行将通胀目标设定为3%,容忍区间为上下1.5个百分点。

Official data released Friday showed that consumer prices gained 4.62% from a year earlier, below the 4.74% median estimate of analysts surveyed by Bloomberg. On the month, inflation reached 0.32%. The central bank targets inflation at 3%, with a tolerance band of 1.5 percentage points in either direction.

弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗在10月4日的首轮投票中击败总统路易斯·伊纳西奥·卢拉·达席尔瓦,使他成为决选中获胜的大热门。经济焦虑以及一起牵涉最高法院的重大银行欺诈丑闻激起了反体制情绪,助推了这位右翼挑战者的声势。

Flávio Bolsonaro upset President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in the Oct. 4 first-round vote, making him the strong favorite to win the runoff. Economic angst as well as a major bank fraud scandal engulfing the Supreme Court have stirred anti-system sentiment and helped amplify the right-wing challenger’s message.

但在最后几周竞争已趋白热化,民调指向势均力敌。卢拉的支持者举行了大规模街头集会,而参议院通过了一项废除巴西六天工作制的法案——这是总统的标志性竞选承诺之一——为现任总统带来了后期声势。

But the race has tightened in its final weeks, with polls pointing to a dead heat. Lula’s supporters staged massive street rallies while the Senate approved a measure to abolish Brazil’s six-day workweek — one of the president’s signature campaign proposals — providing the incumbent late momentum.

在博尔索纳罗获胜的预期下,巴西资产价格上涨,投资者认为这位45岁的参议员、前总统雅伊尔·博尔索纳罗之子更有可能遏制开支。

Brazilian assets have rallied on the prospect of a Bolsonaro victory, with investors seeing the 45-year-old senator and son of former President Jair Bolsonaro as more likely to rein in spending.

尽管央行一直在下调基准塞利克利率——目前为13.75%——但投资者担心卢拉执政下巴西财政状况会恶化,这加剧了通胀压力。

While the central bank has been cutting the benchmark Selic rate — now at 13.75% — investor fears that Brazil’s fiscal position would worsen under Lula have added to inflation pressures.

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