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纽约时报

中期选举不到两周,绝大多数选民表示对选举结果准确性大体信任With less than two weeks until the midterms, a wide majority of voters say that

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但《纽约时报》/锡耶纳学院的一项民调发现,大约一半的受访者表示担心共和党可能会试图推翻选举结果。

But about half expressed concerns that Republicans could try to overturn the results, a New York Times/Siena poll found.

距离中期选举不足两周之际,绝大多数选民表示,他们基本相信即将到来的选举结果将是准确的,这是根据《纽约时报》/锡耶纳学院的一项新民调得出的。但该民调发现,许多人怀有担忧,担心共和党可能会试图推翻选举结果。

With less than two weeks until the midterms, a wide majority of voters say that they largely trust that the results of the upcoming election will be accurate, according to a new New York Times/Siena poll But the poll finds that many harbor concerns that Republicans could try to overturn the results of the election.

这些发现出台之际,特朗普总统经常试图播下对选举诚信的怀疑,而他的政府则推动了关于投票系统存在大规模舞弊的毫无根据的指控,并警告外国势力可能对其进行操纵。

The findings come as President Trump has frequently sought to sow doubts about the integrity of elections, and as his administration has pushed unfounded claims of rampant fraud in the voting system and warned of its potential manipulation by foreign powers.

但近四分之三的选民表示,他们信任选举的准确性,其中包括民主党人、共和党人和独立人士中的大多数。不过,一小部分但比例不断上升的选民表示,他们不信任选举结果将是准确的:民调发现,现在有23%的人持此观点,高于对2024年总统选举持同样看法的17%。

But nearly three-quarters of voters said they trust the accuracy of elections, including large majorities of Democrats, Republicans and independents. A small but growing share of voters said that they do not trust that the results will be accurate, though: 23 percent now say this, the poll found, up from 17 percent who said the same of the 2024 presidential election.

“在美国历史上,选举一直是公平准确的,”住在北卡罗来纳州格林斯伯勒的62岁律师乔纳森·沃尔说。“我真心相信结果将被准确计数。”沃尔是民主党人,他说,尽管他个人相信选举将是公平的,但他担心会出现关于选举不准确的虚假指控。

“Elections have always been fair and accurate for the history of the United States,” said Jonathan Wall, a 62-year-old lawyer living in Greensboro, N.C. “ I truly believe that the results will be counted accurately.”Mr. Wall, a Democrat, said that even as he personally believes the election will be fair, he worries about fake accusations being made about the elections not being accurate.

一半的可能投票者表示,他们担心共和党可能会试图通过非法手段推翻11月选举的结果。相比之下,31%的选民表示担心民主党人会做同样的事。

Half of likely voters said that they were worried about the possibility that Republicans might try to overturn the results of the November election through illegal means. By comparison, 31 percent of voters said they were worried about Democrats doing the same.

“我从未对选举被窃取这件事有过太多想法,直到唐纳德·特朗普上台,”现居丹佛的56岁室内设计师克里斯蒂娜·斯特林说。“我不是阴谋论者,但发生的那些疯狂事情之多,就是让我感到不安。”斯特林女士是无党派人士,她说自己大半辈子都投共和党的票,但近年来更倾向民主党。她说她担心今秋的选举结果。“我甚至不知道共和党可能会做什么来搞乱选举,但他们可能会做点什么,这想法就让我害怕,”她说。

“I never had too many thoughts about an election being stolen until Donald Trump came into office,” said Kristina Sterling, a 56-year-old interior designer living in Denver. “I’m not a conspiracy theorist, but it just makes me nervous with the amount of crazy things that have gone on.”Ms. Sterling, an independent, said she had voted Republican for most of her life but has leaned more toward Democrats in recent years. She said she worries about the results this fall. “I don’t even know what Republicans could do to mess with the election, but it scares me that they could do something,” she said.

86%的民主党人和略过半数的无党派人士表示担心共和党会试图通过非法手段推翻选举结果。

Eighty-six percent of Democrats and just over half of independents expressed concern that Republicans would try to overturn the results of the election through illegal means.

然后是关于谁有资格投票的问题。在中期选举前夕,特朗普政府一直在寻求优先从州选民名册中清除非公民,尽管专家表示非公民投票的情况极为罕见。

Then there is the question of who gets to vote in the first place. In the run-up to the midterms, the Trump administration has sought to prioritize purging noncitizens from state voter rolls, even though experts say that instances of noncitizens voting are extremely rare.

多数选民表示,他们更担心一些合格选民没有机会投票,而不是担心选民欺诈的可能性。这是自2024年以来的一个逆转,当时选民更担心一些人会非法投票。

A majority of voters said they were more concerned that some eligible voters would not have a chance to vote than about the possibility of voter fraud. That is a reversal since 2024, when voters were more concerned that some people would cast votes illegally.

在这个问题上,党派分歧十分明显。85%的共和党人表示更担心一些人会非法投票,而86%的民主党人表示更担心一些合格选民会被剥夺投票权。

The party divisions on that question are stark. While 85 percent of Republicans said they were more worried that some people would cast votes illegally, 86 percent of Democrats said they were more worried that some eligible voters would be deprived of their vote.

在政治分歧的双方也存在一些共识领域。对民主前景的担忧为民主党人和共和党人所共有。超过四分之三的选民认为美国民主正面临威胁,这一数字自2022年以来基本保持一致。

There were some areas of agreement across the political divide. Concern about the future of democracy is shared by both Democrats and Republicans. More than three-quarters of voters said that they think American democracy is under threat, a number that has remained largely consistent since 2022.

尽管当下两极分化严重、恶语相向,但大多数选民表示,他们并不把对立党派成员视为“敌人”。绝大多数受访者(78%的共和党人和75%的民主党人)表示,他们把对立党派成员视为在政治上有分歧的同胞美国人。

For all the polarization and vitriol of the current moment, most voters said that they did not view members of the opposing party as “the enemy.”Large majorities (78 percent of Republicans and 75 percent of Democrats) said that they viewed members of the opposing party as fellow Americans they disagree with politically.

但视对方为“敌人”的比例已有所上升。约22%的民主党人现在表示把共和党人视为敌人,高于2024年将特朗普支持者视为敌人的20%。而20%的共和党人现在也这么说民主党人,高于2024年将时任副总统哈里斯支持者视为敌人的15%。

But the share who sees the other side as “the enemy” has grown. About 22 percent of Democrats now say they see Republicans as the enemy, up from 20 percent who said Mr. Trump’s supporters were the enemy in 2024. And 20 percent of Republicans now say the same of Democrats, up from 15 percent who said the same of former Vice President Kamala Harris’s supporters in 2024.

选民对这种日益加深的分裂普遍感到担忧。近60%的人认为国家过于分裂,无法解决问题。这与2020年9月的情况截然不同,当时多数选民认为国家仍能应对问题。

Voters are uniformly worried about this growing divide. Nearly 60 percent say the country is too divided to solve its problems. That is a reversal since September 2020, when a majority of voters said the country can still address its problems.

“这么多人为此失去朋友,”住在休斯敦郊外的政治独立人士格雷格·布兰查德(Gregg Blanchard),54岁,说道。“我有各个政治光谱的朋友。但我觉得这越来越罕见了。”

“So many people lose friends over this,” said Gregg Blanchard, 54, a political independent living outside of Houston. “I have friends across the political spectrum. But I think that’s increasingly rare.”

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