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彼得劳斯:美军需要“紧迫的革命性制度变革”以备战现代战争US military needs ‘urgent revolutionary institutional change’ to prepare for modern war, Petraeus says

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2022年10月4日星期二,前中央情报局局长戴维·彼得雷乌斯将军在波兰华沙参加华沙安全论坛的一场小组讨论。(米哈尔·迪尤克/美联社)Former director of the CIA Gen. David Petraeus participates in a panel discussion at the Warsaw Security Forum in Warsaw, Poland, Tuesday, Oct. 4, 2022. (Michal Dyjuk/AP)

退役陆军上将大卫·彼得劳斯10月16日表示,无人系统如今在乌克兰前线造成俄罗斯超过90%的伤亡,然而没有任何北约军队(包括美国军队)开始进行这种战争所要求的彻底变革。此前几周,五角大楼刚刚宣布成立一个自主作战新指挥部。

Unmanned systems now inflict more than 90% of Russia’s casualties on the front lines in Ukraine, yet no NATO military, including America’s, has begun the overhaul that kind of war demands, Ret. Army Gen. David Petraeus said Oct. 16, weeks after the Pentagon announced a new command for autonomous warfare.

这位前中央情报局局长、前美国中央司令部司令在华盛顿举行的美国初级铝协会活动上发言时说,无人机战争的规模被低估了,乌克兰和俄罗斯每天各自使用的无人机大约达1万架。

The extent of the drone war is underestimated, with Ukraine and Russia each using roughly 10,000 drones a day, the former CIA director and onetime commander of U.S. Central Command said, speaking at an American Primary Aluminum Association event in Washington.

彼得劳斯说:“这是一场无人系统战争。坦克在那里不再具有生存能力。”对乌克兰而言,无人机和无人武器已成为该国利用兵力较少、火力较弱的部队,对抗兵力大得多、资金雄厚得多的对手近五年的核心手段。

“This is an unmanned systems war,” Petraeus said. “Tanks aren’t survivable there anymore.”For Ukraine, drones and unmanned weapons have become central to how the country has leveraged a smaller, outgunned force against a much larger, better-financed adversary for almost five years.

乌克兰总统泽连斯基2024下令成立新的无人系统部队军种,国防部也一再表示,开发更多自主武器是首要任务。

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy ordered the creation of a new Unmanned Systems Forces military branch in 2024, and the Defense Ministry has said time and again that developing more autonomous weapons is a top priority.

但彼得劳斯说,对世界其他国家而言,乌克兰的战斗是一扇窥视未来的窗口,也是对未来战役准备不足危险的警示。

But for the rest of the world, Petraeus said, the fighting in Ukraine is a window into the future and a warning about the dangers of being underprepared for the battles to come.

他说:“确实,没有任何北约国家,甚至连美国,目前都尚未着手进行基于我们在乌克兰所见——即未来战争形态——而应采取的紧迫的、革命性的体制变革。”

“Really, no NATO country and not even the United States is undertaking yet the urgent revolutionary institutional change that should be taken based on what we see in Ukraine, which is the future of war,” he said.

这位将军说,美国需要一个贯穿部队结构、训练、采购、人事政策和基地建设的新作战概念,用更廉价、数量多得多的无人系统取代大量传统的重装备有人平台。

The U.S. needs a new concept of warfare that runs through force structure, training, procurement, personnel policy and bases, the general said, replacing much of the legacy, heavily manned equipment with unmanned systems that are cheaper and far more numerous.

彼得劳斯说:“将会发生的是,我们将首次在战争中真正看到自主系统的投入使用。”

“What’s going to happen is we’ll see the introduction of autonomous systems really for the first time in warfare,” Petraeus said.

彼得劳斯表示,华盛顿在研发这些武器方面正在采取“一些值得称道的步骤”,包括成立新的自主作战司令部,要求各军种建立自己的分部司令部。

Washington is making “some commendable steps” toward developing these weapons, according to Petraeus, including establishing a new Autonomous Warfare Command that requires each military branch to stand up its own component command.

彼得劳斯说:“但我希望他们不仅会在兵力结构上创建一支无人系统部队,还能推动真正的体制变革。”

“But my hope is that they will not just create an unmanned systems force in terms of force structure, but that they will also spur the initiation of true institutional change,” Petraeus said.

彼得劳斯说,这包括美国如何采购武器,他呼吁建立“非常、非常可观的制造能力,但不一定持续生产”。“你希望它能够每周进行软件更改、每几周进行硬件更改,这正是乌克兰正在发生的情况,因为敌人持续进化,俄罗斯也在大幅创新,”他说。

That includes how the U.S. buys weapons, Petraeus said, calling for “very, very substantial manufacturing capacity but not necessarily producing all the time.”“You want it to be able to make software changes every week, hardware changes every few weeks, which is what’s going on in Ukraine because the enemy continues to evolve and Russia’s been innovating very substantially as well,” he said.

泽连斯基在7月的一次演讲中说,乌克兰今年将生产多达2000万套无人系统,受过训练的操作员短缺以及某些武器部件的获取——包括光学器件、云台、无刷电机和光纤电缆——正成为国内工业的生产瓶颈。

Ukraine will produce as many as 20 million unmanned systems this year, Zelenskyy said in a July speech, with a shortage of trained operators and the acquisition of some weapons components — including optics, gimbals, brushless motors and fiber-optic cable — becoming the domestic industry’s production bottleneck.

这位将军还否认了美国与伊朗的冲突损害了华盛顿援助基辅能力的观点,尽管他承认美国已经使用了“相当数量的导弹拦截弹”,这“使得与世界其他国家分享这些拦截弹变得更加困难”。根据国会预算办公室9月发布的一项估算,这场战争消耗了美国某些导弹防御拦截弹库存的二分之一到三分之二。

The general also rejected the idea that the U.S. war with Iran has hurt Washington’s ability to help Kyiv, though he acknowledged the U.S. has used “a fair number of missile interceptors,” which “makes it more difficult to share those with others around the world.”The war has consumed between one-half and two-thirds of the U.S. inventory of certain missile-defense interceptors, according to a Congressional Budget Office estimate released in September.

彼得劳斯说:“我们可以以我们决定的任何方式帮助乌克兰人。这些是政策决定。”

“We can help the Ukrainians in any way in which we decide to assist them,” Petraeus said. “These are policy decisions.”

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