特朗普总统的前竞选经理加入了越来越多预测共和党中期选举惨败的人士名单，并将近期政府腐败指控列为关键原因。比尔·斯蒂恩曾管理特朗普2020年的竞选活动，并在特朗普第一任期内担任过白宫政治主任，他告诉CNN主持人阿比·菲利普，该政府最近的丑闻——特别是驱逐美国驻希腊大使金伯利·吉尔福伊尔——导致共和党在大多数民调中表现不佳。
President Trump’s former campaign manager is joining a growing list predicting midterm doom for Republicans, highlighting recent allegations of government corruption as a key reason. Bill Stepien, who managed Trump’s 2020 campaign and had a stint as White House political director in the president’s first term, told CNN’s Abby Phillip that recent scandals in the administration — namely the ouster of U.S. Ambassador to Greece Kimberly Guilfoyle — have contributed to the GOP’s poor showing in most polls.
“我们10年前谈了很多‘清除沼泽’的事情。当人们看到吉尔福伊尔、那些排场和短信的头条新闻时，他们会想有什么变化，”斯蒂恩说。“这很丑陋，并给了民主党一个机会。”吉尔福伊尔在《华尔街日报》一系列报道后辞职，报道称她在确认听证会前曾要求一名共和党捐款人帮助支付她10万美元的信用卡账单。最近的民调显示，腐败问题对美国选民来说日益重要，在某些调查中，其重要性已接近生活成本或经济问题。
“We talked a lot about draining the swamp 10 years ago. People wonder what's changed when they see headlines like Guilfoyle and the trappings and the text messages,” Stepien said. “It's ugly, and it's given Democrats an opening.”Guilfoyle resigned after a series of reports in The Wall Street Journal alleging she asked a GOP donor to help pay her $100,000 credit card bill ahead of her confirmation hearing. Recent polling shows corruption is a growing issue for Americans heading into the midterms, nearing the importance of cost of living or the economy in some surveys.
菲利普引用CNBC的一项调查显示，36%的登记选民将政府腐败列为国家面临的最重要问题，高于食品和杂货成本。福克斯新闻的一项民调发现，90%的选民对政府腐败感到极度或非常担忧，这一比例超过了对通胀和高物价持同样看法的选民。这种悲观情绪正在加剧共和党的中期选举环境，根据决策数据总部（DDHQ）——《国会山报》的合作伙伴——的数据，共和党在普选民调中平均落后民主党7.9个百分点。
Phillip cited a CNBC survey showing 36 percent of registered voters listed government corruption as the most important issue facing the country — higher than the cost of food and groceries. A Fox News poll found that 90 percent of voters were either extremely or very concerned about government corruption, ahead of those who said the same about inflation and high prices. The grim mood is contributing to a worsening midterm environment for Republicans, who now trail Democrats on the generic ballot by an average of 7.9 points, according to Decision Desk HQ (DDHQ), The Hill’s partner.
总统正试图通过在竞选活动中做出重大承诺来提振本党。今年秋天早些时候，他承诺如果共和党继续控制国会，将向每位选民发放5000美元。特朗普告诉北卡罗来纳州的选民，如果共和党获胜，营地莱琼有毒水污染的赔偿金将会到位。
The president is attempting to boost his party by making big promises out on the campaign trail. Earlier this fall, he promised $5,000 to every voter if Republicans held control of Congress. Trump told voters in North Carolina that Camp Lejeune toxic water settlements would be on the way, but only if the GOP wins.
“如果我们不赢，就没有钱，”他在北卡罗来纳州格林维尔的一次集会上说。“如果我们赢了，你们就能拿到。”他还将少数几个州的灾害救助资金与共和党获胜挂钩。总体而言，DDHQ的预测显示民主党在众议院占优，有79%的几率翻转议院，并在参议院略占优势，有57%的几率控制该院。
“If we don’t win, there’s no money,” he said at a rally in Greenville, N.C. “If we do win, you’re getting it.”He also tied disaster relief funds in a handful of states to Republican victories. Overall, DDHQ’s forecast favors Democrats in the House with a 79 percent chance to flip the chamber, and narrowly favors them in the Senate, with a narrower 57 percent chance of control.