美国股市投资者正为关键的一周做准备,届时主要科技公司将发布季度财报,美联储也将于周三宣布利率决定。这两大事件均可能考验近期美股反弹的强度。
US stock investors are preparing for an important week as major technology companies report their quarterly earnings and the Federal Reserve announces its interest rate decision on Wednesday. Both events could test the strength of the recent US stock market rally.
据路透社报道,上周科技股大幅下跌后,投资者对人工智能(AI)热潮愈发担忧。过去四年里,AI热潮一直是美股上涨的最大驱动力之一。
Investors have become more worried about the artificial intelligence (AI) boom after technology stocks fell sharply last week. The AI boom has been one of the biggest drivers of the US stock market's rise over the past four years, Reuters reported.
纳斯达克综合指数(追踪众多主要科技公司)周五收盘小幅下跌。前一日,该指数刚刚录得自6月以来最大单日跌幅。投资者对Meta Platforms和半导体设备制造商Lam Research最新发布的季度业绩感到失望。
The Nasdaq Composite, which tracks many major technology companies, ended Friday with a small loss. This came a day after the index recorded its biggest single-day fall since June. Investors were disappointed with the latest quarterly results from Meta Platforms and semiconductor equipment maker Lam Research.
Meta是斥巨资建设数据中心以支持AI服务的主要科技公司之一。Lam Research是半导体行业公司,其股价曾受益于AI热潮。路透社报道称,这两家公司令人失望的业绩引发了新的担忧:投资者是否将继续支持成本高昂的AI项目。
Meta is among the major technology companies spending heavily on building data centres to support AI services. Lam Research is a semiconductor industry company whose shares have benefited from the AI boom. The disappointing results from both companies have raised fresh concerns about whether investors will continue to support expensive AI projects, Reuters reported.
另外三大科技巨头——Alphabet、微软和亚马逊——定于下周发布季度业绩。投资者将密切关注这些财报,以寻找迹象表明:在AI上的巨额支出是否带来了足够的业务增长和利润。
Three other major technology companies — Alphabet, Microsoft and Amazon — are scheduled to report their quarterly results next week. Their earnings will be closely watched as investors look for signs that heavy spending on AI is generating enough business growth and profits.
标普500指数成分股中约三分之一的公司预计将在本周发布季度业绩。美联储周三的利率决定将是另一可能影响股价的重大事件。
Around one-third of the companies in the S&P 500 index are expected to report their quarterly results during the week. The Federal Reserve's interest rate decision on Wednesday will be another major event that could influence stock prices.
Alpine Macro首席股票策略师Nick Giorgi表示,投资者同时面临多项重要进展需要关注。
Trump faces voter backlash as US prices rise 5.4% and gas prices climbNick Giorgi, chief equity strategist at Alpine Macro, said investors have several important developments to watch at the same time.
据路透社报道,他说,市场现在更仔细地审视科技公司在人工智能上的支出规模,以及这些支出是否在财务上讲得通。焦尔吉表示,投资者不再自动支持那些在人工智能基础设施上投入巨资的公司。他将此描述为市场的一种健康发展,尽管这可能导致科技股在短期内遭受更大损失,路透社报道称。
He said the market is now looking more carefully at how much technology companies are spending on AI and whether that spending makes financial sense, according to Reuters. Giorgi said investors are no longer automatically supporting companies that spend large amounts of money on AI infrastructure. He described this as a healthy development for the market, although it could cause more short-term losses for technology stocks, Reuters reported.
投资者也在关注定于11月3日举行的美国中期选举。据路透社报道,市场预期民主党可能从唐纳德·特朗普总统所属的共和党手中夺取国会控制权,这种预期日益增强,给金融市场增添了另一重不确定性。
Investors are also watching the US midterm elections scheduled for November 3. Growing expectations that Democrats could take control of Congress from President Donald Trump's Republican Party have added another source of uncertainty for financial markets, according to Reuters.
这些事态发展可能导致未来两周股价出现更大幅度的波动。尽管科技股近期走弱,但标普500指数今年以来已上涨11%,显示出大盘今年表现之强劲。大型科技股财报将决定股市下一步走向强劲的企业利润增长今年帮助支撑了美国股市,即使投资者面临美国国债收益率上升以及中东冲突导致的能源成本上涨。国债收益率影响全经济的借贷成本,而能源价格上涨会增加企业和家庭的开支。
These developments could lead to bigger swings in stock prices over the next two weeks. Despite the recent weakness in technology shares, the S&P 500 has gained 11% in 2026 so far, showing how strongly the broader market has performed this year. Big Tech earnings to decide the next move for stocksStrong corporate profit growth has helped support the US stock market this year, even as investors face higher US Treasury yields and rising energy costs linked to the conflict in the Middle East. Treasury yields influence borrowing costs across the economy, while higher energy prices can increase expenses for businesses and households.
根据LSEG IBES数据,标普500成分股第三季度盈利目前预计较去年同期增长逾32%,迄今已有100多家公司公布了业绩。下周预计将是财报季最繁忙的时期。
Third-quarter earnings for S&P 500 companies are currently expected to rise by more than 32% from the same period last year. This estimate is based on LSEG IBES data, with more than 100 companies having reported their results so far. The coming week is expected to be the busiest part of the earnings season.
贝克大道财富管理首席策略师金·利普表示,下一轮企业财报可能帮助投资者判断,科技股近期的下跌是买入良机,还是更深度市场回调的开端。
King Lip, chief strategist at BakerAvenue Wealth Management, said the next round of corporate earnings could help investors decide whether the recent fall in technology stocks is a buying opportunity or the beginning of a deeper market correction.
据路透社报道,他表示投资者需要再一轮强劲的盈利表现才能重拾信心。Alphabet和微软将于周三公布季度业绩,而亚马逊定于周四发布财报。投资者将密切关注这些公司对未来在人工智能领域支出的表态,以及其投资是否产生了足够的回报。
He said investors need another round of strong earnings to regain confidence, according to Reuters. Alphabet and Microsoft will announce their quarterly results on Wednesday, while Amazon is scheduled to report on Thursday. Investors will pay close attention to what these companies say about their future spending on AI and whether their investments are producing enough returns.
特朗普宣布奥迪在佐治亚州投资40亿美元建设SUV工厂,预计创造4500个就业岗位这三家公司属于被称为“超大规模运营商”的主要科技企业。这些公司运营着大规模云计算和数据中心网络,为人工智能工具和其他在线服务提供支持。据路透社报道,它们的投资计划至关重要,因为它们的支出为许多参与构建人工智能基础设施的其他公司创造了业务。
Trump announces Audi's $4 billion Georgia SUV plant, set to create 4,500 jobsThe three companies are among the major technology businesses known as hyperscalers. These companies operate large cloud computing and data centre networks that support AI tools and other online services. Their investment plans are important because the money they spend creates business for many other companies involved in building AI infrastructure, according to Reuters.
预计到2026年,超大规模运营商的支出将达到约8000亿美元。这包括对数据中心及运行人工智能服务所需基础设施的大规模投资。此类支出支持着广泛的业务,但随着融资成本上升,投资者越来越担忧这种支出能否维持同等步伐。
Spending by hyperscalers is expected to reach around $800 billion in 2026. This includes major investments in data centres and the infrastructure needed to run AI services. Such spending supports a wide range of businesses, but investors are increasingly worried about whether it can continue at the same pace as financing costs rise.
Hennion & Walsh Asset Management总裁兼首席投资官Kevin Mahn表示,企业盈利对于维持对人工智能繁荣的信心至关重要。据路透社报道,投资者希望了解主要科技公司将在多大程度上继续在人工智能领域大举投入,以及这些投资能否带来持久的业务增长。美联储利率决议成焦点下周芯片制造商英特尔和SanDisk的季度业绩也将受到密切关注。它们的表现可能影响投资者对人工智能交易的信心,因为半导体公司提供用于人工智能相关计算和数据中心的产品。
Kevin Mahn, president and chief investment officer at Hennion & Walsh Asset Management, said corporate earnings are important for maintaining confidence in the AI boom. Investors want to understand how long major technology companies will continue spending heavily on AI and whether those investments can deliver lasting business growth, according to Reuters. Fed interest rate decision in focusQuarterly results from chipmakers Intel and Sandisk will also be watched closely next week. Their performance could influence investor confidence in the AI trade because semiconductor companies supply products used in AI-related computing and data centres.
其他即将发布财报的主要公司包括制药商礼来、石油公司埃克森美孚和雪佛龙,以及工业设备制造商卡特彼勒。
Other major companies due to report earnings include drugmaker Eli Lilly, oil companies Exxon and Chevron, and industrial equipment maker Caterpillar.
路透社报道称,他们的业绩将让投资者更全面地了解美国经济不同领域的商业状况。美联储周三的利率决议将成为股市的又一重大考验。美联储在9月加息,这是自2023年以来的首次加息,旨在将通胀控制住。其下一次决策将帮助投资者判断是否还会进一步加息。投资者原本并不预期10月会再次加息。路透社引用LSEG的数据称,联邦基金期货显示,美联储在周三会议上再次加息的概率低于10%。
Their results will give investors a broader picture of business conditions across different parts of the US economy, according to Reuters. The Federal Reserve's interest rate decision on Wednesday will be another major test for the stock market. The central bank raised interest rates in September for the first time since 2023 as it tried to bring inflation under control. Its next decision will help investors understand whether further rate increases are likely. Investors were not expecting another rate increase in October. Data from LSEG showed that federal funds futures were indicating a probability of less than 10% that the Fed would raise rates again at its Wednesday meeting, according to Reuters.
投资者对10月加息持怀疑态度的一个原因是,美国中期选举仅在大约一周后举行。不过,这只是投资者的考量,并非美联储决策的确认理由。市场更强烈预期12月会再次加息。路透社引用LSEG数据称,联邦基金期货显示,美联储下个月下次会议加息的概率约为80%。格林伍德资本首席投资官沃尔特·托德表示,他将密切关注美联储主席凯文·沃什在利率决议后举行的新闻发布会。
One reason investors are doubtful about an October rate increase is that the US midterm elections are only about a week away. However, this is an investor consideration rather than a confirmed reason for the Fed's decision. Markets are more strongly expecting another rate increase in December. Federal funds futures were indicating roughly an 80% probability of a rate hike at the Fed's next meeting that month, according to LSEG data cited by Reuters. Walter Todd, chief investment officer at Greenwood Capital, said he would closely watch the press conference held by Fed Chair Kevin Warsh after the interest rate decision.
路透社报道称,投资者将寻找关于美联储下一步行动的线索,特别是其是否计划在12月加息。托德表示,市场已经预期12月加息,因此美联储主席的评论尤为重要。任何暗示美联储可能改变计划的迹象,都可能影响未来几周的投资者预期和股价。总体而言,华尔街面临三大考验:领先科技公司的业绩、美联储的利率决议以及美国中期选举前的不确定性。
Investors will look for clues about the central bank's next move, particularly whether it plans to raise rates in December, Reuters reported. Todd said the market already expects a rate increase in December, making the Fed chair's comments especially important. Any indication that the central bank may change its plans could affect investor expectations and stock prices in the coming weeks. Overall, Wall Street faces three major tests: earnings from leading technology companies, the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision and uncertainty ahead of the US midterm elections.
强劲的财报业绩以及对人工智能支出的明确指引可能有助于支撑股市反弹,而令人失望的业绩或更高利率的信号可能会给股市带来进一步压力。
Strong earnings and clear guidance on AI spending could help support the stock market rally, while disappointing results or signals of higher interest rates could put further pressure on stocks.