塞尔维亚由学生支持的反对派据预测将在周日的提前选举中获得绝对议会多数，前总统武契奇承认败选，全国各地数千人走上街头庆祝结果。
Serbia’s student-backed opposition was projected to secure an outright parliamentary majority in Sunday’s snap elections as former President Aleksandar Vucic conceded defeat and thousands of people took to the streets across the country to celebrate the results.
根据民调机构益普索和自由选举与民主中心（CeSID）基于约60%已处理样本发布的预测，“学生获胜”选举名单预计将在塞尔维亚250个席位的国民议会中赢得139个席位，而武契奇的“统一塞尔维亚”联盟预计获得104个席位。
The “Students Win” electoral list was projected to win 139 seats in Serbia’s 250-member National Assembly compared with 104 for Vucic’s “United Serbia” coalition, according to projections released by polling agency Ipsos and the Center for Free Elections and Democracy (CeSID) based on approximately 60% of the processed sample.
预测显示，学生支持的名单已获得足够席位组建议会多数，这至少需要126名议员。
The projections indicated that the student-backed list had secured enough seats to form a parliamentary majority, which requires at least 126 lawmakers.
由伊维察·达契奇领导的塞尔维亚社会党（SPS）预计将跌破3%的选举门槛，可能三十多年来首次无法进入议会。根据预测，达契奇的“稳定因素”联盟获得2.3%的选票。
The Socialist Party of Serbia (SPS), led by Ivica Dacic, was projected to fall below the 3% electoral threshold, potentially leaving the party without parliamentary representation for the first time in more than three decades. Dacic’s “Factor of Stability” coalition received 2.3% of the vote, according to the projections.
伏伊伏丁那匈牙利人联盟预计将获得三个席位，阿尔巴尼亚联盟预计将赢得两个席位。
The Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians was projected to secure three seats, while the Albanian Coalition was expected to win two.
由拉西姆·利亚伊奇领导的选举名单和桑扎克民主行动党（SDA Sandzaka）各预计将获得一个席位。上述数字仍为初步结果，有待塞尔维亚共和国选举委员会确认。
Electoral lists headed by Rasim Ljajic and the Party of Democratic Action of Sandzak (SDA Sandzaka) were each projected to secure one seat. The figures remain preliminary and are subject to confirmation by Serbia’s Republic Electoral Commission.
武契奇承认败选，指责外国干涉 在贝尔格莱德塞尔维亚进步党（SNS）总部发表讲话时，武契奇承认其选举名单在选举中失利。
Vucic concedes defeat, blames foreign interference Speaking at the headquarters of his Serbian Progressive Party (SNS) in Belgrade, Vucic acknowledged that his electoral list had lost the elections.
“我们还没有最终结果。许多人会感到惊讶，你们会意识到有些人撒了多大的谎，”他说。“根据分层样本，很明显我们输掉了这些选举，”他补充道。
“We don’t have the results yet. Many will be surprised, and you will realize how much some people have lied,” he said. “Based on the stratified sample, it is clear that we have lost these elections,” he added.
武契奇最初估计，学生支持的名单将获得135至140个席位，而他的联盟将赢得约105个席位。
Vucic initially estimated that the student-backed list would secure between 135 and 140 seats, while his coalition would win approximately 105 seats.
他还将选举失利归咎于他所描述的几个欧洲国家和“美国深层政府”的干涉。他指责外国势力影响塞尔维亚的政治发展并导致了选举结果，但未提供证据来证实这些指控。
He also blamed the electoral defeat on what he described as interference by several European countries and the “American deep state.”He accused foreign actors of influencing Serbia’s political developments and contributing to the election outcome without providing evidence to substantiate the allegations.
此前，益普索和CeSID的预测显示，学生支持的名单获得52%的选票，而武契奇的联盟获得39.3%。
Earlier projections by Ipsos and CeSID gave the student-backed list 52% of the vote compared with 39.3% for Vucic’s coalition.
选举监督组织CRTA的另一项预测显示，学生支持的名单获得51.47%，武契奇的联盟获得40.42%。
A separate projection by the election monitoring organization CRTA gave the student-backed list 51.47% and Vucic’s coalition 40.42%.
这一预测结果对自2012年以来主导塞尔维亚政治的武契奇领导的塞尔维亚进步党（SNS）构成重大挫折。
The projected result represents a major setback for Vucic’s SNS, which has dominated Serbian politics since 2012.
在2023年12月的议会选举中，由SNS领导的联盟获得46.75%的选票和129个席位，赢得绝对多数。
In the December 2023 parliamentary elections, the SNS-led coalition secured 46.75% of the vote and 129 seats, winning an outright majority.
当时最大的反对派联盟“反暴力塞尔维亚”获得23.66%和65个席位，达契奇领导的社会党联盟获得6.55%和18个席位。
The largest opposition coalition at the time, Serbia Against Violence, received 23.66% and 65 seats, while Dacic’s Socialist Party-led coalition won 6.55% and 18 seats.
数千人在塞尔维亚各地庆祝 周日晚间，数千人走上塞尔维亚各城市街头，庆祝学生支持的选举名单预计获胜。
Thousands celebrate across Serbia Thousands of people took to the streets of Serbian cities Sunday evening to celebrate the projected victory of the student-backed electoral list.
据报道，贝尔格莱德、诺维萨德、尼什、克拉古耶瓦茨、克拉列沃、斯梅代雷沃、瓦列沃、弗拉涅和查查克等地都举行了庆祝活动。
Celebrations were reported in Belgrade, Novi Sad, Nis, Kragujevac, Kraljevo, Smederevo, Valjevo, Vranje and Cacak.
人群聚集在广场和街道上，挥舞旗帜、高唱歌曲、燃放烟花，并高呼口号支持学生支持的运动。
Crowds gathered in public squares and streets, waving flags, singing, setting off fireworks and chanting slogans in support of the student-backed movement.
在贝尔格莱德，数千人聚集在共和国广场，随后游行前往斯拉维亚广场。因聚集活动，市中心部分路段交通一度中断。据当地媒体报道，庆祝活动未发生重大事故。
In Belgrade, several thousand people gathered at Republic Square before marching toward Slavija Square. Traffic was temporarily suspended in parts of the city center because of the gatherings. According to local media reports, the celebrations proceeded without major incidents.
学生支持的议会候选人伊万娜·彼得罗维奇表示，该运动的胜利归功于认识到变革必要性的公民。她将这一结果描述为正义与民主的胜利。
Ivana Petrovic, a parliamentary candidate on the student-backed list, said the movement owed its victory to citizens who recognized the need for change. She described the result as a victory for justice and democracy.
学生支持的候选人呼吁和平庆祝 学生支持的选举名单候选人拉多米尔·萨伊西奇周日晚间宣布胜利，并敦促支持者和平庆祝。
Student-backed candidate calls for peaceful celebrations Radomir Saicic, a candidate on the student-backed electoral list, declared victory Sunday evening and urged supporters to celebrate peacefully.
“这是勇气战胜恐惧的胜利，是希望战胜冷漠的胜利，是塞尔维亚能够也必须变得不同这一信念的胜利，”萨伊西奇在该运动的竞选总部对人群说道。他感谢公民的支持，并强调选举结果承载着重大责任。
“This is a victory of courage over fear, a victory of hope over indifference, a victory of the belief that Serbia can and must be different,” Saicic said, addressing a crowd at the movement’s election headquarters. He thanked citizens for their support and emphasized that the electoral outcome carried significant responsibility.
萨伊西奇呼吁支持者保持和平、避免挑衅，强调团结与非暴力的重要性。他还表示，该运动将立即着手加强法治、重建国家机构。
Saicic called on supporters to remain peaceful and avoid provocations, stressing the importance of solidarity and nonviolence. He also said the movement would begin work immediately on strengthening the rule of law and rebuilding state institutions.
“学生赢了！随之获胜的，还有塞尔维亚能成为一个正义、自由、尊严之国的希望，”他说。
“Students have won! And with them, the hope that Serbia can be a country of justice, freedom and dignity has won,” he said.
地区领导人祝贺学生支持的名单 黑山总统亚科夫·米拉托维奇祝贺学生支持的选举名单在预计中获胜，表达了希望这一结果能改善两个邻国关系的愿望。
Regional leaders congratulate student-backed list Montenegrin President Jakov Milatovic congratulated the student-backed electoral list on its projected victory, expressing hope that the result would improve relations between the neighboring countries.
他在美国社交媒体平台X上发文，赞扬塞尔维亚公民通过投票表达了民主意愿。
In a post on the US social media platform X, Milatovic praised Serbian citizens for expressing their democratic will through the vote.
他说，他预期选举结果将有助于基于友谊、真诚对话和共同的欧洲未来，开启黑山与塞尔维亚关系的新篇章。
He said he expected the election outcome to contribute to a new chapter in Montenegro-Serbia relations based on friendship, sincere dialogue and a shared European future.
波黑塞族共和国实体领导人、独立社会民主人士联盟（SNSD）领袖米洛拉德·多迪克也祝贺了学生支持的名单。
Milorad Dodik, leader of the Alliance of Independent Social Democrats (SNSD) in Bosnia and Herzegovina, also congratulated the student-backed list.
多迪克表示，塞尔维亚与波黑的塞族共和国实体将继续保持密切合作与相互支持。
Dodik said Serbia and Bosnia’s Republika Srpska entity would continue their close cooperation and mutual support.
他还感谢武契奇多年来对塞族共和国表现出的合作与理解，称其为前塞尔维亚总统。
He also thanked Vucic for the cooperation and understanding he said the former Serbian president had shown toward Republika Srpska over the years.
多迪克强调，德里纳河两岸的塞尔维亚人依然是一个民族，并表示有信心在塞尔维亚新的政治领导层下继续合作。
Dodik stressed that Serbs on both sides of the Drina River remained one people and expressed confidence that cooperation would continue under Serbia’s new political leadership.
波斯尼亚克族少数族裔代表 本次选举还包括几个代表塞尔维亚波斯尼亚克族社区的政治团体，主要分布在西南部地区。
Bosniak minority representation The elections also included several political groups representing Serbia’s Bosniak community, particularly in the southwestern region.
其中包括由乌萨梅·祖科利奇领导的公正与和解党（SPP）、由苏莱曼·乌格利亚宁领导的桑扎克民主行动党（SDA Sandzaka），以及由拉西姆·利亚伊奇领衔的选举名单。
Among them were the Justice and Reconciliation Party (SPP), associated with Usame Zukorlic, the Party of Democratic Action of Sandzak (SDA Sandzaka), led by Sulejman Ugljanin, and an electoral list headed by Rasim Ljajic.
根据益普索和塞西德最新预测，利亚伊奇领衔的名单和桑扎克民主行动党各预计将获得一个议会席位。
According to the latest Ipsos and CeSID projections, the lists headed by Ljajic and SDA Sandzaka were each expected to secure one parliamentary seat.
在2023年议会选举中，祖科利奇领衔的选举名单获得约0.76%的选票并赢得两个席位，而乌格利亚宁领导的桑扎克民主行动党获得约0.57%的选票，同样赢得两个席位。
In the 2023 parliamentary elections, Zukorlic’s electoral list received approximately 0.76% of the vote and secured two seats, while Ugljanin’s SDA Sandzaka won approximately 0.57% and also secured two seats.
利亚伊奇的塞尔维亚社会民主党在上届选举中作为塞尔维亚进步党领导的联盟一部分参选。
Ljajic’s Social Democratic Party of Serbia contested the previous elections as part of the SNS-led coalition.
根据塞尔维亚选举法，获认可的少数民族名单免于3%的议会门槛，并在席位分配中享有特殊规定。
Under Serbian electoral law, recognized national minority lists are exempt from the 3% parliamentary threshold and benefit from special provisions in the allocation of seats.
波斯尼亚克族少数族裔政党在新议会中的最终代表性将取决于官方选举结果。
The final representation of Bosniak minority parties in the new parliament will depend on the official election results.
高投票率、违规举报 周日的选举以高投票率、投票站前的长队和大量违规举报为标志。
High turnout, reports of irregularities Sunday’s elections were marked by high voter turnout, long lines at polling stations and numerous reports of irregularities.
根据益普索和塞西德基于66%已处理样本（不含境外投票站）的预测，投票率估计近70%。
Turnout was estimated at nearly 70%, according to Ipsos and CeSID projections based on 66% of the processed sample, excluding polling stations abroad.
此前，据益普索和塞西德估计，截至晚上7点投票率已达67.6%。
Earlier, turnout had reached 67.6% by 7 pm, according to Ipsos and CeSID estimates.
这些数字超过了2023年12月选举中记录的约58.7%的最终投票率。
The figures exceeded the final turnout of approximately 58.7% recorded in the December 2023 elections.
CeSID表示，截至晚上8点，已收到300多起可能存在违规行为的举报。
CeSID said it had received more than 300 reports of possible irregularities by 8 pm.
举报的事件包括：选民据称在未出示身份证件的情况下投票、拍摄已填写的选票、集体投票、投票站出现技术问题，以及涉嫌选民恐吓和买票。该组织表示，正在继续核实这些举报。
The reported incidents included voters allegedly casting ballots without identification, photographing completed ballots, group voting, technical problems at polling stations and suspected voter intimidation and vote buying. The organization said it was continuing to verify the reports.
近两年的学生主导抗议 此次选举是在近两年反政府示威之后举行的。示威由2024年11月诺维萨德火车站雨棚倒塌事故引发，该事故造成16人死亡。
Nearly two years of student-led protests The elections followed nearly two years of anti-government demonstrations triggered by the November 2024 collapse of a railway station canopy in Novi Sad that killed 16 people.
这场悲剧引发了由大学生主导的大规模抗议，他们要求追责并采取行动打击涉嫌腐败。
The tragedy sparked widespread protests led by university students, who demanded accountability and action against alleged corruption.
随后，学生运动成为武契奇领导的塞尔维亚进步党（SNS）的主要政治挑战者。
The student movement subsequently emerged as a major political challenger to Vucic’s SNS.
周日的投票标志着自1990年恢复多党制政治以来，塞尔维亚举行的第15次议会选举，也是第10次提前选举。随着计票工作继续进行，共和国选举委员会预计将公布更多结果。
Sunday’s vote marked Serbia’s 15th parliamentary election since the reintroduction of multiparty politics in 1990 and its 10th early election. The Republic Electoral Commission is expected to release further results as vote counting continues.