卡玛拉·哈里斯正在保留各种选择。这位前副总统正在大选日前的最后几天里，为民主党在关键摇摆州助选，其中包括周一在威斯康星州的活动。随着她结束相对低调的状态，一连串近期的公开露面引发了关于她未来的揣测。
Kamala Harris is keeping her options open. The former vice president is spending the final days until Election Day stumping for Democrats in battleground states, including events in Wisconsin on Monday. As she emerges from keeping a relatively low-profile, a string of recent public appearances is stirring chatter about her future.
据与认识或曾为哈里斯工作的人交谈，有几位承认，他们真心不确定她最终是否会在2028年发起另一次总统竞选。一位哈里斯身边的人士表示，她在全国各地奔波之际，正在试探选民的脉搏，以判断自己是否符合选民想要的愿景。
According to conversations with people who’ve known or worked for Harris, several admitted that they are genuinely unsure whether she will ultimately launch another presidential bid in 2028. One person close to Harris said she’s taking the pulse of the electorate, as she travels the country, to determine whether she fits the vision that voters want.
这些人士说，哈里斯在决策上以谨慎著称，会在做出判断前尽可能收集更多信息。一位前2024年竞选团队工作人员形容哈里斯离开白宫以来的举动“令人费解”，几乎看不出她是否会再次角逐椭圆形办公室。
Harris is widely known for being cautious about decision-making, the people said, gathering as much information as possible before making a judgement call. A former 2024 campaign staffer described Harris’ moves since leaving the White House as “confusing,” offering little insight into whether she’ll make another play for the Oval Office or not.
“这眼下是个大问题，”这位前工作人员说。“她试图以领袖人物的姿态示人，但方式非常谨慎，在我看来，这不一定预示着她正在为参选做准备。”哈里斯本人表示，她尚未决定是否再次竞选总统，而是专注于帮助民主党夺回国会控制权。然而，中期选举将成为她所在党派的一个决定性时刻，因为包括民主社会主义者在内的几位进步派候选人正在争夺国会席位。一位了解她想法的人士说，哈里斯认为，特朗普时代之后，美国人正在寻找强有力的行政首长。
It’s “the question of the hour,” the former staffer said. “She’s trying to be a figurehead now, but in a very careful way that doesn’t necessarily, in my mind, bode that she is gearing up to run.”Harris herself says she hasn’t decided whether she will run for president again, and is instead focused on helping Democrats retake control of Congress. The midterms, however, will mark a defining moment for her party, as several progressive candidates — including democratic socialists — fight for seats in Congress. A person familiar with her thinking said Harris believes Americans are looking for aggressive executives after the Trump era.
“民众很愤怒，你知道，他们很恼火，”哈里斯在8月接受前佐治亚州众议员斯泰西·艾布拉姆斯播客采访时谈到选民说。“你可以从许多最近的选举中看出，人们受够了现状，对维护现状不感兴趣。”
“Folks are angry, you know, they’re pissed,” Harris said of voters in an August podcast interview with former Georgia state Representative Stacey Abrams. “You can see through many of the recent elections, people are done with status quo and are not interested in a defense of status quo.”
至于民主党的未来，“它将走向何方？”她补充道。“我认为现在下结论还为时过早。”这位前副总统多年来不断变化的政策立场给她制造了障碍，包括在2024年，选民指出不清楚她主张什么。
As for the future of the Democratic Party, “where is it headed?” she added. “I think it’s too early to tell.”The former vice president’s shifting policy positions over the years have created obstacles for her, including in 2024 when voters cited a lack of clarity about what she stands for.
最近，哈里斯主张扩大最高法院大法官席位，并呼吁“重新审视”废除选举人团制度。本月初，她谴责以色列在加沙的“骇人听闻”行动，并对拜登政府未能“更早、更有力地”约束内塔尼亚胡总理表示遗憾。
Recently, Harris has advocated for expanding the Supreme Court’s bench, and called for “revisiting” abolishing the Electoral College. Earlier this month, she condemned Israel’s “horrific” actions in Gaza, expressing regret that the Biden administration didn’t seek to restrict Prime Minister Benjamin Netanayhu“sooner and more forcefully.”
一位哈里斯前顾问表示，在总统初选中，必须“清楚自己的立场并有坚定信念，如果你没有信念，在竞选过程中就会暴露出来。”“如果不确切知道想成为什么样的候选人、想采取什么立场，要竞选总统是很困难的，”这位前顾问说。
A former Harris adviser said that in a presidential primary it’s imperative to “know where you are and have a conviction, and it becomes revealed over the course of the campaign if you don’t have a conviction.”“It’s tough to run for president not knowing exactly the type of candidate [you want to be] and the positions you want to take,” the former adviser said.
进步变革委员会联合创始人亚当·格林希望看到众议员亚历山德拉·奥卡西奥-科尔特斯在2028年参选，他批评哈里斯过去在经济政策上的言论，例如她曾支持“全民医保”，后来却转而支持扩大“奥巴马医改”。
Adam Green, co-founder of the Progressive for Change Committee, who wants to see Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run in 2028, criticized Harris’ past rhetoric on economic policies, such as her previous support of Medicare-for-All before backing the expansion of Obamacare instead.
民调显示，可负担性仍是选民最关心的首要议题。“经济民粹主义不在她的骨子里，”格林说道，回忆起她2024年与唐纳德·特朗普总统的辩论。“她在堕胎问题上的回答很漂亮。在民主问题上也有一些相当不错的回答。但在经济问题上，她一拳都没打出去。”一位哈里斯的大额捐款人筹集者最近曾通过电话与哈里斯交谈，为畅所欲言要求匿名，他表示怀疑她的捐助者是否会为另一次总统竞选买单。
Affordability remains voters’ biggest priority in polling. “Economic populism is not in her gut,” Green said, recalling her 2024 debate with President Donald Trump. “She had beautiful answers on abortion. She had some pretty good answers on democracy. She threw not one punch on economic issues.”A Harris bundler, who recently spoke with Harris by phone and requested anonymity to speak freely, expressed doubt that her donors would bankroll another presidential bid.
哈里斯与加利福尼亚州州长加文·纽森——另一位2028年潜在竞选者——还共享重叠的捐助者网络，如果两人都选择参选，将让他们的筹款人陷入两难境地。
Harris and California Gov. Gavin Newsom, another potential 2028 hopeful, also share overlapping donor networks, putting their fundraisers in a tough position if they both choose to enter the fray.
“我了解她的支持者基础。我了解她的朋友。两者的重合度简直就是完全重合，”纽森上个月对CNN表示，否认如果哈里斯参选他会参选。“我不会对那些人这么做。”哈里斯再次竞选总统还可能让民主党人想起一段痛苦的记忆：特朗普在2024年大选中同时赢得了普选票和全部七个摇摆州。
“I know her base of supporters. I know her friends. The Zen diagram on that is just pure crossover,” Newsom told CNN last month, denying that he would run if Harris jumped in the race. “I wouldn’t do that to people.”Another Harris presidential run also risks reminding Democrats of a painful memory: Trump won both the popular vote and all seven swing states in the 2024 election.
“她品牌的一部分在于她代表未来；她现在实际上代表的是过去的历史，这需要一个非常大的调整，”这位前哈里斯顾问说道。
“Part of her brand has been that she represented the future; she now really represents the past history, and that’s just a really big adjustment,” the former Harris adviser said.
不过，哈里斯的盟友告诫党内人士不要轻易排除她，考虑到她极高的知名度和选民好感度。根据MS NOW合作伙伴FiftyPlusOne收集的早期全国民调，哈里斯在潜在的2028年竞争者中仍处于领跑地位。
Harris’ allies, though, caution party insiders not to count her out, given her high name recognition and favorability with voters. Harris remains a frontrunner amongst potential 2028 contenders, according to early national polling gathered by MS NOW’s partner, FiftyPlusOne.
她在黑人选民中的影响力尤其会给她带来巨大优势，特别是在南卡罗来纳州等州份，该州是民主党全美首个初选州。
Her sway with Black voters in particular would give her an outsized advantage, especially in states like South Carolina, the party’s first-in-the-nation primary.
凯文·哈里斯是一位政治顾问，曾担任拜登2020年竞选活动在佐治亚州的竞选经理，他指出，前两位民主党总统提名人——前总统乔·拜登和前国务卿希拉里·克林顿——都在初选周期开始和结束时均处于领跑位置。
Kevin Harris, a political consultant who served as chief of staff for Biden’s 2020 campaign in Georgia, noted that the previous two Democratic presidential nominees — former President Joe Biden and Secretary of State Hillary Clinton — both started and ended their primary cycles as the frontrunner.
“在近代史上，最终当选总统的人在成功之前竞选过几次，这并不罕见，”哈里斯说，他是一位民主党策略师，与副总统没有亲属关系。“她仍将是那批人中唯一一个在每个州都曾获得过大量选票的人。其他刚起步的人甚至都不会拥有这一点。”如果哈里斯最终决定不参选，她在党内仍保持着重要影响力。据一位知情人士透露，自2024年败选以来，几位民主党政客一直通过电话向哈里斯寻求政治建议。
“It’s not uncommon in recent history where the people who ultimately got the presidency ran a few times before they got there,” said Harris, a Democratic strategist with no relation to the vice president. “She still is gonna be the only person in that field that has ever gotten a significant amount of votes in every state. Nobody else starting out is gonna even have that.”If Harris eventually decides not to run, she maintains significant influence in the party. Several Democratic politicians have continued to seek out Harris for political advice by phone since her 2024 loss, according to a person familiar with the matter.
YouGov的排名显示，她也是全美第三受欢迎的民主党人，仅次于前总统巴拉克·奥巴马和佛蒙特州参议员伯尼·桑德斯。
She is also the third most popular Democrat in the country behind former President Barack Obama and Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders, YouGov rankings show.
鉴于这一地位，一些民主党人建议可能的2028年竞争对手谨慎行事。被视为另一位可能候选人的密歇根州参议员埃莉萨·斯洛特金最近在一次采访中表示，哈里斯不应再次参选。2024年曾被考虑为其竞选搭档的宾夕法尼亚州州长乔什·夏皮罗抨击哈里斯在回忆录中对他的描述是赤裸裸的野心表现，是“彻头彻尾的谎言”。
Because of that status, some Democrats advise possible 2028 rivals to tread lightly. Michigan Senator Elissa Slotkin, seen as another likely candidate, recently said in an interview that Harris shouldn’t run again. Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro, who was considered as her running mate in 2024, blasted Harris’ descriptions of him in her memoir as overtly ambitious, as“blatant lies.”
在其他地方，包括堪萨斯州的亚当·汉密尔顿、爱荷华州的罗布·桑德和阿拉斯加州的玛丽·佩尔托拉在内的少数红州民主党候选人，在被问及是否欢迎哈里斯在其州内助选时，也都予以拒绝。哈里斯告诉MSNBC的彼得·亚历山大，她支持“他们为赢得选举所需做的任何事情”。
Elsewhere, a handful of Democratic candidates in red states, including Kansas’ Adam Hamilton, Iowa’s Rob Sand and Alaska’s Mary Peltola, have also rebuffed when asked if they would welcome Harris to campaign in their state. Harris told MS NOW’s Peter Alexander that she supports “them in doing whatever they need to do to win.”
总部位于南方的政治顾问凯文·哈里斯表示，作为核心选民群体的黑人选民“非常护短，希望看到对她所取得的成就及其对社区的历史象征意义给予应有的尊重。”哈里斯将于周四前往佐治亚州为参议员乔恩·奥索夫助选，后者本人也引发了2028年的关注。她还将在富尔顿县民主党年度晚宴上发表主旨演讲，并与亚特兰大的全国有色人种协进会（NAACP）共同开展动员选民行动。首先，她定于周一在威斯康星州担任NAACP市政厅会议的主讲人。
Kevin Harris, the Southern-based political consultant, says Black voters, a core constituency, “are very protective of her, and want to see proper respect given for what she has accomplished and what she symbolizes her historical significance to the community.”Harris will head to Georgia on Thursday to campaign for Sen. Jon Ossoff, who is drawing his own 2028 buzz. She’ll also deliver the keynote address at the Fulton County Democratic Party’s Annual Dinner and join a get-out-the-vote effort with NAACP in Atlanta. First, she’s slated to headline Monday’s NAACP townhall in Wisconsin.
近日，她已现身内华达州和新罕布什尔州——这两个州也是民主党全国委员会（DNC）初选日历上的早期州份——以及密西西比州，与当地候选人同台亮相。佛罗里达州民主党参议院候选人、进步派猛将安吉·尼克松也将于本周晚些时候参加哈里斯主持的一次虚拟组织电话会议。其他2028年潜在竞争者也在采取各自的行动。
In recent days, she has appeared with candidates in Nevada and New Hampshire, two other early states on the DNC’s primary calendar, as well as Mississippi. Florida Democratic Senate candidate Angie Nixon, a progressive firebrand, also joins Harris on a virtual organizing call later this week. Other names in the 2028 mix are making moves of their own.
前交通部长皮特·布蒂吉格正在利用中期选举前的最后几天奔赴竞选路线，行程包括佐治亚州与奥索夫同台，以及威斯康星州与州长候选人大卫·克劳利同台，哈里斯也在为克劳利助选。据知情人士透露，近几个月来，他在其名为“赢得时代”的政治组织里增聘了更多工作人员。
Former Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg is spending the final days until the midterms on the campaign trail, including stops in Georgia with Ossoff and Wisconsin gubernatorial candidate David Crowley, whom Harris is campaigning with, too. In recent months, he has hired more staffers at his political organization, known as Win the Era, according to a person familiar with the matter.
亚利桑那州参议员马克·凯利周五重申，他在中期选举后正在权衡是否竞选总统。与此同时，马里兰州州长韦斯·穆尔最近在州长辩论中回避了一个关于他是否会完成完整第二任期的问题。周日在接受美国广播公司新闻网采访时再次被问及是否承诺履行完整任期，他说：“是的，明确地说，如果我还想着别的事，我就不会竞选连任了，”穆尔说。2028年大选倒计时将在选举结果出炉后随即开始。
Arizona Sen. Mark Kelly reiterated on Friday that he’s weighing a presidential campaign after the midterms. Meanwhile, Maryland Gov. Wes Moore recently dodged a question during his gubernatorial debate about whether he would serve out a full second term. Asked again during an interview with ABC News on Sunday if he was committed to fulfilling the term, he said, “Yeah, I wouldn’t be running for re-election if I was thinking about anything else, to be clear,” Moore said. 2028 countdown starts as soon as election results are in.
“当下的关键问题：”哈里斯权衡下一步棋，2028年大选在即 MS NOW
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