据报道，伊朗人担心美国和以色列可能在下个月美国中期选举和周二以色列大选后，重新发动针对伊斯兰政权的战争，以色列大选将决定总理本雅明·内塔尼亚胡的政治前途。
Iranians reportedly fear the U.S. and Israel could resume their war against the Islamic regime after the U.S. midterm elections next month and Israel’s election on Tuesday, which could determine Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s political future.
美联社周一报道称，德黑兰居民描述了首都内日益增长的焦虑感，一些人表示他们正准备在空袭恢复时离开。其他人则说，伊朗领导层认为，无论中期选举结果如何，特朗普总统都将授权新的打击行动。
The Associated Press reported Monday that residents in Tehran described a growing anxiety within the capital, with some saying they were preparing to leave should strikes resume. Others said that Iran’s leadership believes President Trump will authorize new strikes regardless of the outcome of the midterms.
德黑兰大学外交政策教授、前政府官员萨桑·卡里米对美联社表示：“他们已经接受了他将再次袭击我们的事实，无论是在选举前还是选举后。”他指出，伊朗人正在“为各种情景做计划，以便采取补救措施”。健身教练哈希姆·瓦吉达尼告诉该媒体，他计划离开德黑兰。
“They’ve accepted that he will attack us again, before or after the elections,” Sasan Karimi, a professor of foreign policy at the University of Tehran and a former government official, told the AP, noting that Iranians were “planning for scenarios so they can take remedial measures.”Gym trainer Hashem Vajdani told the outlet that he plans to leave Tehran.
“我已经收拾好行李，准备去北方一个更安全的城镇，”他说。“今天我又买了更多罐头食品、饼干和额外的毛毯。”接受美联社采访的人们最担心的是，如果冲突重燃，平民死亡人数可能会上升，特别是在特朗普威胁要摧毁伊朗民用基础设施（包括其能源电网）之后。
“I have already packed my belongings to go to a safer town in the north of the country,” he said. “Today I bought more canned food, crackers and extra blankets.”The highest concern among those who spoke with the AP was that the civilian death toll could rise if the conflict resumes, particularly after Trump’s threats to destroy Iran’s civilian infrastructure, including its energy grid.
驻德黑兰分析师拉赫曼·加雷曼普尔告诉美联社，以色列大选的结果也可能决定伊朗的近期命运。加雷曼普尔说，如果内塔尼亚胡继续掌权，由于他愿意冒重大风险，全面战争可能会爆发。
Tehran-based analyst Rahman Ghahremanpour told the AP the results of Israel’s elections could also determine Iran’s future in the near term. The risk if Netanyahu remains in power is that all-out war could commence because of his willingness to take major risks, Ghahremanpour said.
近几个月来，冲突一直处于僵持状态，伊朗总统马苏德·佩泽希齐扬指责美国破坏谈判，而特朗普在首轮美以空袭发生几个月后，经常威胁要彻底消灭伊朗。
The conflict has remained at a standstill in recent months, with Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian accusing the U.S. of disrupting negotiations while Trump regularly threatens the nation with complete annihilation months after the first U.S.-Israeli strikes in February.
据美国国家公共电台（NPR）报道，特朗普和内塔尼亚胡在各自的选举后都可能面临政治支持度下降的局面，因为伊朗战争在美国广受反对，而以色列人在如何应对伊朗的所谓威胁问题上并未形成一致共识。
Trump and Netanyahu could both face diminished political support after their respective elections, with the Iran war being widely unpopular in the U.S. and a mixed consensus among Israelis on how to confront Iran’s perceived threat, NPR reported.
中东研究所高级研究员纳坦·萨克斯对NPR表示，如果内塔尼亚胡赢得另一个任期，那将是一个“令人震惊的惊喜”。
Middle East Institute senior fellow Natan Sachs told NPR that it would be a “shocking surprise” if Netanyahu won another term.
萨克斯说：“以色列在与伊朗对抗的立场上，不会扮演鸽派的角色。所以真正掌握主动权的是特朗普总统。以色列将致力于削弱伊朗的能力，而且正如内塔尼亚胡所表述的，范围远不止于此，即推动伊朗政权更迭，他仍然认为这可以也应该部分通过武力手段来实现。”特朗普曾警告称，他在中期选举后可能恢复对伊朗的打击。一位知情人士此前曾向《国会山报》透露，美国中央司令部已准备好计划，一旦获得白宫授权，将对伊朗实施后续打击。该知情人士因未获授权公开发言而要求匿名。
“Israel’s position regarding confrontation with Iran is that it’s not going to be the dove in this conversation,” Sachs said. “So really President Trump is the one who holds the keys here. Israel will be keen to degrade Iran’s capacity and, much more broader than that, the way Netanyahu has put it, to promote regime change in Iran that he still believes can be done or should be done partly through the use of force.”Trump has warned he could resume strikes on Iran after the midterms. U.S. Central Command has plans ready to conduct follow-up strikes against Iran if there’s authorization from the White House, a source aware of the plans, who spoke on condition of anonymity, previously told The Hill.