
首尔——随着人工智能引领的科技产品热潮持续推动经济,韩国第三季度录得1.0%的增长。
SEOUL -- South Korea logged growth of 1.0% in the third quarter as the artificial intelligence-led boom in tech products continued to propel the economy.
这一表现与韩联社旗下金融信息机构Infomax调查的13位经济学家平均预测的0.89%增幅大致相符。
The performance was roughly in line with the 0.89% growth prediction average by 13 economists polled by Infomax, the financial information arm of Yonhap News Agency.
韩国央行周二公布的初步估算数据显示,7月至9月期间经济环比扩张,此前第二季度增长0.6%。今年第一季度经济增长1.8%。
An advance estimate from the Bank of Korea on Tuesday showed an expansion in the July-to-September period over the previous quarter, which followed growth of 0.6% in the second quarter. The economy grew 1.8% in the first quarter of this year.
作为亚洲第四大经济体,韩国出口增长2.3%,得益于半导体、机械和电气设备的强劲出货。设施投资增长4.1%,受芯片制造设备增加的推动。
Asia's fourth-largest economy saw its exports increase by 2.3% on strong shipments of semiconductors, machinery and electrical equipment. Facilities investment rose by 4.1% on additions in chipmaking equipment.
对整体经济状况而言,一个可能令人担忧的迹象是,私人消费下降0.2%,原因是家庭减少了商品和服务的购买。政府消费增长1.9%。
In a potentially worrying sign for the overall state of the economy, private consumption dipped 0.2% as households reduced purchases of both goods and services. Government consumption rose 1.9%.
韩国政策制定者已将通胀和不断增长的家庭债务列为主要担忧。央行上周决定将基准利率维持在3.0%不变,并指出通胀仍高于期望水平,约为3%。
South Korean policymakers have flagged inflation and growing household debt as major concerns. The central bank decided last week to hold the base rate steady at 3.0%, noting that inflation remains higher than desired at around 3%.
韩国央行预测经济将继续保持上升趋势,称“在半导体行业强劲的推动下,出口和投资预计将保持高增长,而消费复苏可能会逐步加快”。不过,央行也提到了金融稳定面临的风险,即首尔地区房价飙升和家庭债务上升。
The BOK forecast the economy to continue on an upward trend, saying, "exports and investment are expected to sustain their high growth, driven by a strong semiconductor sector, while the recovery in consumption is likely to gradually accelerate." However, it also mentioned risks to financial stability in the form of soaring home prices in the Seoul area and rising household debt.
总统李在明近几个月来支持率下滑,原因是民众对经济状况、尤其是其房地产政策的不满日益加剧。去年6月,李在明出台了更严格的限制措施,收紧了潜在购房者以房产价值为抵押的借款额度。
President Lee Jae Myung has seen his approval ratings wane in recent months on rising discontent over economic conditions, particularly his real estate policies. In June of last year Lee introduced tighter restrictions on how much prospective buyers can borrow against the value of a property.
政府解释称,这些措施旨在帮助抑制家庭债务,因为它们防止购房者借入过多贷款为购房提供资金。但自措施生效以来,首尔公寓价格持续上涨,尽管近期涨幅有所放缓。市民团体指责这些政策加剧了住房不稳定,认为租赁房产和短期租约变得越来越难以负担。
His administration explained that the measures were intended to help rein in household debt, as they prevent buyers from taking out excessive loans to fund property purchases. But since the measures took effect, Seoul apartment prices have continued to rise, albeit at a slower pace recently. Civic groups have blamed the policies for worsening housing instability, arguing that rental properties and short-term leases have become increasingly unaffordable.
目前,人工智能繁荣的红利并未推动主街经济状况显著改善。国营智库韩国开发研究院(KDI)在其10月月报中表示:“家庭购买力仍受制于疲软的潜在工资增长和高企的供给侧通胀压力,其中包括持续高位的油价。”韩国开发研究院称:“经济复苏的成果尚未更广泛地惠及家庭。”
The spoils of the AI boom are at present not fueling a strong improvement in conditions on main street. "[H]ousehold purchasing power remains constrained by subdued underlying wage growth and elevated supply-side inflationary pressures, including those from persistently high oil prices," the Korea Development Institute, a state-run think tank, said in its monthly report for October. "[T]he benefits of the economic recovery have yet to reach households more broadly," KDI said.
该国两大旗舰芯片制造商三星电子和SK海力士定于本周公布第三季度业绩。
The country's two flagship chipmakers, Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix, are scheduled to announce third-quarter earnings this week.